Firsthand-Fratricide 0x5e2c90…4c5dc1
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$181
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
74.6%
Resolved
25
Trades
1,486
lifetime
Volume
$23.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$343
20 positions
First seen
2026-04-07
last 07-20 17:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
42% 61% $-61
Politics
41% 75% $-114
Crypto
9% — —
Sports
7% 67% $-6
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +60 $57 96¢ $57 $-0 07-16 18:31
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +40 $33 84¢ $33 +$0 06-25 21:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -40 $-36 74¢ $-29 +$6 06-21 05:08
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +30 $29 98¢ $29 +$0 07-07 03:25
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +20 $19 97¢ $19 +$0 06-03 14:13
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +20 $19 95¢ $19 $-0 06-03 21:25
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No -20 $-19 95¢ $-19 $-0 06-29 17:03
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +20 $17 94¢ $19 +$2 06-30 19:00
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -20 $-19 93¢ $-19 +$1 07-03 05:25
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +20 $15 86¢ $17 +$2 05-28 18:11
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? No -248 $-19 5¢ $-12 +$7 07-16 22:51
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +10 $9 95¢ $9 +$0 06-09 16:26
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -100 $-6 9¢ $-9 $-4 05-29 10:12
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-9 92¢ $-9 +$0 06-24 09:22
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +10 $9 87¢ $9 $-1 06-08 03:28
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +11 $9 69¢ $7 $-1 06-06 17:43
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +40 $16 18¢ $7 $-9 06-14 16:28
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +10 $6 68¢ $7 +$1 06-10 16:45
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -10 $-8 68¢ $-7 +$1 07-13 12:08
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026? No -6 $-5 85¢ $-5 +$0 06-13 09:59