Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
open
Total volume
$14,649
$69 in 24h
Trades
688
Unique wallets
221
Liquidity
$48,839
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-30 21:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $6.7K
vs crowd: 1% YES on $11.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $0 | $7.1K | $7.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $26 | $689 | $663 |
| 🐟 Fish | 49 | $28 | $2.3K | $2.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 142 | $84 | $930 | $846 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | — | $6.7K | $6.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $20 | $29 | $9 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 11 | $5 | $63 | $58 |
| Median | 44 | $1 | $253 | $252 |
| Below median | 27 | $13 | $57 | $44 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $5 | $28 | $23 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $5 | $296 | $291 |
| unranked | 111 | $88 | $3.6K | $3.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +5,428 | $5,415 | $5,415 | 13 | 06-25 03:56 |
| Sneaky-Grandparent 0x5c53…8c30 | Yes | +2,500 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 06-24 16:04 |
| Impassioned-Prohibition 0xfaf9…f4c4 | No | +1,361 | $1,308 | $1,308 | 2 | 06-02 18:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x4107…f85f | Yes | +1,282 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-02 18:12 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +1,108 | $5 | $5 | 8 | 06-24 16:04 |
| Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e1…27af | No | +911 | $900 | $900 | 2 | 06-03 07:41 |
| Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | +856 | $1 | $1 | 45 | 06-28 23:17 |
| Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | +734 | $-0 | $3 | 4 | 06-24 23:15 |
| Conventional-Sesame 0x184e…cf96 | No | +639 | $626 | $626 | 2 | 06-11 10:49 |
| Dull-Simplicity 0xad60…9169 | Yes | +576 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-07 12:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x96b9…9003 | Yes | +500 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-29 07:06 |
| Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | +368 | $-0 | $2 | 34 | 06-29 16:50 |
| Equatorial-Avenue 0xa8c7…7e6d | Yes | +229 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-03 00:35 |
| Musty-Bit 0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | +220 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-16 12:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x0e4d…7ec3 | Yes | +172 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-23 17:16 |
| Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | +125 | $115 | $434 | 5 | 06-03 07:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x2905…334f | No | +100 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 06-21 15:56 |
| Ample-Endoderm 0x7a7a…c8b6 | Yes | +75 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 21:44 |
| Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | +74 | $-1 | $19 | 20 | 06-29 07:06 |
| Embarrassed-Snowboarding 0x3f19…05cb | Yes | +54 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-20 21:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e0a…71f9 | No | +53 | $53 | $53 | 2 | 06-03 19:14 |
| Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | Yes | +51 | $0 | $9 | 4 | 06-09 23:57 |
| Moral-Characteristic 0x83e0…90e1 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 14:12 |
| Punctual-Freak 0x1e66…41e7 | Yes | +40 | $0 | $1 | 3 | 06-03 21:08 |
| Favorable-Minorleague 0xc3e5…015d | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-10 18:03 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-01 03:56 |
| Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | +25 | $0 | $0 | 6 | 06-19 06:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x20d2…810e | Yes | +23 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 10:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | +22 | $2 | $10 | 73 | 06-24 23:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x987e…c3bd | Yes | +21 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 06-29 18:22 |
| Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 5 | 06-30 21:10 |
| Squiggly-Princess 0x2e73…c4c2 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-29 18:27 |
| Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 06-30 21:10 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 4 | 06-24 21:30 |
| Decimal-Ginseng 0xc2ca…4419 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-20 21:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 13:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x1327…2e9c | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-20 15:54 |
| Unfit-Boutique 0xd0b7…fa4b | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-29 10:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xee12…fb2a | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-20 15:21 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-03 07:52 |
| Firsthand-Fratricide 0x5e2c…5dc1 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-09 13:53 |
| Tough-Transit 0x8fff…0482 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 06-25 05:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xc565…307f | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-20 15:59 |
| Worn-Miter 0x183a…b513 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-04 01:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1ae…2f56 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-20 16:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 7 | 06-25 03:56 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +7 | $-0 | $0 | 5 | 06-21 08:06 |
