Sugary-Structure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

74.1%

Resolved

311

Trades

696

lifetime

Volume

$9.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$16

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 11-01 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

75% 77% +$1

Crypto

17% 75% +$0

Politics

5% 75% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 75% +$0

Sports

1% 33% $0

Tech

1% 67% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+8	$8	100¢	$8	+$0	11-01 13:12
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No		+8	$8	100¢	$8	+$0	10-17 15:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Nationalist Party win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?	4	$71	35	35	+0	No	+$0	05-31 02:20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on July 22?	6	$69	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-22 00:01
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on July 12?	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-12 14:03
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-06 00:50
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on July 11?	4	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-11 12:06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 31?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-31 11:17
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on July 4?	6	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-04 14:25
ethereum above 2000 on july 4 2026	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-03 16:22
bitcoin above 68k on july 11 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-11 03:22
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on July 6?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-05 12:34
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or below on May 26?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-26 01:26
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-21 13:56
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-26 14:01
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 John Deere Classic?	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-04 19:24
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,700 on May 28?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-28 05:47
Will Amazon have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-31 12:29
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on July 16?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-16 06:24
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 0 or 1 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-02 23:42
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	06-28 20:16
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 21?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-21 18:15
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C or below on May 26?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-26 09:56
will bitcoin dip to 54k on june 26	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-26 21:19
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 30?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-29 22:19
amzn above 330 on june 30 2026	5	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-30 19:42
bitcoin above 68k on july 16 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-16 07:13
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-25 11:13
will bitcoin reach 65k on july 3	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-04 00:00
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-21 19:49
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 27?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	06-27 03:00
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	4	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-28 05:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 13:12:48	Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce7541…
11-01 07:22:36	Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x9fac96…
10-17 15:46:57	Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f25f2…
10-11 15:24:25	Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x143a64…
10-08 22:15:11	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3fbd40…
10-08 22:14:18	Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3917d0…
10-08 22:13:23	Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd02c1f…
10-08 22:12:32	Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x3d6099…
10-08 22:11:42	Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x174e3e…
10-08 22:10:50	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x7f7100…
09-22 20:23:33	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6b22b0…
09-11 21:24:51	Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x198a15…
09-04 04:45:04	Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa4457f…
08-30 01:08:19	Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xccd3d6…
08-13 00:37:54	Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0xd44cd2…
08-10 01:10:15	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe8ccc5…
07-23 15:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C or higher on July 23?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x758df5…
07-22 08:13:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 22?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x570cd9…
07-22 03:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C or higher on July 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb75505…
07-22 02:47:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 22?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd096bc…
07-22 01:29:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 22?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc6ce80…
07-22 01:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C or higher on July 22?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x574070…
07-22 00:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 22?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd645b6…
07-22 00:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on July 22?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x611372…
07-21 23:57:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on July 22?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x8c0e6b…
07-21 23:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on July 22?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3e8e08…
07-21 20:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on July 22?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x3aff26…
07-21 19:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x15080b…
07-21 19:45:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x50f11d…
07-21 18:15:58	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 21?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x3001fe…
07-21 17:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C or higher on July 22?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xbec8b3…
07-21 17:37:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 21?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$16	0x3300b9…
07-21 17:02:19	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 21	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb712b3…
07-21 17:02:19	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 21	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x949629…
07-21 16:08:54	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 21	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0x4e9f08…
07-21 14:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on July 22?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x5cf3ed…
07-21 13:56:52	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xd890d5…
07-21 13:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa9bc54…
07-21 11:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on July 22?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1fe10c…
07-21 09:22:18	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x03630c…
07-21 08:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on July 21?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd7145a…
07-21 08:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on July 21?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x97c769…
07-21 08:47:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on July 21?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0b2f29…
07-21 08:43:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on July 21?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6bf960…
07-21 07:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on July 21?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x28d059…
07-21 05:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 21?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xbfc41f…
07-21 04:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on July 21?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2ce7e1…
07-21 02:11:24	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xdb6f84…
07-21 02:00:33	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x45edee…
07-21 01:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on July 21?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x81131b…
07-20 23:52:43	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x404374…
07-20 18:54:36	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9c6906…
07-20 18:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on July 21?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xffd9fa…
07-20 18:51:25	Will "Future - The Real Me" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xa51e07…
07-20 18:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on July 21?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0109a2…
07-20 14:39:48	Will "Future - The Real Me" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xdbda4d…
07-20 11:07:51	ethereum above 1700 on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x26c295…
07-20 11:03:19	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x09ad21…
07-20 04:41:57	ethereum above 1700 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xdb7f0d…
07-20 03:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 20?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x218ab1…
07-20 01:50:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d69c2…
07-20 00:26:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on July 19?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xb7e26b…
07-19 22:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 20?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x976862…
07-19 21:42:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x627b6e…
07-19 16:24:55	Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on July 20?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0x9b537f…
07-19 15:19:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on July 19?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x9022d9…
07-19 13:25:01	Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on July 20?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xdc0c6f…
07-19 06:11:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on July 19?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc6a254…
07-19 03:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 19?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4f0304…
07-19 02:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on July 19?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x050b39…
07-19 01:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 19?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x015d1f…
07-18 23:42:27	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xacc3b8…
07-18 23:06:22	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3c7cc0…
07-18 12:26:22	Will Rickie Fowler win the 2026 The Open Championship?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xaaea6f…
07-17 23:47:58	Will Rickie Fowler win the 2026 The Open Championship?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x3bee0b…
07-17 21:20:09	2026 corales puntacana championship top5 emiliano grillo	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x71ff13…
07-17 20:20:25	Will Rickie Fowler win the 2026 The Open Championship?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc4538d…
07-17 18:48:19	2026 corales puntacana championship top5 emiliano grillo	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1f2c58…
07-17 14:37:40	2026 corales puntacana championship top5 emiliano grillo	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x59c1c0…
07-17 09:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb8e274…
07-17 08:50:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 17?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x0409ca…
07-17 08:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8b68d…
07-17 07:28:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 17?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xca0f08…
07-17 04:41:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C or below on July 18?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x6fa6fa…
07-17 03:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 98°F or higher on July 17?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x38240e…
07-17 02:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C or below on July 18?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x19f619…
07-17 01:23:05	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 39.0 on July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xc2c6a4…
07-17 01:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 98°F or higher on July 17?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x544bb6…
07-17 01:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 98°F or higher on July 17?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd070bd…
07-16 23:50:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 17?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xda57d0…
07-16 23:16:40	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 39.0 on July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb0db2b…
07-16 20:45:13	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 16	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x64ec23…
07-16 19:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 17?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x534a05…
07-16 19:31:05	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 16	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x90cbd3…
07-16 17:53:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 17?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa792d0…
07-16 14:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 17?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x73d4f1…
07-16 13:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 17?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x177a08…
07-16 12:28:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 17?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfce84a…
07-16 10:47:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 17?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xaeb234…
07-16 08:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 98°F or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa518a4…