Realized P&L
+$4.33K
Unrealized P&L
+$270
Hit rate
77.6%
Resolved
1,167
Trades
15,369
lifetime
Volume
$13.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$336
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-27 04:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 213 days
Categories
Politics
52% 44% +$3,410
Other
46% 29% +$924
Tech
1% 52% +$5
Crypto
1% 32% -$5
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$5
Sports
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 314 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? Yes +3,210 -$16 1¢ $40 +$56 10-04 19:28
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? Yes +2,500 -$4 2¢ $39 +$43 09-09 17:42
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? Yes +2,300 -$3 1¢ $28 +$30 10-21 14:46
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? Yes +3,580 $4 1¢ $27 +$23 10-21 13:53
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +40 $21 66¢ $26 +$6 09-11 21:03
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +1,159 $2 2¢ $19 +$17 09-25 14:11
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? Yes +3,360 $10 1¢ $18 +$9 10-21 13:53
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes +6,490 $16 0¢ $16 $0 10-12 07:34
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? Yes +1,420 -$37 1¢ $15 +$52 09-24 10:20
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? Yes +1,946 -$10 1¢ $11 +$21 08-29 20:26
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +60 $17 18¢ $10 -$6 10-01 18:29
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +50 $4 18¢ $9 +$5 08-14 08:51
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? Yes +5,400 $10 0¢ $8 -$2 10-21 12:42
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? Yes +3,000 $7 0¢ $8 +$0 08-31 17:30
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes +372 $9 2¢ $7 -$2 09-23 17:34
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? Yes +260 $6 3¢ $7 +$1 10-19 11:46
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? Yes +4,000 $5 0¢ $6 +$1 10-05 10:09
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? Yes +4,000 $5 0¢ $6 +$1 10-09 13:52
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? Yes +120 $0 4¢ $5 +$4 10-10 10:51
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? Yes +3,040 $8 0¢ $5 -$3 10-07 04:27
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland? Yes +4,343 $6 0¢ $4 -$1 09-13 16:23
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +20 $4 20¢ $4 $0 10-19 19:31
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? Yes +3,970 $5 0¢ $4 -$1 09-09 17:42
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? Yes +3,840 $4 0¢ $4 $0 09-11 12:17
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +100 -$10 3¢ $3 +$12 10-21 20:42
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +10 $1 25¢ $3 +$1 06-13 13:10
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? Yes +860 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 08-15 14:20
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? Yes +1,280 -$2 0¢ $1 +$3 09-13 16:22
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31? Yes +320 $1 0¢ $1 +$1 08-12 04:48
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? Yes +800 $1 0¢ $1 $0 09-22 17:55