Mundane-Federation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.64K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

18.6%

Resolved

Trades

5,246

lifetime

Volume

$55.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 05-29 08:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

68% 27% $-1,484

Sports

13% — —

Crypto

12% — —

Other

7% 0% $-152

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 1030 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	26	$3.0K	24,394	24,394	+0	open	—	05-01 23:27
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	54	$2.6K	2,700	2,479	+221	open	—	04-21 22:18
f1 japanese grand prix winner antonelli 2026 03 29	51	$1.9K	5,535	4,000	+1,535	open	—	03-29 06:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	42	$1.8K	2,870	1,331	+1,539	open	—	05-08 19:43
nba phi mia 2026 03 30	59	$1.5K	4,340	2,439	+1,901	open	—	03-31 01:38
ufc gil1 mik9 2026 04 18 totals 2pt5	1	$1.2K	2,199	0	+2,199	open	—	04-19 02:18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	15	$955	2,645	689	+1,956	open	—	05-08 19:43
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	165	$931	384,885	0	+384,885	open	—	05-21 16:40
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	16	$900	2,070	2,070	+0	open	—	05-09 20:02
will trump say charlie or kirk 5 times during tpusa events on april 17	10	$868	1,585	1,582	+3	open	—	04-18 01:34
will trump say fake news during fox interview on wednesday	11	$847	1,181	400	+781	open	—	04-15 15:34
will trump say hottest during fox interview on wednesday	17	$760	793	50	+743	open	—	04-15 17:42
will trump say jd or vance during fox interview on wednesday	11	$650	1,001	0	+1,001	open	—	04-15 20:56
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	13	$630	298,357	0	+298,357	open	—	05-22 10:24
will trump say inflation during fox interview on wednesday	11	$625	857	250	+607	open	—	04-15 21:11
will trump say blockade during fox interview on wednesday	24	$621	968	32	+936	open	—	04-15 22:38
Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?	4	$609	766	0	+766	open	—	04-30 08:41
will trump say biden during fox interview on wednesday	6	$594	500	418	+82	open	—	04-15 10:18
will trump say dow or sp during fox interview on wednesday	4	$572	905	270	+635	open	—	04-15 10:08
will trump say underwater during fox interview on wednesday	10	$546	719	0	+719	open	—	04-15 17:39
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	12	$526	600	0	+600	open	—	05-15 05:40
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	8	$517	308,358	0	+308,358	open	—	05-22 10:24
Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	76	$501	1,176	1,595	-419	open	—	04-30 16:58
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	12	$479	793	500	+293	open	—	05-15 05:16
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$464	575	200	+375	open	—	05-15 05:51
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 12am et	48	$449	2,500	600	+1,900	open	—	04-07 04:59
will trump say job 12 times during no tax on tips roundtable	10	$439	780	0	+780	open	—	04-17 01:13
will trump say tax or tariff 5 times during fox interview on wednesday	3	$401	469	0	+469	open	—	04-15 10:42
ufc gil1 mik9 2026 04 18 go the distance	4	$399	1,476	0	+1,476	open	—	04-19 02:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	14	$386	16,378	16,378	+0	No	$-353	05-06 02:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 08:05:14	Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in May?	Yes	BUY	55	4¢	$2	0x2f9721…
05-29 08:04:20	Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in May?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xa69b0d…
05-29 07:33:42	Will Trump say "Iwo Jima" in May?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xb49907…
05-29 07:33:42	Will Trump say "Iwo Jima" in May?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0xad3d40…
05-29 07:33:42	Will Trump say "Iwo Jima" in May?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0xacf222…
05-29 07:33:42	Will Trump say "Iwo Jima" in May?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x96218a…
05-29 07:33:42	Will Trump say "Iwo Jima" in May?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x89909a…
05-29 07:33:42	Will Trump say "Iwo Jima" in May?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x663c8c…
05-29 07:33:42	Will Trump say "Iwo Jima" in May?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x4d1988…
05-29 07:33:42	Will Trump say "Iwo Jima" in May?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x3d8ba7…
05-29 07:33:42	Will Trump say "Iwo Jima" in May?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x285472…
05-29 07:33:42	Will Trump say "Iwo Jima" in May?	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0x0579a4…
05-29 07:31:17	Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0xeb9fc5…
05-29 07:31:17	Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xc49382…
05-29 07:31:17	Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0x9ace7c…
05-29 07:31:17	Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0x7ded8d…
05-29 07:31:17	Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0x63e056…
05-29 07:31:17	Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0x529937…
05-29 07:31:17	Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0x2a27d1…
05-29 07:31:17	Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x1114dd…
05-29 07:31:15	Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xce7975…
05-29 07:31:15	Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0xaab288…
05-29 07:31:15	Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x7a117c…
05-29 07:31:15	Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x6d335f…
05-29 07:31:15	Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x5af370…
05-29 07:31:15	Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x119ade…
05-29 07:24:33	Will Trump say "Neville" or "Chamberlain" in May?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0xa93594…
05-29 07:22:25	Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obamacare" in May?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x49330d…
05-29 07:06:52	Will Trump say "Neville" or "Chamberlain" in May?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x1119cf…
05-29 07:06:45	Will Trump say "America Last" in May?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x335ce7…
05-29 07:06:00	Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in May?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x785771…
05-29 06:54:25	Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in May?	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0xd3d3d8…
05-29 06:11:31	Will Trump say "America Last" in May?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xac0f35…
05-28 16:52:31	Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in May?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x2a5af3…
05-28 12:09:22	Will Trump say "Trump Time" in May?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0xc33789…
05-28 10:33:46	Will Trump say "Trump Family" in May?	Yes	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0xe5ac0f…
