Safe-Cut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

376

Trades

830

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-19 04:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Other

72% 75% +$1

Crypto

20% 79% +$0

Politics

6% 65% $0

Sports

1% 20% $0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No		+7	$7	99¢	$7	$0	10-19 04:49
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No		+3	$3	99¢	$3	$0	09-11 21:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 21?	4	$102	51	51	+0	No	$0	07-20 19:52
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 26?	8	$101	50	50	+0	No	$0	05-26 09:12
ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	4	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-13 09:20
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 15?	4	$82	41	41	+0	No	$0	05-15 09:17
bitcoin above 68k on july 10 2026	3	$79	54	25	+29	No	+$0	07-10 12:50
Will Robert Neuman win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	4	$78	39	39	+0	No	$0	05-19 07:28
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 57°F or below on June 1?	5	$75	37	37	+0	No	$0	06-01 04:07
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 82°F or higher on June 25?	3	$72	36	36	+0	No	+$0	06-25 22:35
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the June meeting?	3	$71	36	36	+0	No	+$0	06-30 16:29
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on May 27?	6	$69	35	35	+0	Yes	$0	05-27 22:00
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	9	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-22 01:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31?	4	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	05-31 15:51
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or higher on May 29?	7	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	05-28 23:58
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 17?	4	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-17 02:22
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 24?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-24 10:43
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	3	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	06-01 22:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 27?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-26 12:29
will rklb reach 88 by july 13 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-17 20:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on June 25?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	06-25 10:59
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on July 7?	5	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-07 06:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 15?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-15 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 4?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-04 07:56
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-21 07:43
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	06-29 09:59
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on May 16?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-16 03:24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 4?	6	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-03 23:22
Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-25 11:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 15?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-15 11:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 3?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-03 11:16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on May 28?	3	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-28 01:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 04:49:47	Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x275961…
10-07 23:30:55	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x668af1…
10-07 23:30:16	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6cbe3d…
09-11 21:59:48	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x397f03…
09-11 15:16:12	Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe5e17d…
09-02 20:55:48	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5bb491…
08-13 07:40:42	Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x170f39…
08-09 22:31:58	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xecc4e9…
07-23 23:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 87°F or below on July 24?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x978d64…
07-23 22:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 87°F or below on July 24?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xb671dd…
07-23 10:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 23?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x978c1e…
07-23 10:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 87°F or below on July 24?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8b5274…
07-23 10:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 23?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$14	0x2d8351…
07-23 09:49:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 23?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xbcef96…
07-23 03:58:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7a6f5c…
07-22 22:49:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 23?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x03cc32…
07-22 21:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 23?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x26900b…
07-22 18:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 23?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x8efabe…
07-22 15:53:22	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x86e18c…
07-22 14:38:58	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x82bdad…
07-22 14:36:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 22?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x26cd60…
07-22 14:33:15	bitcoin above 72k on july 23 2026	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xe3436b…
07-22 11:31:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 22?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x15033d…
07-22 10:53:24	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd03135…
07-22 08:50:00	bitcoin above 72k on july 23 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xf6edb2…
07-22 08:22:10	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x1d987f…
07-22 01:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xee3a24…
07-22 01:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa223fe…
07-22 01:05:57	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc371d1…
07-21 22:40:10	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x289d1a…
07-21 22:05:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8ff033…
07-21 19:45:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x50f11d…
07-21 19:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x062af3…
07-21 19:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x820148…
07-21 19:29:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$6	0x117e99…
07-21 19:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe068f0…
07-21 17:08:07	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd91506…
07-21 13:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xab426c…
07-21 11:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8f6f0e…
07-21 11:29:15	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x99d487…
07-21 10:14:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 21?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x752187…
07-21 08:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x01fbb4…
07-21 07:43:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x1c59cc…
07-21 05:18:52	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x507e80…
07-21 04:51:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on July 21?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x731c24…
07-21 03:00:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on July 21?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x94ac83…
07-20 23:40:54	ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x641fef…
07-20 23:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x429e6f…
07-20 21:35:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on July 20?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xb6616c…
07-20 21:05:31	ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x890c51…
07-20 19:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x35f6ed…
07-20 19:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xee0089…
07-20 17:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x9f27c4…
07-20 11:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0xc20b28…
07-20 07:39:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on July 20?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x72692c…
07-20 02:12:30	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 19	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xff023b…
07-20 02:07:03	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1e94de…
07-20 01:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 20?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x38d5ef…
07-19 23:18:42	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xec2d2f…
07-19 22:30:31	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 19	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1af8a7…
07-19 21:35:57	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x3ff42d…
07-19 21:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 89°F or below on July 20?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6afaa7…
07-19 20:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 89°F or below on July 20?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0xf5b45e…
07-19 20:16:21	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x615d92…
07-19 20:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 89°F or below on July 20?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4eff91…
07-19 15:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 89°F or below on July 20?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd63d2f…
07-19 12:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C or higher on July 20?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4c43a2…
07-19 10:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C or higher on July 20?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf5a82b…
07-19 10:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C or higher on July 20?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb9d8a8…
07-19 09:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C or higher on July 20?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x31b25f…
07-19 08:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 20?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0969f1…
07-19 07:18:04	Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x434d5f…
07-19 02:10:03	Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0ddb96…
07-19 00:36:46	will the odyssey score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xc4096f…
07-18 23:59:31	will the odyssey score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4f585a…
07-17 21:30:43	will bitcoin dip to 56k on july 17	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x70dae9…
07-17 20:45:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on July 18?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe989c5…
07-17 20:13:49	will rklb reach 88 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xd699f2…
07-17 19:04:15	will bitcoin dip to 56k on july 17	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x944428…
07-17 17:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc8b570…
07-17 15:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 18?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x81a120…
07-17 11:19:13	will rklb reach 88 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x191655…
07-17 11:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C or higher on July 17?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x13bda2…
07-17 10:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C or higher on July 17?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x89f661…
07-17 08:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe46b3f…
07-17 06:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xef7a11…
07-17 05:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd68dc0…
07-17 03:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe2a34d…
07-17 02:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 17?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x0e2f84…
07-17 02:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 17?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xdce1ad…
07-17 01:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 17?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x90214f…
07-17 00:56:50	will wti dip to 45 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x20473a…
07-16 23:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 17?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd43eda…
07-16 21:03:31	bitcoin above 70k on july 17 2026	No	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0x30bf73…
07-16 19:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 16?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x38e41e…
07-16 19:08:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 17?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x77d3c3…
07-16 16:07:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 17?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7bcd89…
07-16 15:52:44	bitcoin above 70k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0xed882e…
07-16 12:32:32	will wti dip to 45 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc48068…
07-16 12:15:32	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on July 16?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x1a5a84…