Other-Experimentation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$50

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

79.5%

Resolved

Trades

471

lifetime

Volume

$29.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

$56

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-10 05:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

47% — —

Other

38% 89% +$49

Politics

14% 100% +$1

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No		+132	$57	34¢	$45	$-12	06-09 18:48
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No		+118	$11	10¢	$11	$-0	06-10 05:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	12	$10.1K	5,943	4,174	+1,769	open	—	06-03 23:29
Ethereum flipped in 2026?	5	$3.5K	2,227	1,321	+905	open	—	06-05 20:14
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$2.3K	1,149	1,149	+0	open	—	04-28 08:56
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians	2	$2.3K	1,142	1,142	+0	open	—	04-20 17:14
Kash Patel out by April 30?	14	$2.3K	1,374	1,374	+0	open	—	04-24 03:12
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore - Completed match?	6	$539	284	284	+0	Yes	+$27	05-07 18:56
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	6	$517	1,506	1,506	+0	open	—	04-23 16:06
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	12	$481	300	300	+0	open	—	05-26 05:55
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	9	$374	335	335	+0	open	—	05-20 19:39
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5	4	$367	200	200	+0	open	—	05-18 20:39
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	3	$348	289	289	+0	Mumbai Indians	+$148	05-04 16:54
fisa section 702 reauthorized before it expires	7	$306	2,061	2,061	+0	open	—	04-18 17:51
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5	7	$295	257	257	+0	open	—	05-20 20:35
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians	4	$294	203	203	+0	open	—	05-14 18:52
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	10	$294	727	727	+0	open	—	05-15 10:20
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	4	$251	172	172	+0	Chennai Super Kings	+$23	05-10 14:06
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	3	$246	0	2,050	-2,050	open	—	06-01 17:43
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	2	$219	205	205	+0	open	—	05-19 14:18
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	2	$214	114	114	+0	Lucknow Super Giants	+$14	05-07 18:55
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals	3	$204	216	103	+113	Delhi Capitals	$-84	05-11 17:40
Will "Influencer" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	4	$194	110	110	+0	No	+$21	05-06 18:50
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	2	$188	100	100	+0	open	—	05-12 05:28
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals	6	$177	130	130	+0	open	—	05-17 16:50
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians	3	$172	204	102	+102	Royal Challengers Bangalore	$-46	05-10 17:44
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	3	$170	100	100	+0	open	—	05-11 20:32
Will "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?	4	$163	100	100	+0	open	—	05-16 12:17
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings	3	$159	102	102	+0	open	—	05-15 16:55
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	30	$147	100	100	+0	open	—	05-17 10:40
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	2	$135	100	100	+0	open	—	05-17 15:18
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings	3	$135	248	248	+0	Sunrisers Hyderabad	$-65	05-06 15:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 05:57:45	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	BUY	84	9¢	$8	0x882dcb…
06-09 19:19:16	wwcquefa ice spa 2026 06 09 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x810dac…
06-09 19:07:36	fif tog ben 2026 06 09 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd3956a…
06-09 18:48:46	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	BUY	60	45¢	$27	0xcec1f8…
06-09 18:48:39	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	BUY	72	41¢	$30	0x618976…
06-09 18:45:31	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	BUY	34	11¢	$4	0x08291b…
06-05 20:14:37	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	905	100¢	$904	0xbc77ca…
06-05 20:03:04	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	SELL	415	100¢	$415	0xf2d499…
06-05 20:02:45	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	415	100¢	$415	0xd434b6…
06-05 20:02:18	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	SELL	906	100¢	$904	0x505751…
06-05 19:29:16	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	906	99¢	$898	0xfee8f3…
06-03 23:29:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	885	100¢	$883	0x553c1b…
06-03 04:46:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	885	100¢	$882	0x0730e1…
06-03 04:12:45	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Malaysia vs Kuwait	Malaysia	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x525477…
06-03 01:47:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	890	100¢	$886	0xb75880…
06-03 00:06:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	891	99¢	$886	0x41e769…
06-02 08:49:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	891	99¢	$885	0x898a5f…
06-02 01:27:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	889	100¢	$885	0xc74850…
06-02 01:18:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	889	100¢	$884	0xa8dbc0…
06-01 23:37:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	879	99¢	$874	0x17b6d5…
06-01 22:33:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	878	100¢	$874	0xbb1863…
06-01 22:21:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	878	100¢	$875	0xe2c641…
06-01 17:43:08	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2,039	12¢	$245	0x6a85c9…
06-01 17:08:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	631	100¢	$630	0x79893b…
06-01 17:02:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	631	100¢	$630	0xce6e70…
05-31 20:36:59	Will Trump say "Hawk" in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x66f7fd…
05-31 20:36:50	Will Trump say "Rabbit" or "Bunny" in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x00ae7f…
05-31 20:36:43	Will Trump say "Hippo" or "Hippopotamus" in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0018a8…
05-31 20:36:38	Will Trump say "Panther" in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x596be7…
05-31 20:36:27	Will Trump say "Wolf" in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1497d7…
05-31 20:36:20	Will Trump say "Whale" in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf5657a…
