(anonymous) 0x987ea1…60c3bd
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
53.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
3,713
lifetime
Volume
$14.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$225
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-10
last 07-04 12:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
44% 50% $-3
Politics
37% 100% +$0
Sports
8% — —
Crypto
8% — —
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 320 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -52 $-49 95¢ $-49 $-0 06-29 20:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -45 $-49 100¢ $-45 +$4 07-04 07:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +189 $75 20¢ $39 $-36 07-04 08:08
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +15 $10 86¢ $13 +$3 07-02 08:28
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +11 $5 100¢ $11 +$6 06-19 17:18
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +11 $10 96¢ $11 +$1 06-30 00:08
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 $-0 06-29 15:19
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -10 $-10 98¢ $-10 $-0 06-30 02:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -75 $-18 12¢ $-9 +$9 06-11 12:24
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +7 $5 76¢ $6 +$1 06-29 11:04
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No -5 $-5 97¢ $-5 +$0 07-04 09:19
Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-30 12:09
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-29 11:34
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +7 $4 64¢ $5 +$0 07-01 12:01
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 06-17 11:36
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -0 $-0 96¢ $-0 $-0 06-29 21:04
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +19 $2 1¢ $0 $-2 06-26 18:51