Will Trump say "Christmas" in May?
open
Total volume
$2,958
Trades
93
Unique wallets
41
Liquidity
$158
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-31
First seen
2026-05-07
last 06-01 06:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $29 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $145 | $320 | $175 |
| 🐟 Fish | 16 | $22 | $181 | $159 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $64 | $414 | $349 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $169 | $222 | $53 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $19 | $206 | $187 |
| Median | 5 | — | $36 | $36 |
| Below median | 6 | $5 | $138 | $133 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $25 | $9 | +$16 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| unranked | 10 | $42 | $326 | $284 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | +1,219 | $1,217 | $1,217 | 2 | 06-01 06:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x88cb…bb54 | Yes | +620 | $25 | $25 | 5 | 05-31 16:53 |
| Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | +251 | $-0 | $1 | 5 | 06-01 06:04 |
| Required-Rocker 0xc468…009d | No | +200 | $192 | $192 | 1 | 05-31 16:30 |
| Small-Bee 0xcb59…e21d | Yes | +180 | $134 | $134 | 1 | 05-25 17:10 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +110 | $29 | $29 | 9 | 05-29 04:46 |
| Similar-Anybody 0x6e53…22ed | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 2 | 05-26 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x87ba…9fd1 | No | +84 | $77 | $77 | 2 | 05-31 09:28 |
| Modest-Glove 0x5e12…2dff | Yes | +80 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-30 13:47 |
| Tight-Nourishment 0x1718…8cee | No | +62 | $60 | $60 | 3 | 05-29 04:46 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +40 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-25 17:10 |
| Same-Metaphor 0x3f17…9ec2 | Yes | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-25 17:10 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | +21 | $5 | $6 | 6 | 05-30 17:16 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | +21 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 05-31 06:25 |
| Lonely-Hiring 0xc904…1e9a | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-30 17:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | +20 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-25 17:10 |
| Shameful-Ram 0x726c…6bfd | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 05-19 01:38 |
| Overcooked-Plowman 0x3373…3716 | Yes | +19 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-25 17:10 |
| Favorable-Minorleague 0xc3e5…015d | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-20 00:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xd974…457b | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-20 05:51 |
| Dear-Gripper 0x41cb…a5df | No | +12 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-30 13:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x6bfa…c9e7 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-30 13:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x0560…99a4 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-20 05:51 |
| Lovely-Land 0xe944…0837 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-31 07:24 |
| Breakable-Fallingout 0x51b5…9975 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-30 17:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x8165…2f9b | No | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-25 17:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x52a8…7843 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-30 13:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a8e…05a4 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-25 17:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xf02d…e07c | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-25 17:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x3560…b7d4 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-18 16:13 |
| Mundane-Federation 0xafd2…9693 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-26 18:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x78a4…f8f5 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-18 13:11 |
| Other-Experimentation 0xdde4…7bfd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 20:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 06:04:23 | Another-Fratricide 0x1bcd…d4f0 | No | SELL | 321 | 100¢ | $321 | 0x6aad54… |
| 06-01 06:04:23 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | BUY | 218 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x21120b… |
