Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
open
Total volume
$5,279
$69 in 24h
Trades
307
Unique wallets
137
Liquidity
$48,839
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-19 15:52
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1.3K
vs crowd: 3% YES on $3.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $0 | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $20 | $689 | $669 |
| 🐟 Fish | 24 | $22 | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 90 | $77 | $363 | $286 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $20 | $29 | $9 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $2 | $63 | $61 |
| Median | 23 | $0 | $76 | $76 |
| Below median | 17 | $7 | $24 | $17 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $0 | $10 | $10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $8 | $8 | +$0 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $274 | $274 |
| unranked | 66 | $82 | $1.9K | $1.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impassioned-Prohibition 0xfaf9…f4c4 | No | +1,361 | $1,308 | $1,308 | 2 | 06-02 18:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x4107…f85f | Yes | +1,282 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-02 18:12 |
| Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e1…27af | No | +911 | $900 | $900 | 2 | 06-03 07:41 |
| Conventional-Sesame 0x184e…cf96 | No | +639 | $626 | $626 | 2 | 06-11 10:49 |
| Dull-Simplicity 0xad60…9169 | Yes | +576 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-07 12:13 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +300 | $3 | $3 | 4 | 06-14 15:51 |
| Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | +232 | $2 | $7 | 26 | 06-11 17:52 |
| Equatorial-Avenue 0xa8c7…7e6d | Yes | +229 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-03 00:35 |
| Musty-Bit 0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | +220 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-16 12:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | +196 | $1 | $6 | 39 | 06-19 15:52 |
| Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | +125 | $115 | $434 | 5 | 06-03 07:52 |
| Ample-Endoderm 0x7a7a…c8b6 | Yes | +75 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 21:44 |
| Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | +73 | $-3 | $16 | 8 | 06-16 12:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e0a…71f9 | No | +53 | $53 | $53 | 2 | 06-03 19:14 |
| Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | Yes | +51 | $0 | $9 | 4 | 06-09 23:57 |
| Moral-Characteristic 0x83e0…90e1 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 14:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xe517…f89c | No | +41 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-16 12:12 |
| Punctual-Freak 0x1e66…41e7 | Yes | +40 | $0 | $1 | 3 | 06-03 21:08 |
| Discrete-Decision 0x7535…e660 | No | +38 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 06-01 00:26 |
| Favorable-Minorleague 0xc3e5…015d | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-10 18:03 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-01 03:56 |
| Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | +25 | $0 | $0 | 6 | 06-19 06:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x20d2…810e | Yes | +23 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 10:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83a…1f8e | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-29 17:26 |
| Squiggly-Princess 0x2e73…c4c2 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-29 18:27 |
| Unfit-Boutique 0xd0b7…fa4b | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-29 10:49 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +11 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-19 15:25 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-03 07:52 |
| Firsthand-Fratricide 0x5e2c…5dc1 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-09 13:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x9049…a3e7 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-09 13:51 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-18 21:00 |
| Worn-Miter 0x183a…b513 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-04 01:43 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 06-02 09:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8ef…910c | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-19 01:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a83…ed55 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-19 15:25 |
| Friendly-Frigate 0x1130…12c5 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-11 17:52 |
| Female-Inlay 0x9dad…09cb | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-17 06:45 |
| Stark-Accuracy 0x8bb5…fd5e | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-16 00:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe52…ea7b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-17 22:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xd232…bd10 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-18 20:09 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-14 20:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x8056…3485 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-14 20:07 |
