Realized P&L
+$4.33K
Unrealized P&L
+$254
Hit rate
77.6%
Resolved
1,167
Trades
15,443
lifetime
Volume
$13.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$312
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-29 09:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 213 days
Categories
Politics
52% 44% +$3,410
Other
46% 29% +$924
Tech
1% 52% +$5
Crypto
1% 32% -$5
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$5
Sports
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 314 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? Yes +4,689 -$14 1¢ $56 +$70 10-27 21:18
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +1,019 -$4 3¢ $33 +$37 10-28 08:25
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? Yes +3,580 $4 1¢ $29 +$25 10-21 13:53
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +40 $21 68¢ $27 +$6 09-11 21:03
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? Yes +2,300 -$3 1¢ $23 +$26 10-21 14:46
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? Yes +1,946 -$10 1¢ $21 +$32 08-29 20:26
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes +6,490 $16 0¢ $16 $0 10-12 07:34
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +60 $17 16¢ $10 -$7 10-01 18:29
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? Yes +3,360 $10 0¢ $8 -$1 10-21 13:53
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes +372 $9 2¢ $8 -$1 09-23 17:34
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? Yes +5,400 $10 0¢ $8 -$2 10-21 12:42
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? Yes +3,040 $8 0¢ $8 $0 10-07 04:27
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? Yes +1,420 -$37 0¢ $7 +$44 09-24 10:20
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? Yes +260 $6 3¢ $7 +$1 10-19 11:46
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? Yes +2,500 -$4 0¢ $6 +$10 09-09 17:42
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? Yes +4,000 $5 0¢ $6 +$1 10-05 10:09
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? Yes +4,000 $5 0¢ $6 +$1 10-09 13:52
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? Yes +3,000 $7 0¢ $5 -$3 08-31 17:30
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland? Yes +4,343 $6 0¢ $4 -$1 09-13 16:23
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? Yes +3,970 $5 0¢ $4 -$1 09-09 17:42
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +20 $4 20¢ $4 $0 10-19 19:31
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +50 $4 6¢ $3 -$1 08-14 08:51
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +100 -$10 2¢ $2 +$12 10-21 20:42
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? Yes +120 $0 2¢ $2 +$2 10-10 10:51
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +10 $1 21¢ $2 +$1 06-13 13:10
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? Yes +940 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 10-28 00:05
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? Yes +890 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 10-29 09:53
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? Yes +1,280 -$2 0¢ $1 +$3 09-13 16:22
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31? Yes +320 $1 0¢ $1 +$1 08-12 04:48
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes +80 $1 2¢ $1 +$1 10-24 08:39