Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
158
lifetime
Volume
$14.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$94
Open exposure
$651
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-11 09:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
50% 100% +$3
Other
25%
Tech
23%
Sports
1%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B? No -200 $-151 79¢ $-158 $-7 05-28 17:04
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +120 $100 88¢ $105 +$5 06-11 09:37
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +107 $100 94¢ $101 +$1 06-09 08:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +102 $100 99¢ $100 +$0 06-02 06:30
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +51 $50 98¢ $50 +$0 06-10 18:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +51 $50 96¢ $49 $-1 06-02 06:32
Russian strike on Poland by June 30? No +30 $30 99¢ $30 +$0 06-10 18:03
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No +31 $30 95¢ $30 $-0 06-10 18:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +39 $30 72¢ $28 $-2 06-01 17:08