| Soulful-Controversy 0x0e0b…a0f5 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-29 17:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xc2c6…f385 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-18 21:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xd11e…9543 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-04 12:52 |
| Zany-Tension 0x0c56…2224 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-16 01:48 |
| Reliable-Recess 0xe07f…a4fb | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-17 19:15 |
| Svelte-Water 0x574f…a66f | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-19 06:21 |
| Brisk-Shirtdress 0x2ff5…e88b | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-15 19:16 |
| Bruised-Stalk 0x8c80…19d9 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-19 15:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 15:52:35 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb465b9… |
| 06-19 15:52:35 | Bruised-Stalk 0x8c80…19d9 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xb465b9… |
| 06-19 15:25:20 | (anonymous) 0x8a83…ed55 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xc62b5c… |
| 06-19 15:25:20 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc62b5c… |
| 06-19 06:21:47 | Svelte-Water 0x574f…a66f | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xf3928d… |
| 06-19 06:21:47 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf3928d… |
| 06-19 06:21:47 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf3928d… |
| 06-19 01:03:59 | (anonymous) 0xe8ef…910c | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x79bd11… |
| 06-19 01:03:59 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x79bd11… |
| 06-18 21:00:08 | (anonymous) 0xc2c6…f385 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x1b4eb1… |
| 06-18 21:00:08 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1b4eb1… |
| 06-18 20:09:55 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x886d6c… |
| 06-18 20:09:55 | (anonymous) 0xd232…bd10 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x886d6c… |
| 06-18 17:51:55 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfaba2e… |
| 06-18 17:51:55 | Rural-Delight 0x39e5…e22d | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xfaba2e… |
| 06-17 22:05:19 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x589e25… |
| 06-17 22:05:19 | (anonymous) 0xfe52…ea7b | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x589e25… |
| 06-17 19:59:35 | Common-Surge 0x31ea…b40e | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x7191c1… |
| 06-17 19:59:35 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7191c1… |
| 06-17 19:59:28 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x59380a… |
| 06-17 19:59:28 | Common-Surge 0x31ea…b40e | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x59380a… |
| 06-17 19:15:13 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3c2ea5… |
| 06-17 19:15:13 | Reliable-Recess 0xe07f…a4fb | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x3c2ea5… |
| 06-17 06:45:08 | Female-Inlay 0x9dad…09cb | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x5ec71e… |
| 06-17 06:45:08 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5ec71e… |
| 06-17 06:45:08 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x5ec71e… |
| 06-17 04:03:16 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa94328… |
| 06-17 04:03:16 | (anonymous) 0xe76e…3f4d | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xa94328… |
| 06-17 01:24:46 | Decimal-Ginseng 0xc2ca…4419 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x17f57c… |
| 06-17 01:24:46 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x17f57c… |
| 06-16 12:12:25 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 142 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xa0526c… |
| 06-16 12:12:25 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xa0526c… |
| 06-16 12:12:25 | Musty-Bit 0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | BUY | 220 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xa0526c… |
| 06-16 12:12:25 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa0526c… |
| 06-16 12:12:25 | (anonymous) 0xe517…f89c | No | BUY | 41 | 98¢ | $40 | 0xa0526c… |
| 06-16 01:48:52 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfb5078… |
| 06-16 01:48:52 | Zany-Tension 0x0c56…2224 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xfb5078… |
| 06-16 00:07:57 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb778a0… |
| 06-16 00:07:57 | Stark-Accuracy 0x8bb5…fd5e | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xb778a0… |
| 06-15 19:16:03 | Brisk-Shirtdress 0x2ff5…e88b | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x8c1725… |
| 06-15 19:16:03 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8c1725… |
| 06-15 15:47:36 | (anonymous) 0xf220…e924 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8d0353… |
| 06-15 15:47:36 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8d0353… |
| 06-15 14:11:51 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | No | SELL | 23 | 98¢ | $22 | 0xd471a1… |
| 06-15 14:11:51 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd471a1… |
| 06-15 09:39:22 | (anonymous) 0x20c6…f035 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x068106… |
| 06-15 09:39:22 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x068106… |
| 06-14 20:07:49 | (anonymous) 0x8056…3485 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcc9270… |
| 06-14 20:07:49 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcc9270… |