| Another-Filing 0x5b62…6714 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-21 08:06 |
| Rich-Livestock 0x0438…c387 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-21 11:09 |
| Luminous-Recliner 0xfd05…9db5 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-22 11:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8ef…910c | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-19 01:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a83…ed55 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-19 15:25 |
| Friendly-Frigate 0x1130…12c5 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-11 17:52 |
| Tender-Scarf 0x19f4…cdcc | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-29 07:32 |
| Female-Inlay 0x9dad…09cb | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-17 06:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 21:10:19 | Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc28b70… |
| 06-30 21:10:19 | Oval-Treaty 0xfc75…8604 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc28b70… |
| 06-30 21:10:19 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc28b70… |
| 06-30 21:10:19 | Discrete-Decision 0x7535…e660 | No | SELL | 61 | 100¢ | $61 | 0xc28b70… |
| 06-30 16:02:04 | Dual-Recession 0x9680…f6a8 | No | SELL | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xd10881… |
| 06-30 16:02:04 | Oval-Treaty 0xfc75…8604 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd10881… |
| 06-30 16:02:04 | Superficial-Type 0xcaf0…5c88 | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xd10881… |
| 06-30 16:02:04 | Pertinent-Insolence 0x8e71…cbb3 | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xd10881… |
| 06-30 05:22:05 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x4840ef… |
| 06-30 05:22:05 | (anonymous) 0xa996…34b5 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x4840ef… |
| 06-29 23:06:13 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x15a850… |
| 06-29 23:06:13 | Bubbly-Rhubarb 0x1f50…1cc1 | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x15a850… |
| 06-29 23:00:37 | Soulful-Assurance 0x1749…0fc8 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x8f6479… |
| 06-29 23:00:37 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8f6479… |
| 06-29 20:46:28 | Bubbly-Rhubarb 0x1f50…1cc1 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x0ad27a… |
| 06-29 20:46:28 | Cuddly-Chin 0xd6c7…ae96 | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x0ad27a… |
| 06-29 20:46:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x0ad27a… |
| 06-29 20:12:34 | Cuddly-Chin 0xd6c7…ae96 | No | SELL | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x48d2ef… |
| 06-29 20:12:34 | Dual-Recession 0x9680…f6a8 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x48d2ef… |
| 06-29 18:22:26 | (anonymous) 0x987e…c3bd | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x01a451… |
| 06-29 18:22:26 | Soulful-Assurance 0x1749…0fc8 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x01a451… |
| 06-29 16:50:17 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x85642e… |
| 06-29 16:50:17 | Thin-Paste 0x4933…8ece | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x85642e… |
| 06-29 16:07:55 | Superficial-Type 0xcaf0…5c88 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xd21a0a… |
| 06-29 16:07:55 | (anonymous) 0x987e…c3bd | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd21a0a… |
| 06-29 15:26:11 | Safe-Cut 0xc4bf…7b36 | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xdbc029… |
| 06-29 15:26:11 | Thin-Paste 0x4933…8ece | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xdbc029… |
| 06-29 15:26:11 | (anonymous) 0x987e…c3bd | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdbc029… |
| 06-29 15:20:41 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | No | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xcb0cc0… |
| 06-29 15:20:41 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcb0cc0… |
| 06-29 14:08:50 | Safe-Cut 0xc4bf…7b36 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xe8203b… |
| 06-29 14:08:50 | Pertinent-Insolence 0x8e71…cbb3 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xe8203b… |
| 06-29 14:08:50 | Unwieldy-Printer 0x90dd…70ab | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xe8203b… |
| 06-29 12:21:29 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x67bfce… |
| 06-29 12:21:29 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x67bfce… |
| 06-29 11:54:49 | Noted-Upper 0x37e5…0235 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xf059ff… |
| 06-29 11:54:49 | (anonymous) 0x8afa…cd47 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf059ff… |
| 06-29 11:54:49 | Unwieldy-Printer 0x90dd…70ab | No | SELL | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xf059ff… |
| 06-29 09:12:01 | Sugary-Structure 0x3b22…06bd | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x2fd7b5… |
| 06-29 09:12:01 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2fd7b5… |
| 06-29 08:22:46 | Sugary-Structure 0x3b22…06bd | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xd933f4… |
| 06-29 08:22:46 | Noted-Upper 0x37e5…0235 | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xd933f4… |
| 06-29 07:32:25 | Bubbly-Rhubarb 0x1f50…1cc1 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x370c75… |
| 06-29 07:32:25 | Tender-Scarf 0x19f4…cdcc | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x370c75… |
| 06-29 07:32:25 | Noted-Upper 0x37e5…0235 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x370c75… |