05-31 20:36:06	Will Trump say "Deer" in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3afc44…
05-31 20:35:58	Will Trump say "Frog" in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0d2c95…
05-31 20:35:51	Will Trump say "Goat" in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x992215…
05-31 20:35:45	Will Trump say "Goat" in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf74ba5…
05-31 20:35:40	Will Trump say "Mouse" in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xab15af…
05-31 20:35:33	Will Trump say "Turtle" in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa0e9ce…
05-31 20:35:12	Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8d40a6…
05-31 20:35:03	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd2b5ad…
05-31 20:34:56	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd31860…
05-31 20:34:49	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x69af6b…
05-31 20:34:41	Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb42df8…
05-31 20:34:35	Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xea86e2…
05-31 20:34:27	Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x13e8e6…
05-31 20:34:16	Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x69a417…
05-31 20:33:01	Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obamacare" in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0d02db…
05-31 20:32:52	Will Trump say "Egghead" in May?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaa2811…
05-31 20:32:43	Will Trump say "Iwo Jima" in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x92db91…
05-31 20:32:36	Will Trump say "Golden Dome" in May?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb318d3…
05-31 20:32:28	Will Trump say "Skedaddle" in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbac72a…
05-31 20:32:21	Will Trump say "Pizza" in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3dd227…
05-31 20:32:01	Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x70c514…
05-31 20:31:51	Will Trump say "Braggadocious" in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x14808d…
05-31 20:31:35	Will Trump say "Favorite Chart" in May?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9c04ee…
05-31 20:31:26	Will Trump say "Big Bang" in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x525291…
05-31 20:31:18	Will Trump say "Darth Vader" in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9bf3d4…
05-31 20:31:09	Will Trump say "White House Faith Office" in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe7258b…
05-31 20:31:04	Will Trump say "Christmas" in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2632b1…
05-31 20:30:57	Will Trump say "Nuke" in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaa038c…
05-31 20:30:51	Will Trump say "Cat" in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x743ce6…
05-31 20:30:44	Will Trump say "America Last" in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbd9a5f…
05-31 20:30:39	Will Trump say "Neville" or "Chamberlain" in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x00ee89…
05-31 20:30:29	Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbf1035…
05-31 20:30:22	Will Trump say "Epstein" in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2b8870…
05-31 17:13:10	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans - Completed match?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7dcbb0…
05-31 16:42:25	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	SELL	1,000	2¢	$15	0x480106…
05-31 15:46:36	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	733	11¢	$81	0x9ccc54…
05-31 15:46:15	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x16f71b…
05-31 15:46:11	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	39	11¢	$4	0x30b3dc…
05-31 15:46:06	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0x807b46…
05-31 15:46:03	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xd8bf79…
05-31 15:06:37	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands	Netherlands	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf06be7…
05-31 05:13:06	crint tha2 mys2 2026 05 31 completed match	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4e3b77…
05-30 19:33:56	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x056cb6…
05-30 18:46:32	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xdd2356…
05-30 18:08:50	Will MrBeast say "Jet" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7adde1…
05-30 03:05:25	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x8c2b45…
05-30 03:04:06	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xaa92c1…
05-26 05:55:32	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	19	82¢	$15	0x2774b5…
05-26 05:54:36	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0x3848f3…
05-26 05:53:15	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	151	82¢	$124	0x819d31…
05-24 23:58:39	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	93	75¢	$70	0x126473…
05-24 23:25:00	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	29	75¢	$22	0x6a96a8…
05-24 22:46:46	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	78	75¢	$58	0x2559aa…
05-24 20:03:20	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0x19043d…
05-24 20:01:21	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	31	87¢	$27	0x36fdc4…
05-24 20:00:43	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	25	88¢	$22	0xcfc9a9…
05-24 20:00:01	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	33	89¢	$29	0x6c1a7d…
05-23 19:13:32	Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	102	41¢	$42	0x8e8f94…
05-23 19:00:14	FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	102	63¢	$64	0x689f9b…
05-21 00:26:11	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x11039d…
05-20 22:24:58	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x076c59…
05-20 20:35:20	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	248	53¢	$131	0x577c6f…
05-20 20:35:18	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0x9f8e31…
05-20 20:35:04	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xb24c58…
05-20 20:34:55	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x898fc2…
05-20 20:22:59	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x8650cc…
05-20 19:50:28	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	102	56¢	$57	0xce220a…
05-20 19:46:48	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	101	81¢	$82	0x73dbd2…
05-20 19:39:34	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	SELL	335	37¢	$124	0x212e1d…