| 06-01 06:04:23 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6aad54… |
| 06-01 06:04:23 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 218 | 100¢ | $217 | 0x21120b… |
| 06-01 06:04:23 | Overjoyed-Highlight 0x80ed…ce26 | No | SELL | 92 | 100¢ | $92 | 0x6aad54… |
| 06-01 06:04:23 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 1,001 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x6aad54… |
| 05-31 20:31:04 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2632b1… |
| 05-31 20:31:04 | Other-Experimentation 0xdde4…7bfd | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x2632b1… |
| 05-31 16:53:11 | Another-Fratricide 0x1bcd…d4f0 | No | BUY | 321 | 96¢ | $308 | 0xf1e952… |
| 05-31 16:53:11 | (anonymous) 0x88cb…bb54 | Yes | BUY | 321 | 4¢ | $13 | 0xf1e952… |
| 05-31 16:30:05 | Required-Rocker 0xc468…009d | No | BUY | 200 | 96¢ | $192 | 0xd28b96… |
| 05-31 16:30:05 | (anonymous) 0x88cb…bb54 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 4¢ | $8 | 0xd28b96… |
| 05-31 09:28:31 | (anonymous) 0x87ba…9fd1 | No | BUY | 79 | 96¢ | $76 | 0xb9c114… |
| 05-31 09:28:31 | (anonymous) 0x88cb…bb54 | Yes | BUY | 79 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xb9c114… |
| 05-31 07:24:59 | (anonymous) 0x88cb…bb54 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x023fde… |
| 05-31 07:24:59 | Lovely-Land 0xe944…0837 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x023fde… |
| 05-31 06:25:28 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x01e34e… |
| 05-31 06:25:28 | (anonymous) 0x88cb…bb54 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x01e34e… |
| 05-30 17:31:47 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x6ffb53… |
| 05-30 17:31:47 | Lonely-Hiring 0xc904…1e9a | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x6ffb53… |
| 05-30 17:16:53 | Breakable-Fallingout 0x51b5…9975 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x73f944… |
| 05-30 17:16:53 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x73f944… |
| 05-30 16:59:40 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x3e8ea7… |
| 05-30 16:59:40 | Breakable-Fallingout 0x51b5…9975 | No | BUY | 8 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x3e8ea7… |
| 05-30 13:47:07 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xeef89a… |
| 05-30 13:47:07 | Modest-Glove 0x5e12…2dff | Yes | BUY | 80 | 12¢ | $10 | 0xeef89a… |
| 05-30 13:47:07 | (anonymous) 0x52a8…7843 | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0xeef89a… |
| 05-30 13:47:07 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xeef89a… |
| 05-30 13:47:07 | (anonymous) 0x6bfa…c9e7 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xeef89a… |
| 05-30 13:47:07 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0xeef89a… |
| 05-30 13:47:07 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xeef89a… |
| 05-30 13:47:07 | Dear-Gripper 0x41cb…a5df | No | BUY | 12 | 76¢ | $9 | 0xeef89a… |
| 05-29 04:46:10 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x02a813… |
| 05-29 04:46:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x02a813… |
| 05-29 04:46:10 | Tight-Nourishment 0x1718…8cee | No | BUY | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0x02a813… |
| 05-29 04:46:03 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x472a06… |
| 05-29 04:46:03 | Tight-Nourishment 0x1718…8cee | No | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0x472a06… |
| 05-29 04:45:58 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x41ab8c… |
| 05-29 04:45:58 | Tight-Nourishment 0x1718…8cee | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x41ab8c… |
| 05-28 16:08:08 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xaaae85… |
| 05-28 16:08:08 | (anonymous) 0xa1ba…e852 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xaaae85… |
| 05-26 23:32:10 | Similar-Anybody 0x6e53…22ed | No | BUY | 61 | 95¢ | $58 | 0x74e803… |
| 05-26 23:32:10 | Overjoyed-Highlight 0x80ed…ce26 | No | SELL | 61 | 95¢ | $58 | 0x74e803… |
| 05-26 18:18:22 | Mundane-Federation 0xafd2…9693 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x45811d… |
| 05-26 18:18:22 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x45811d… |
| 05-26 15:22:11 | Similar-Anybody 0x6e53…22ed | No | BUY | 39 | 93¢ | $36 | 0xe62aed… |
| 05-26 15:22:11 | Grown-Lyre 0x48de…0c51 | No | SELL | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xe62aed… |
| 05-26 15:22:11 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe62aed… |
