Realized P&L
-$60
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
52.6%
Resolved
66
Trades
6,405
lifetime
Volume
$4.44K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$12
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-29 11:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
62% 26% $-59
Politics
34% 25% $-1
Tech
2%
Crypto
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 578 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027? Yes +80 $1 $5 +$4 06-15 07:40
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes +20 $1 $1 +$0 06-19 00:40
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Yes +320 $1 $1 +$0 05-29 13:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30? Yes +560 $1 $1 $-0 06-24 01:02
Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +200 $1 $0 $-1 06-16 02:02
Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +54 $0 $0 +$0 06-09 20:59
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? Yes +190 $0 $0 +$0 06-25 10:22
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +80 $0 $0 $-0 06-13 02:46
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +80 $0 $0 +$0 06-14 19:48
Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +112 $1 $0 $-1 06-13 18:32
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +60 $0 $0 $-0 06-04 01:10
Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30? Yes +142 $1 $0 $-1 06-23 22:02
Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30? Yes +95 $-1 $0 +$1 06-25 09:29
Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +163 $0 $0 $-0 06-14 12:19
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +180 $0 $0 $-0 06-22 23:46
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30? Yes +50 $1 $0 $-1 06-04 05:05
Will Bill Cosby be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +80 $1 $0 $-0 06-16 02:05
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +80 $1 $0 $-1 06-05 21:12
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? Yes +50 $1 $0 $-1 06-04 00:09
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes +55 $0 $0 $-0 06-15 18:27
Will Trump be impeached by June 30? Yes +80 $0 $0 $-0 06-10 21:26
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30? Yes -60 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-25 20:23
Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +40 $0 $0 $-0 06-15 19:45
Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +2 $0 $0 +$0 06-08 05:06
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? Yes +40 $-0 $0 +$0 06-22 02:31
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? Yes +16 $0 $0 $-0 06-01 08:23
Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +20 $0 $0 $-0 06-12 15:19
Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +20 $0 $0 $-0 06-10 07:35
Russian strike on Poland by June 30? Yes +20 $0 $0 $-0 05-29 18:27
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? Yes +0 $-3 $0 +$3 06-17 19:22