| 06-29 07:29:25 | Bubbly-Rhubarb 0x1f50…1cc1 | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x199ad2… |
| 06-29 07:29:25 | Cuddly-Chin 0xd6c7…ae96 | No | BUY | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0x199ad2… |
| 06-29 07:29:25 | Attractive-Birdhouse 0x9554…286c | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x199ad2… |
| 06-29 07:29:25 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x199ad2… |
| 06-29 07:10:40 | Cuddly-Chin 0xd6c7…ae96 | No | SELL | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x457137… |
| 06-29 07:10:40 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x457137… |
| 06-29 07:06:31 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x74060a… |
| 06-29 07:06:31 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 238 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x74060a… |
| 06-29 07:06:31 | (anonymous) 0x96b9…9003 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x74060a… |
| 06-29 07:06:31 | Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x74060a… |
| 06-29 07:06:31 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 252 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x74060a… |
| 06-29 06:58:37 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x520e05… |
| 06-29 06:58:37 | Joint-Streetcar 0x8b82…acf3 | No | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x520e05… |
| 06-29 06:07:28 | Cuddly-Chin 0xd6c7…ae96 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x9cab90… |
| 06-29 06:07:28 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | SELL | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x9cab90… |
| 06-29 04:48:29 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde24ee… |
| 06-29 04:48:29 | (anonymous) 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0xde24ee… |
| 06-29 02:39:26 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x07da6d… |
| 06-29 02:39:26 | Kindhearted-Politician 0x288f…c06d | No | SELL | 19 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x07da6d… |
| 06-28 23:17:43 | (anonymous) 0x38ab…ab66 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xe5e450… |
| 06-28 23:17:43 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe5e450… |
| 06-28 22:48:20 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2617ec… |
| 06-28 22:48:20 | Official-Handsaw 0x07be…72fb | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x2617ec… |
| 06-28 21:48:53 | Unwieldy-Printer 0x90dd…70ab | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x374310… |
| 06-28 21:48:53 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | SELL | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x374310… |
| 06-28 20:08:10 | Noted-Upper 0x37e5…0235 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x729017… |
| 06-28 20:08:10 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x729017… |
| 06-28 20:00:20 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x4a8d6f… |
| 06-28 20:00:20 | Official-Handsaw 0x07be…72fb | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x4a8d6f… |
| 06-28 19:53:43 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x01a389… |
| 06-28 19:53:43 | Bubbly-Rhubarb 0x1f50…1cc1 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x01a389… |
| 06-28 19:28:13 | Attractive-Birdhouse 0x9554…286c | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x457338… |
| 06-28 19:28:13 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x457338… |
| 06-28 17:13:07 | Safe-Cut 0xc4bf…7b36 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x2c1dbe… |
| 06-28 17:13:07 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x2c1dbe… |
| 06-28 17:07:05 | (anonymous) 0x38ab…ab66 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x4ac761… |
| 06-28 17:07:05 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x4ac761… |
| 06-28 15:17:43 | Kindhearted-Politician 0x288f…c06d | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xeef364… |
| 06-28 15:17:43 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | SELL | 19 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xeef364… |
| 06-28 13:55:59 | Helpless-Draw 0xf4f0…71a6 | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xa243d2… |
| 06-28 13:55:59 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa243d2… |
| 06-28 13:09:52 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 61 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3e10ad… |
| 06-28 13:09:52 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | SELL | 61 | 100¢ | $61 | 0x3e10ad… |
| 06-28 13:09:26 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa92ce0… |
| 06-28 13:09:26 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | BUY | 61 | 100¢ | $61 | 0xa92ce0… |
| 06-28 13:09:26 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa92ce0… |
| 06-28 13:09:26 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | SELL | 33 | 100¢ | $33 | 0xa92ce0… |
| 06-28 12:31:04 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1914a5… |
| 06-28 12:31:04 | Helpless-Draw 0xf4f0…71a6 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x1914a5… |
| 06-28 12:25:50 | (anonymous) 0x72e0…0b96 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x786bd3… |
| 06-28 12:25:50 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x786bd3… |
| 06-28 10:39:35 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcb9ce4… |
| 06-28 10:39:35 | (anonymous) 0x72e0…0b96 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xcb9ce4… |
| 06-28 09:44:56 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8ff9d6… |
| 06-28 09:44:56 | (anonymous) 0xa158…1c1b | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x8ff9d6… |