(anonymous) 0x987ea1…60c3bd
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$65
Unrealized P&L
+$51
Hit rate
69.1%
Resolved
1,799
Trades
11,217
lifetime
Volume
$45.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$534
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-10
last 11-01 22:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 194 days
Categories
Other
45% 50% -$219
Politics
40% 64% +$156
Sports
7% 45% -$51
Crypto
4% 54% +$39
Tech
3% 68% +$8
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 134 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +75 $58 98¢ $74 +$16 10-28 18:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +90 $61 65¢ $58 -$3 10-31 19:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +57 $45 82¢ $47 +$3 10-29 17:54
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +49 $36 74¢ $36 +$1 10-28 22:27
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +32 $20 70¢ $23 +$2 09-25 23:21
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +25 $19 83¢ $20 +$2 11-01 15:47
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +22 $13 88¢ $19 +$6 10-25 22:29
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +19 $15 94¢ $18 +$3 11-01 20:12
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +25 $15 70¢ $18 +$3 10-26 20:53
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +40 $10 42¢ $17 +$7 09-21 13:15
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +17 $15 94¢ $16 +$1 10-05 13:07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +38 $20 41¢ $15 -$4 11-01 08:12
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +19 $15 74¢ $14 $0 10-28 09:44
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No +14 $10 92¢ $13 +$3 10-29 17:46
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? No +13 $10 98¢ $13 +$3 10-04 16:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +14 $10 93¢ $13 +$3 09-28 17:22
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +12 $10 96¢ $12 +$2 10-25 12:18
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +12 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 10-25 14:24
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +12 $10 86¢ $10 +$0 10-28 15:01
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +14 $10 72¢ $10 +$1 10-31 15:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +9 $4 99¢ $9 +$6 10-19 19:10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +25 $15 36¢ $9 -$6 10-31 12:01
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +33 $7 26¢ $8 +$1 11-01 12:44
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +36 $13 24¢ $8 -$5 10-31 04:18
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +11 $6 72¢ $8 +$2 10-28 20:36
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +8 $5 91¢ $8 +$3 10-16 15:35
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +15 $7 43¢ $7 +$0 10-05 18:03
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +8 $5 84¢ $6 +$1 10-18 22:34
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +7 $5 87¢ $6 +$2 10-29 17:54
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +7 $5 88¢ $6 +$1 09-24 16:44