Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$99

Unrealized P&L

-$516

Hit rate

18.4%

Resolved (90d)

104

Trades (90d)

2,925 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$61.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$3.15K

30 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 06-26 14:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 126 days

Categories

Other

61% 60% -$2,611

Politics

36% 64% +$494

Tech

2% 57% -$97

Sports

1% 75% -$231

Crypto

1% 100% +$61

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$27

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-26).

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	-283	-$207	98¢	$-277	-$70	06-20 12:36
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	No	-215	-$195	98¢	$-211	-$17	06-20 12:36
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	No	-154	-$91	92¢	$-141	-$50	06-20 12:46
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	-146	-$103	96¢	$-141	-$38	06-20 12:39
NATO article 5 before 2027?	No	-135	-$123	98¢	$-132	-$9	06-20 12:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	-135	-$108	97¢	$-131	-$23	06-20 12:39
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?	No	-121	-$110	99¢	$-119	-$9	06-20 12:39
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	-129	-$63	90¢	$-117	-$54	06-20 12:54
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	No	-118	-$99	96¢	$-113	-$13	06-20 12:40
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	No	-113	-$95	97¢	$-110	-$15	06-20 12:43
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?	No	-110	-$100	99¢	$-110	-$10	06-20 12:40
Weed rescheduled by December 31?	No	-119	-$83	92¢	$-109	-$26	06-20 12:48
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	No	-108	-$103	98¢	$-106	-$3	06-20 12:40
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No	-105	-$94	99¢	$-103	-$10	06-20 12:41
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	-102	-$88	98¢	$-100	-$12	06-20 12:46
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	-105	-$92	90¢	$-94	-$2	06-20 12:46
US recession by end of 2026?	No	-96	-$83	98¢	$-93	-$10	06-20 12:49
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	-100	-$52	92¢	$-92	-$39	06-20 14:12
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?	No	-86	-$74	93¢	$-80	-$6	06-20 12:49
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	-80	-$73	99¢	$-79	-$5	06-20 12:50
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	-81	-$69	97¢	$-79	-$10	06-20 12:53
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?	No	-79	-$77	98¢	$-77	-$1	06-20 12:50
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	No	-76	-$53	98¢	$-75	-$22	06-20 14:12
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	-74	-$66	98¢	$-72	-$6	06-20 12:53
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	-72	-$59	98¢	$-71	-$11	06-20 14:12
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?	Yes	-70	-$65	98¢	$-69	-$3	06-20 12:54
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	-69	-$61	96¢	$-66	-$6	06-20 14:00
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	-68	-$35	92¢	$-63	-$28	06-20 14:17
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	No	-63	-$58	98¢	$-62	-$4	06-20 14:31
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?	No	-63	-$56	96¢	$-61	-$5	06-20 14:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 7, 2026?	15	$351	603	0	+603	No	-$351	04-07 16:32
will russia enter vozdvyzhivka by march 31	4	$349	395	0	+395	No	+$46	03-20 16:49
another us bank failure by march 31	4	$330	372	0	+372	No	+$43	03-20 21:09
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	1	$286	0	330	-330	No	-$44	06-20 12:35
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	1	$271	0	339	-339	Yes	-$68	06-20 12:35
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 7, 2026?	14	$268	487	0	+487	No	-$268	04-07 11:41
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	5	$259	344	0	+344	Yes	+$85	04-07 08:52
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	1	$258	0	268	-268	No	-$9	06-20 12:35
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 8 2026 23corhigher	8	$255	325	0	+325	No	+$70	04-07 19:21
highest temperature in london on april 9 2026 21c	8	$220	285	0	+285	No	+$65	04-07 16:02
will elizabeth taylor get 3 million or more views in the first week	4	$219	388	0	+388	Yes	-$219	04-07 14:19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	1	$217	0	222	-222	No	-$5	06-20 12:35
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	1	$217	0	221	-221	No	-$4	06-20 12:36
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	7	$213	325	0	+325	No	+$112	04-10 17:46
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	4	$213	266	0	+266	No	+$53	04-07 14:55
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?	4	$213	349	0	+349	Yes	+$136	04-07 12:33
Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?	1	$212	0	224	-224	Yes	-$12	06-20 12:36
highest temperature in singapore on april 8 2026 31c	5	$207	286	0	+286	No	+$78	04-07 15:40
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	1	$207	0	283	-283	open	—	06-20 12:36
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	1	$206	0	207	-207	No	-$1	06-20 12:36
