Firsthand-Fratricide 0x5e2c90…4c5dc1
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$585
Unrealized P&L
+$56
Hit rate
80.7%
Resolved
636
Trades
3,111
lifetime
Volume
$44.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$1.79K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-07
last 10-27 04:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 146 days
Categories
Other
46% 63% -$707
Politics
39% 74% +$10
Sports
6% 79% +$65
Crypto
6% 45% -$44
Tech
3% 91% +$91
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 No +300 $291 98¢ $293 +$2 10-07 15:15
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M? Yes +248 $233 96¢ $239 +$6 10-22 12:14
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -125 -$109 96¢ $-120 -$11 08-05 07:14
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +100 $72 98¢ $98 +$26 10-23 17:35
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +100 $78 96¢ $96 +$18 09-21 13:24
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +80 $78 98¢ $79 +$1 09-14 01:59
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +70 $30 96¢ $67 +$37 10-12 12:55
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +70 $65 95¢ $66 +$1 09-03 20:38
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +70 $64 80¢ $56 -$9 09-23 18:50
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +50 $46 96¢ $48 +$2 08-21 04:43
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +50 $45 95¢ $47 +$2 09-09 08:45
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +57 $34 80¢ $46 +$12 10-26 16:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +40 $36 99¢ $40 +$4 09-12 11:00
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +40 $36 97¢ $39 +$3 09-07 23:16
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +40 $37 94¢ $37 +$0 09-11 13:07
russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189 Yes +40 $21 85¢ $34 +$13 10-04 12:49
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +40 $30 84¢ $34 +$4 09-09 08:09
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No -32 -$29 98¢ $-32 -$3 07-31 08:29
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +250 $42 12¢ $31 -$10 08-24 14:11
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +30 $29 99¢ $30 +$0 09-10 21:10
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +30 $29 98¢ $30 +$1 08-13 03:32
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +30 $28 97¢ $29 +$1 09-11 21:52
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +30 $27 96¢ $29 +$1 09-06 19:05
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +30 $27 90¢ $27 +$0 10-03 11:21
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +30 $26 89¢ $27 +$1 09-07 19:49
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +40 $22 66¢ $27 +$5 09-21 05:04
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -31 -$20 86¢ $-27 -$7 05-19 19:36
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +30 $26 86¢ $26 -$1 08-31 11:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +180 $62 12¢ $21 -$42 09-11 11:06
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -40 -$18 50¢ $-20 -$3 06-28 15:51