Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$56
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
334
lifetime
Volume
$785
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$44
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-19
last 06-15 20:42
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
56%
Politics
22%
Crypto
16%
Tech
5%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +231 $2 $5 +$3 06-04 15:56
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? Yes -147 $-3 $-5 $-2 05-30 04:45
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026? Yes +333 $3 $3 $-0 06-05 01:36
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -132 $-4 $-3 +$2 06-08 12:04
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? Yes +309 $0 $2 +$2 06-06 20:37
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +267 $5 $2 $-3 06-05 22:40
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30? Yes +301 $5 $2 $-3 06-10 08:14
Will Morgan Stanley fail by June 30, 2026? Yes +284 $5 $2 $-3 06-09 05:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +267 $4 $2 $-2 06-05 08:20
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +219 $4 $1 $-2 05-28 20:58
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30 2026? Yes +261 $4 $1 $-3 06-08 05:02
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? Yes +465 $7 $1 $-6 06-06 15:30
Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026? Yes +285 $3 $1 $-2 06-10 09:40
Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +119 $2 $1 $-1 06-02 21:51
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +110 $1 $1 +$0 06-09 19:56
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30? Yes +217 $3 $1 $-2 06-15 15:26
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -104 $-3 $-1 +$2 06-10 07:43
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? Yes +263 $4 $1 $-3 06-06 17:32
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +286 $3 $1 $-2 06-08 11:38
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? Yes +281 $5 $1 $-4 06-08 21:42
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? Yes +267 $4 $1 $-3 06-01 23:30
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +267 $5 $1 $-4 06-06 00:47
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by June 30? Yes +387 $4 $1 $-3 06-09 12:53
Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +263 $4 $1 $-3 06-07 04:43
Brex IPO before 2027? Yes -44 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-15 20:42
Will Truist fail by June 30, 2026? Yes +300 $3 $1 $-2 06-09 09:01
Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +199 $4 $1 $-3 05-29 18:03
Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026? Yes +281 $3 $1 $-2 06-08 00:33
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026? Yes +267 $5 $1 $-4 06-05 23:10
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026? Yes +265 $3 $1 $-3 06-03 01:04