Realized P&L (90d)
-$89
Unrealized P&L
-$521
Hit rate
18.6%
Resolved (90d)
106
Trades (90d)
0
2,925 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$0
$61.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$3.16K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 06-26 14:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 127 days
Categories
Other
61% 60% -$2,611
Politics
36% 64% +$504
Tech
2% 57% -$97
Sports
1% 75% -$231
Crypto
1% 100% +$61
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$27
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-26).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -283 -$207 98¢ $-277 -$71 06-20 12:36
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No -215 -$195 98¢ $-211 -$17 06-20 12:36
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -154 -$91 92¢ $-141 -$50 06-20 12:46
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No -146 -$103 96¢ $-141 -$38 06-20 12:39
NATO article 5 before 2027? No -135 -$123 98¢ $-132 -$8 06-20 12:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -135 -$108 97¢ $-131 -$23 06-20 12:39
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No -121 -$110 99¢ $-119 -$9 06-20 12:39
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -129 -$63 92¢ $-118 -$55 06-20 12:54
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No -119 -$83 95¢ $-113 -$30 06-20 12:48
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? No -118 -$99 96¢ $-113 -$13 06-20 12:40
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -113 -$95 97¢ $-110 -$15 06-20 12:43
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No -110 -$100 99¢ $-110 -$10 06-20 12:40
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? No -108 -$103 98¢ $-106 -$3 06-20 12:40
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -105 -$94 99¢ $-104 -$10 06-20 12:41
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -102 -$88 99¢ $-101 -$12 06-20 12:46
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No -105 -$92 89¢ $-94 -$2 06-20 12:46
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -100 -$52 94¢ $-94 -$41 06-20 14:12
US recession by end of 2026? No -96 -$83 98¢ $-93 -$10 06-20 12:49
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? No -86 -$74 93¢ $-80 -$6 06-20 12:49
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -81 -$69 97¢ $-79 -$10 06-20 12:53
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -80 -$73 98¢ $-78 -$5 06-20 12:50
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? No -79 -$77 98¢ $-77 -$1 06-20 12:50
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No -76 -$53 98¢ $-75 -$22 06-20 14:12
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No -74 -$66 98¢ $-72 -$6 06-20 12:53
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No -72 -$59 98¢ $-71 -$11 06-20 14:12
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? Yes -70 -$65 98¢ $-69 -$3 06-20 12:54
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -69 -$61 96¢ $-66 -$6 06-20 14:00
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -68 -$35 92¢ $-62 -$27 06-20 14:17
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No -63 -$58 98¢ $-62 -$4 06-20 14:31
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No -63 -$56 96¢ $-61 -$5 06-20 14:12