05-28 09:26:01	Will Trump say "Trump Family" in May?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xf0dd4c…
05-27 16:36:14	Will Trump say "Wolf" in May?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x9f4d4c…
05-26 18:18:22	Will Trump say "Christmas" in May?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x45811d…
05-26 15:22:30	Will Trump say "America Last" in May?	Yes	BUY	75	5¢	$4	0x72a33d…
05-26 14:37:03	Will Trump say "Deer" in May?	Yes	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0x4df0ff…
05-26 11:32:38	Will Trump say "Cat" in May?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x92cfa2…
05-26 10:42:37	Will Trump say "Frog" in May?	Yes	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0x2b6f47…
05-26 07:03:19	Will Trump say "Frog" in May?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x678729…
05-26 04:19:27	Will Trump say "Trump Card" or "Trump Gold Card" in May?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xb51149…
05-26 01:58:59	Will Trump say "Deer" in May?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xabac2d…
05-26 00:15:23	Will Trump say "Trump Organization" in May?	Yes	BUY	90	7¢	$6	0xd95c34…
05-25 17:15:27	Will Trump say "Iwo Jima" in May?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x8aafe2…
05-25 17:15:23	Will Trump say "Iwo Jima" in May?	Yes	BUY	53	5¢	$3	0x42da6b…
05-25 17:15:18	Will Trump say "Iwo Jima" in May?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x82ebf1…
05-25 17:15:16	Will Trump say "Iwo Jima" in May?	Yes	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0xa8847b…
05-25 16:12:18	Will Trump say "Wolf" in May?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x0296ee…
05-25 08:52:51	Will Trump say "Wolf" in May?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x296984…
05-25 02:59:59	Will Trump say "Kangaroo" in May?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x5d979e…
05-24 15:26:26	Will Trump say "Neville" or "Chamberlain" in May?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xd7bf44…
05-22 16:49:40	Will Trump say "Kangaroo" in May?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x4f2a21…
05-22 10:24:42	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	30,000	0¢	$30	0xdb4b79…
05-22 10:24:09	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	135,158	0¢	$135	0xe30885…
05-22 10:23:34	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	175,158	0¢	$175	0xa6a69f…
05-21 20:23:34	Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?	Yes	SELL	24	93¢	$22	0x069017…
05-21 20:23:21	Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?	Yes	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0x388843…
05-21 19:59:02	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0x32cd72…
05-21 18:40:52	Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?	Yes	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xf9ad61…
05-21 16:40:45	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	101,863	0¢	$102	0x09e721…
05-21 16:40:35	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	135,000	0¢	$135	0x18b3c4…
05-21 16:26:58	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	524	0¢	$1	0x787198…
05-21 16:21:37	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x686086…
05-21 16:19:54	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	32,513	0¢	$33	0xbe6fcb…
05-21 11:13:57	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	77,777	0¢	$78	0x186e4c…
05-21 09:14:58	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	88,888	0¢	$89	0x6965bb…
05-21 09:13:45	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	49,120	0¢	$49	0xa4c2a8…
05-21 03:28:02	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0xb502b9…
05-21 03:22:26	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xbefed6…
05-20 20:55:55	Will Trump say "Cat" in May?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x98157d…
05-20 20:55:55	Will Trump say "Cat" in May?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x14898d…
05-20 18:44:21	Will Trump say "Neville" or "Chamberlain" in May?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x4303d3…
05-20 07:40:27	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7,500	0¢	$30	0x984994…
05-20 07:40:24	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8,999	0¢	$36	0xffe428…
05-20 05:53:20	Will Trump say "Wolf" in May?	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xde414c…
05-20 02:46:50	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,068	1¢	$14	0x821c6a…
05-20 02:41:46	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	61	1¢	$0	0x30bef2…
05-20 02:36:08	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	370	1¢	$3	0x06c968…
05-20 02:23:39	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,500	1¢	$12	0xf225d2…
05-19 16:42:34	Will Trump say "Pig" in May?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x2c8df6…
05-19 14:56:41	Will Trump say "Neville" or "Chamberlain" in May?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xf143a4…
05-19 14:32:22	Will Trump say "Pig" in May?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xda5b4e…
05-19 14:06:19	Will Trump say "Neville" or "Chamberlain" in May?	Yes	BUY	90	10¢	$9	0x7b7c76…
05-19 04:56:17	Will Trump say "Kangaroo" in May?	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0xc51e8c…
05-18 03:13:19	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xfbfbbb…
05-18 03:13:12	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x620744…
05-18 03:13:10	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	Yes	SELL	1,177	1¢	$12	0x0cac9c…
05-18 02:17:01	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" this week?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xa56293…
05-18 02:16:05	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	9,900	0¢	$50	0xaad891…
05-18 00:24:37	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,398	1¢	$18	0xb63ebe…
05-18 00:17:49	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" this week?	Yes	SELL	75	20¢	$15	0xb4043b…
05-18 00:16:37	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x0ed5e7…
05-18 00:16:06	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	341	1¢	$5	0x034c3e…
05-18 00:12:17	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	359	1¢	$5	0x35a9a3…
05-18 00:11:57	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$7	0xec43f9…
05-17 20:38:17	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" this week?	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0xed25f5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	243	$57.3K	7,502	06-01 06:04
Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a	208	$5.51K	2,309	06-01 03:02
Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b	197	$3.77K	994	05-31 20:31
(anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b	153	$4.80K	976	06-01 07:49
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	150	$221.4K	15,104	05-04 07:56
Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb	150	$16.4K	301	05-27 20:36
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	146	$271.8K	20,212	05-29 22:59
(anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8	142	$11.6K	825	05-15 07:28