will trump meet with nicols maduro in march 2026 554	4	$201	204	0	+204	No	+$3	03-21 04:20
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	7	$197	260	0	+260	No	-$197	04-07 08:25
highest temperature in london on april 9 2026 20c	4	$197	307	0	+307	No	+$109	04-07 15:12
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 8 2026 22c	7	$196	285	0	+285	No	+$89	04-07 17:35
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	1	$195	0	197	-197	No	-$2	06-20 12:37
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	4	$195	238	0	+238	No	+$43	03-21 04:20
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	1	$195	0	215	-215	open	—	06-20 12:36
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	3	$194	589	0	+589	No	-$194	04-07 17:36
will russia enter borova by march 31	4	$189	195	0	+195	No	+$6	03-20 16:49
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	1	$187	0	190	-190	No	-$2	06-20 12:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 14:04:09	Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0xeae8b3…
06-20 20:48:22	Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0xca4440…
06-20 14:39:46	Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x1118a9…
06-20 14:37:25	Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xe7df68…
06-20 14:36:53	Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	67	1¢	$1	0x27a45a…
06-20 14:36:40	Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xc78e06…
06-20 14:36:37	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$0	0x04bbbb…
06-20 14:36:34	Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$0	0x2aadc3…
06-20 14:36:32	Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0x96336c…
06-20 14:36:31	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x685cb6…
06-20 14:36:29	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	29	2¢	$1	0xf50946…
06-20 14:36:29	Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Yes	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0xa69418…
06-20 14:36:26	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	39	4¢	$2	0x8a10d1…
06-20 14:36:25	Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	No	SELL	49	2¢	$1	0x193918…
06-20 14:36:23	Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xfca6ae…
06-20 14:36:20	Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	2¢	$2	0x98c3d6…
06-20 14:36:19	Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	5¢	$3	0xb3e098…
06-20 14:36:17	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	6¢	$4	0x958930…
06-20 14:36:16	Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x2179bb…
06-20 14:36:14	Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	139	2¢	$3	0x63778f…
06-20 14:34:43	Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x13e946…
06-20 14:34:32	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	316	3¢	$8	0xfd256d…
06-20 14:34:25	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0xc1141b…
06-20 14:34:08	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	382	6¢	$24	0xb4b9d5…
06-20 14:33:50	Will Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	47	97¢	$46	0x600d6c…
06-20 14:32:46	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x939c46…
06-20 14:32:44	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xe24c56…
06-20 14:32:43	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x57d896…
06-20 14:32:41	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xe8b320…
06-20 14:32:40	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xb15b9b…
06-20 14:32:38	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x8dc028…
06-20 14:32:37	Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x7aed9c…
06-20 14:32:35	Will the Republican Party win the IL-01 House seat?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xba0d1b…
06-20 14:32:34	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x0fa3db…
06-20 14:32:32	Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0x6acb96…
06-20 14:32:31	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	17	93¢	$16	0x3cef2d…
06-20 14:32:29	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	93¢	$16	0xe44d7d…
06-20 14:32:28	Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x921810…
06-20 14:32:26	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x571335…
06-20 14:32:23	Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x73a6cb…
06-20 14:32:20	Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xb719a4…
06-20 14:32:19	Will the Democratic Party win the MA-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0x5011c5…
06-20 14:32:16	Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	23	94¢	$21	0x3c1683…
06-20 14:32:14	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	23	94¢	$22	0xa57202…
06-20 14:32:13	Will the Republican Party win the GA-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	24	92¢	$22	0x0982ff…
06-20 14:32:11	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	24	93¢	$22	0x183e38…
06-20 14:32:10	NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x3d4dd4…
06-20 14:32:08	Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$23	0x485f05…
06-20 14:32:07	Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0xe65716…
06-20 14:32:05	US recognize Somaliland by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	28	85¢	$24	0x52448f…