| 05-26 15:22:11 | Slushy-Ballot 0xb9a8…7df4 | No | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xe62aed… |
| 05-26 02:54:40 | Grown-Lyre 0x48de…0c51 | No | BUY | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0x1f9387… |
| 05-26 02:54:40 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x1f9387… |
| 05-26 02:54:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x1f9387… |
| 05-25 23:22:02 | (anonymous) 0xa1ba…e852 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0xd2413e… |
| 05-25 23:22:02 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xd2413e… |
| 05-25 18:13:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 42¢ | $15 | 0xa851de… |
| 05-25 18:13:57 | Overjoyed-Highlight 0x80ed…ce26 | No | BUY | 48 | 58¢ | $28 | 0xa851de… |
| 05-25 18:13:57 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | No | SELL | 13 | 57¢ | $8 | 0xa851de… |
| 05-25 17:11:36 | Overjoyed-Highlight 0x80ed…ce26 | No | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd81356… |
| 05-25 17:11:36 | (anonymous) 0x0a8e…05a4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xd81356… |
| 05-25 17:10:12 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | No | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8293f3… |
| 05-25 17:10:12 | Same-Metaphor 0x3f17…9ec2 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x8293f3… |
| 05-25 17:10:12 | (anonymous) 0x8165…2f9b | No | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8293f3… |
| 05-25 17:10:12 | (anonymous) 0xf02d…e07c | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8293f3… |
| 05-25 17:10:06 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x5ca808… |
| 05-25 17:10:06 | Overcooked-Plowman 0x3373…3716 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 95¢ | $18 | 0x5ca808… |
| 05-25 17:10:05 | (anonymous) 0x87ba…9fd1 | No | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x08749d… |
| 05-25 17:10:05 | Polite-Developing 0x0b54…76ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x08749d… |
| 05-25 17:10:05 | (anonymous) 0xa1ba…e852 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xcc1008… |
| 05-25 17:10:05 | Small-Bee 0xcb59…e21d | Yes | BUY | 180 | 74¢ | $134 | 0x08749d… |
| 05-25 17:10:05 | Overjoyed-Highlight 0x80ed…ce26 | No | BUY | 100 | 17¢ | $17 | 0x08749d… |
| 05-25 17:10:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 40 | 40¢ | $16 | 0x08749d… |
| 05-25 17:10:05 | Slushy-Ballot 0xb9a8…7df4 | No | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x08749d… |
| 05-25 17:10:05 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 10 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x08749d… |
| 05-25 17:10:05 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xcc1008… |
| 05-20 05:51:52 | (anonymous) 0xd974…457b | No | BUY | 13 | 79¢ | $10 | 0x60dd82… |
| 05-20 05:51:52 | Sardonic-Patty 0xe7bd…ebce | No | SELL | 2 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x60dd82… |
| 05-20 05:51:52 | (anonymous) 0x0560…99a4 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x60dd82… |
| 05-20 00:52:51 | Sardonic-Patty 0xe7bd…ebce | No | SELL | 13 | 75¢ | $10 | 0x6d2011… |
| 05-20 00:52:51 | Favorable-Minorleague 0xc3e5…015d | No | BUY | 13 | 75¢ | $10 | 0x6d2011… |
| 05-19 01:38:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x2d250f… |
| 05-19 01:38:25 | Shameful-Ram 0x726c…6bfd | No | BUY | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0x2d250f… |
| 05-19 01:38:25 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x2d250f… |
| 05-19 01:37:59 | Shameful-Ram 0x726c…6bfd | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xb53531… |
| 05-19 01:37:59 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xb53531… |
| 05-18 21:56:02 | Polite-Developing 0x0b54…76ea | Yes | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xd97631… |
| 05-18 21:56:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0xd97631… |
| 05-18 21:56:02 | Sardonic-Patty 0xe7bd…ebce | No | BUY | 15 | 46¢ | $7 | 0xd97631… |
| 05-18 16:13:44 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 42¢ | $1 | 0xf56a03… |
| 05-18 16:13:44 | (anonymous) 0x3560…b7d4 | No | BUY | 3 | 58¢ | $2 | 0xf56a03… |
| 05-18 13:11:44 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 36¢ | $1 | 0xeb9f99… |
| 05-18 13:11:44 | (anonymous) 0x78a4…f8f5 | No | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0xeb9f99… |
| 05-07 21:39:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x2ff134… |
| 05-07 21:39:19 | Shameful-Ram 0x726c…6bfd | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x2ff134… |