Soulful-Assurance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

72.4%

Resolved

348

Trades

772

lifetime

Volume

$9.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$13

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 11-10 11:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

74% 77% +$0

Crypto

15% 72% +$0

Politics

7% 52% $0

Sports

2% 78% +$0

Tech

1% 67% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No		-8	-$8	100¢	$-8	$0	05-03 20:28
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No		+5	$5	100¢	$5	$0	11-10 11:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on August 3?	4	$80	40	40	+0	No	+$0	08-03 10:27
xrp above 1pt3 on july 27 2026	5	$69	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-27 12:03
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 12?	3	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-12 05:53
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on July 4?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-03 22:43
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	06-29 22:59
will king abdullah ii sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950084	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-31 19:14
Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	06-02 02:24
xrp above 1pt3 on august 1 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	08-01 04:20
will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-30 18:01
ethereum above 2100 on july 30 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-30 00:46
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-22 11:11
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on June 28?	6	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-27 18:28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C or below on August 2?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-02 10:30
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-03 10:28
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on July 17?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-17 02:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 14?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-13 11:47
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on August 4?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	08-03 15:44
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on July 22?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-21 17:50
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C or higher on July 8?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-08 19:26
Will Robert Neuman win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	4	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-18 05:48
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 29?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-29 12:11
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 58m?	4	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-28 18:55
Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-28 01:21
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on June 29?	4	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	06-29 07:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	2	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	05-23 14:09
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 5?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-05 07:25
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 14?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-14 15:16
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-25 04:05
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C or higher on July 10?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-10 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on July 12?	5	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-12 00:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 11:26:15	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x07693c…
10-22 06:12:43	Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4385d5…
10-11 08:11:48	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x01f835…
10-11 08:10:54	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x02b4a7…
10-11 08:10:01	Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x956838…
10-11 08:09:09	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x39f901…
10-11 08:08:19	Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4d0194…
10-03 13:06:38	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x42083c…
09-23 17:11:44	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x78565e…
09-18 17:24:07	Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf36869…
09-13 17:00:19	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcb5324…
09-04 00:10:57	Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6ce8e2…
09-03 09:53:00	Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x36fd12…
09-03 09:51:48	Will CF Montréal win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x8e1ed2…
09-01 16:08:07	Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x43c0f3…
08-14 03:52:21	Will CF Montréal win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf93869…
08-06 10:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1a542d…
08-05 00:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x63da39…
08-04 20:40:06	Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x51b95b…
08-04 19:15:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 5?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x74029e…
08-04 17:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x67adee…
08-04 17:13:14	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x644077…
08-04 16:06:59	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 5?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x210244…
08-04 14:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 5?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5bf555…
08-04 11:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or below on August 5?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4fefbc…
08-04 10:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 4?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0a085c…
08-04 07:34:17	bitcoin above 58k on august 4 2026	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3030f6…
08-04 07:29:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 4?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$18	0x87fddd…
08-04 07:28:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on August 4?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x276a00…
08-04 06:26:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x42e97a…
08-04 04:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on August 4?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0x59fab8…
08-04 02:12:35	Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x536c0d…
08-04 02:12:35	Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x487e1b…
08-04 00:34:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 4?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5ebac9…
08-03 22:30:57	bitcoin above 58k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbf2896…
08-03 20:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x5cb880…
08-03 16:32:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on August 4?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x33074a…
08-03 15:44:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on August 4?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x48a5b6…
08-03 15:37:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on August 4?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5ae9f7…
08-03 11:59:29	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on August 4?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x147f74…
08-03 10:32:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xc59015…
08-03 10:28:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x088467…
08-03 10:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on August 3?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xda43cf…
08-03 09:55:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4ac2c6…
08-03 07:22:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on August 3?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8d3145…
08-03 07:00:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd3daf4…
08-03 05:24:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on August 3?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x58cab4…
08-03 03:20:56	will solana dip to 60 july 27 august 2 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xa9f43a…
08-03 01:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on August 3?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x367403…
08-03 01:36:38	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x3da460…
08-03 01:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on August 3?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa5ecee…
08-02 20:13:36	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xcb2b00…
08-02 17:32:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on August 3?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8a9509…
08-02 17:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 2?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x4a8053…
08-02 12:51:30	will solana dip to 60 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd78a72…
08-02 11:40:15	Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xba4712…
08-02 10:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 2?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x50a45d…
08-02 10:53:15	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on August 2?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x63341f…
08-02 10:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C or below on August 2?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$28	0x7da208…
08-02 06:56:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on August 2?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x3860a4…
08-02 01:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 2?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x38745c…
08-02 00:09:57	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x869928…
08-01 22:11:23	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x42eca9…
08-01 20:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C or below on August 2?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0x29895c…
08-01 19:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe96340…
08-01 18:14:41	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x763ad0…
08-01 17:02:21	Will Neuralink have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8c9e2b…
08-01 17:02:15	Will Neuralink have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xb9587d…
08-01 16:22:41	will bytedances valuation hit high 650b by july 31 20260630205251338	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xeca66a…
08-01 13:29:20	will bytedances valuation hit high 650b by july 31 20260630205251338	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5ae5c9…
08-01 09:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcc16a2…
08-01 07:45:53	Will Neuralink have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x44762d…
08-01 04:23:48	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x7e000f…
08-01 04:20:05	xrp above 1pt3 on august 1 2026	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xe17158…
08-01 04:00:21	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 31	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x17e919…
08-01 02:36:59	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 31	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x8e3f45…
07-31 23:18:08	will bytedances valuation hit high 650b by july 31 20260630205251338	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa76886…
07-31 21:21:27	will pete hegseth sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950070	No	SELL	11	100¢	$10	0xcd5275…
07-31 20:37:26	xrp above 1pt3 on august 1 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x694787…
07-31 19:15:06	will mishal al ahmad al jaber al sabah sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950083	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x4b7e4e…
07-31 19:14:59	will king abdullah ii sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950084	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xf544ec…
07-31 18:23:14	will pete hegseth sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950070	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x3e1768…
07-31 16:00:05	Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xbdbae7…
07-31 15:24:56	Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x06cf11…
07-31 07:34:02	will king abdullah ii sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950084	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4f0934…
07-31 05:58:39	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x845b97…
07-31 05:09:29	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x5a43ad…
07-31 03:11:48	will mishal al ahmad al jaber al sabah sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950083	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x693c39…
07-31 01:25:14	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 30	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x21b391…
07-30 22:37:23	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xd4f699…
07-30 21:24:23	Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2a1c63…
07-30 19:59:05	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 39°C or higher on July 31?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf7407c…
07-30 19:55:51	Will Jake Austin win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x288b4b…
07-30 19:51:33	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x8401c8…
07-30 18:48:36	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9325f1…
07-30 18:01:29	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xf6d2cd…
07-30 16:38:09	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdd958f…
07-30 15:28:21	Will Jake Austin win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x576dfd…
07-30 13:22:35	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 39°C or higher on July 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x03fcce…
07-30 11:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on July 30?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x93179c…