06-20 14:32:04	Will the Republican Party win the KY-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	29	93¢	$27	0x2f4b91…
06-20 14:32:02	Will the Democratic Party win the MA-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	29	94¢	$27	0x48e7e3…
06-20 14:32:01	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-09 House seat?	Yes	SELL	29	94¢	$27	0x94083b…
06-20 14:31:59	Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0x906d6d…
06-20 14:31:58	Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?	No	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x6ce645…
06-20 14:31:58	Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?	No	SELL	31	92¢	$28	0x028dcf…
06-20 14:31:56	Will the Republican Party win the NY-10 House seat?	No	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0xbe76f3…
06-20 14:31:55	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-08 House seat?	Yes	SELL	33	93¢	$31	0xf062a5…
06-20 14:31:53	Will the Republican Party win the MS-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	33	93¢	$31	0x25b565…
06-20 14:31:52	Will the Democratic Party win the CO-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	34	93¢	$32	0xb374c1…
06-20 14:31:50	Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	SELL	36	90¢	$32	0xfb6a9a…
06-20 14:31:49	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	SELL	36	93¢	$33	0x577ccc…
06-20 14:31:47	Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	SELL	35	95¢	$34	0xc593f1…
06-20 14:31:44	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	37	92¢	$34	0x151014…
06-20 14:31:43	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	SELL	37	92¢	$34	0x7f4551…
06-20 14:31:41	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0xe7877a…
06-20 14:31:40	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0xeec449…
06-20 14:31:38	Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	45	90¢	$41	0x38a7e1…
06-20 14:31:37	Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	SELL	45	91¢	$41	0x85117b…
06-20 14:31:35	US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	45	92¢	$41	0x12d215…
06-20 14:31:34	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-18 House seat?	Yes	SELL	47	91¢	$43	0xac53b3…
06-20 14:31:32	Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	SELL	46	94¢	$43	0x24180e…
06-20 14:31:31	Will the Republican Party win the TX-11 House seat?	Yes	SELL	47	93¢	$44	0x416461…
06-20 14:31:29	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	48	91¢	$44	0x620db1…
06-20 14:31:26	Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	No	SELL	48	91¢	$44	0xd42405…
06-20 14:31:26	Will the Democratic Party win the MO-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	48	92¢	$44	0x8651de…
06-20 14:31:25	Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0xe80fcc…
06-20 14:31:23	Will the Democratic Party win the WI-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	48	93¢	$45	0xb77916…
06-20 14:31:23	Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x07f7d5…
06-20 14:31:22	Will the Republican Party win the OK-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	48	93¢	$45	0xea4ee9…
06-20 14:31:20	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-16 House seat?	Yes	SELL	49	92¢	$45	0xa43d27…
06-20 14:31:19	Will the Republican Party win the GA-08 House seat?	Yes	SELL	49	93¢	$46	0xb0a4c0…
06-20 14:31:17	Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0xf37d01…
06-20 14:31:16	Will the Democratic Party win the MD-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	49	94¢	$46	0xb92191…
06-20 14:31:14	Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	37	92¢	$34	0xba5911…
06-20 14:31:13	Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	57	91¢	$52	0x3fa7a6…
06-20 14:31:11	Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	58	91¢	$53	0x8280ee…
06-20 14:31:10	Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	57	94¢	$53	0x6e45a5…
06-20 14:31:08	Will Hank Kroll advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	SELL	57	95¢	$54	0x15b8e2…
06-20 14:31:07	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	61	93¢	$57	0xa35498…
06-20 14:31:05	Will Tom Tiffany win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	61	94¢	$57	0x396d82…
06-20 14:31:04	Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	No	SELL	63	91¢	$58	0x819f07…
06-20 14:28:41	Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?	No	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0xdffc32…
06-20 14:28:05	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	63	96¢	$61	0x27b4b9…
06-20 14:28:04	Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?	No	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0xd9f09d…
06-20 14:27:28	Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?	No	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x83b44a…
06-20 14:26:55	Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x7f1dc2…
06-20 14:26:43	Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?	No	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0x8972a7…
06-20 14:26:41	Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x423ac3…
06-20 14:26:41	Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0x0b0986…