| 06-14 15:51:43 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe6b0d0… |
| 06-14 15:51:43 | (anonymous) 0x1594…e7dc | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xe6b0d0… |
| 06-14 15:51:43 | Agile-Kettledrum 0x5457…2ba9 | Yes | SELL | 91 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe6b0d0… |
| 06-14 15:51:43 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 32 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe6b0d0… |
| 06-11 22:32:04 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xdaea32… |
| 06-11 22:32:04 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdaea32… |
| 06-11 21:20:55 | Enchanted-Watch 0x18c8…504c | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9322ad… |
| 06-11 21:20:55 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9322ad… |
| 06-11 21:00:24 | (anonymous) 0x47c7…b476 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6c9062… |
| 06-11 21:00:24 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6c9062… |
| 06-11 17:52:33 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa217b2… |
| 06-11 17:52:33 | Friendly-Frigate 0x1130…12c5 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xa217b2… |
| 06-11 17:12:21 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xff8667… |
| 06-11 17:12:21 | Haunting-Granny 0xa93a…dd0a | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xff8667… |
| 06-11 10:49:01 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb36f85… |
| 06-11 10:49:01 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 141 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xb36f85… |
| 06-11 10:49:01 | Conventional-Sesame 0x184e…cf96 | No | BUY | 419 | 99¢ | $414 | 0xb36f85… |
| 06-11 10:49:01 | Irresponsible-Bibliography 0xd4b8…7bf1 | No | SELL | 38 | 99¢ | $37 | 0xb36f85… |
| 06-11 10:49:01 | (anonymous) 0xc089…3a18 | No | SELL | 52 | 99¢ | $51 | 0xb36f85… |
| 06-11 10:49:01 | (anonymous) 0xad5a…3782 | No | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $49 | 0xb36f85… |
| 06-11 10:49:01 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb36f85… |
| 06-11 01:48:45 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe1f592… |
| 06-11 01:48:45 | (anonymous) 0xf220…e924 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xe1f592… |
| 06-10 18:03:43 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x97ea12… |
| 06-10 18:03:43 | Favorable-Minorleague 0xc3e5…015d | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x97ea12… |
| 06-10 07:45:01 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 19 | 98¢ | $18 | 0xaac2ef… |
| 06-10 07:45:01 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 74 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xaac2ef… |
| 06-10 07:45:01 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xaac2ef… |
| 06-10 07:45:01 | Staid-Sovereignty 0x4ea9…1651 | Yes | SELL | 192 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xaac2ef… |
| 06-10 07:45:01 | (anonymous) 0xe556…2416 | No | SELL | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0xaac2ef… |
| 06-09 23:57:12 | Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | Yes | SELL | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcb9ae1… |
| 06-09 23:57:12 | Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | No | SELL | 15 | 98¢ | $14 | 0xcb9ae1… |
| 06-09 18:52:49 | Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | Yes | SELL | 105 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xbf768d… |
| 06-09 18:52:49 | Hairy-Guinea 0x9297…0068 | No | SELL | 105 | 98¢ | $103 | 0xbf768d… |
| 06-09 16:54:10 | Icy-Disk 0xa994…19a6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0d0521… |
| 06-09 16:54:10 | (anonymous) 0xc7af…252d | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x0d0521… |
| 06-09 13:53:49 | Firsthand-Fratricide 0x5e2c…5dc1 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x2620b9… |
| 06-09 13:53:49 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x2620b9… |
| 06-09 13:51:12 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xd0ddf0… |
| 06-09 13:51:12 | (anonymous) 0x9049…a3e7 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xd0ddf0… |
| 06-09 02:01:06 | Insistent-Term 0x4661…18b5 | No | SELL | 106 | 98¢ | $104 | 0xf866ad… |
| 06-09 02:01:06 | Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | Yes | SELL | 94 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xf866ad… |
| 06-09 02:01:06 | (anonymous) 0xc089…3a18 | No | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0xf866ad… |
| 06-08 17:57:54 | (anonymous) 0xc089…3a18 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x033139… |
| 06-08 17:57:54 | Weepy-Prosecution 0xf176…74d0 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x033139… |
| 06-08 17:51:24 | Spiffy-Suet 0xae60…5970 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x4ea938… |
| 06-08 17:51:24 | (anonymous) 0xc089…3a18 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x4ea938… |
| 06-08 17:43:36 | Unkempt-Coordination 0xf4a1…14d0 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x295c2e… |
| 06-08 17:43:36 | (anonymous) 0xc089…3a18 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x295c2e… |
| 06-08 17:03:03 | (anonymous) 0xc089…3a18 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x1fa413… |
| 06-08 17:03:03 | (anonymous) 0x6cc8…73ca | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x1fa413… |