Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$71
Hit rate
53.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
5,311
lifetime
Volume
$20.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$176
14 positions
First seen
2026-02-10
last 07-25 00:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
45% 50% $-3
Politics
38% 100% +$0
Sports
6%
Crypto
6%
Tech
4%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 320 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -52 $-49 96¢ $-49 $-1 06-29 20:41
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +29 $27 91¢ $27 $-0 07-23 15:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -75 $-18 30¢ $-23 $-5 06-11 12:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +20 $18 99¢ $20 +$2 07-08 13:49
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +22 $16 73¢ $16 $-0 07-07 22:54
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +11 $5 100¢ $11 +$6 06-19 17:18
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -10 $-10 96¢ $-10 $-0 06-30 02:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +6 $6 97¢ $6 +$0 07-09 05:56
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +7 $5 79¢ $6 +$1 06-29 11:04
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No -5 $-3 60¢ $-3 +$0 07-08 20:28
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 Pacquiao +5 $2 44¢ $2 $-0 07-07 03:42
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 06-17 11:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +189 $75 $1 $-74 07-04 08:08
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -0 $-0 95¢ $-0 +$0 06-29 21:04