Other-Experimentation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$420

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.4%

Resolved

340

Trades

692

lifetime

Volume

$49.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$71

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 11-02 17:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

36% 81% +$175

Crypto

35% 57% -$68

Politics

23% 95% -$300

Sports

4% 86% -$70

Tech

2% 67% -$165

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	18	$12.3K	6,344	6,344	+0	No	-$31	06-03 23:29
Ethereum flipped in 2026?	5	$3.5K	2,227	1,321	+905	Yes	+$7	06-05 20:14
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?	8	$3.1K	1,670	1,670	+0	Yes	+$100	04-29 13:01
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$2.3K	1,149	1,149	+0	Yes	+$1	04-28 08:56
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians	2	$2.3K	1,142	1,142	+0	Mumbai Indians	+$10	04-20 17:14
Kash Patel out by April 30?	14	$2.3K	1,374	1,374	+0	No	+$56	04-24 03:12
will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	7	$1.7K	1,072	1,072	+0	Yes	-$75	07-14 21:05
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	7	$1.7K	944	944	+0	No	+$116	07-01 15:01
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	2	$1.7K	835	835	+0	No	+$3	06-18 01:51
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?	2	$1.1K	570	570	+0	No	+$3	08-05 02:31
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	6	$1.1K	654	654	+0	No	-$4	10-16 02:45
Will the match end in a draw?	5	$563	445	445	+0	No	+$59	05-17 08:44
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	5	$547	649	649	+0	No	+$139	05-02 16:35
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore - Completed match?	6	$539	284	284	+0	Yes	+$27	05-07 18:56
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	6	$517	1,506	1,506	+0	Yes	-$243	04-23 16:06
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	1	$515	518	0	+518	No	+$4	08-30 20:15
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	8	$514	2,050	2,050	+0	open	—	06-01 17:43
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	14	$498	372	372	+0	open	—	05-26 05:48
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	12	$481	300	300	+0	Yes	+$21	05-26 05:55
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	9	$374	335	335	+0	No	-$125	05-20 19:39
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5	4	$367	200	200	+0	Under	+$28	05-18 20:39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	4	$363	324	324	+0	No	-$13	06-19 17:05
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	3	$348	289	289	+0	Mumbai Indians	+$148	05-04 16:54
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	5	$320	1,240	1,240	+0	open	—	10-26 03:26
will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	6	$317	224	224	+0	Yes	+$10	06-28 08:49
fisa section 702 reauthorized before it expires	7	$306	2,061	2,061	+0	Yes	-$94	04-18 17:51
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5	7	$295	257	257	+0	Under	-$23	05-20 20:35
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians	4	$294	203	203	+0	Mumbai Indians	+$8	05-14 18:52
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	10	$294	727	727	+0	No	+$80	05-15 10:20
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	4	$251	172	172	+0	Chennai Super Kings	+$23	05-10 14:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 17:20:40	Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?	No	BUY	514	18¢	$91	0x7d795b…
10-30 02:43:58	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	93	85¢	$79	0x19df5d…
10-28 06:32:56	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	93	66¢	$61	0x21444d…
10-26 03:26:17	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,240	5¢	$61	0xc0cd9e…
10-16 17:22:21	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x0dc600…
10-16 06:55:18	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	308	23¢	$71	0x60eb9e…
10-16 05:48:45	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	380	23¢	$87	0x90536a…
10-16 02:45:58	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	551	18¢	$101	0x67fde7…
10-16 02:45:13	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	352	79¢	$279	0xa5b751…
10-15 11:52:34	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	352	83¢	$292	0xccf904…
10-14 18:41:18	crint ind wst 2026 10 14	West Indies	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x31044c…
10-14 17:10:31	crint ind wst 2026 10 14	West Indies	BUY	97	61¢	$59	0x9cd365…
10-11 06:27:50	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	302	87¢	$262	0x1fb663…
10-10 16:55:45	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x100564…
10-10 13:59:46	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x91c71a…
10-10 13:47:30	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	280	84¢	$235	0x776ac8…
08-30 20:15:43	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	No	BUY	518	99¢	$515	0xcf3b01…
08-12 14:26:52	grok 4pt6 released by august 12 2026	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x889351…
08-12 14:20:24	grok 4pt6 released by august 12 2026	No	SELL	52	62¢	$32	0x5417b2…
08-12 14:15:13	grok 4pt6 released by august 12 2026	No	BUY	52	56¢	$29	0x5fb354…
08-12 14:15:13	grok 4pt6 released by august 12 2026	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x5fb354…
08-12 14:13:25	grok 4pt6 released by august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x41e637…
08-05 18:45:44	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	119	60¢	$71	0xaf629b…
08-05 05:08:47	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	119	58¢	$69	0x7a5e04…
08-05 02:31:06	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	570	100¢	$569	0x97cfe8…
08-03 20:04:44	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?	No	BUY	570	99¢	$566	0x254252…
07-31 22:26:26	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x033944…
07-29 14:12:29	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 29	No	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xe2f2b9…
07-29 14:07:05	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 29	No	SELL	102	30¢	$31	0xacf482…
07-29 13:04:15	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 29	No	BUY	103	50¢	$51	0x899444…
07-21 14:11:57	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 21	No	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x21b05e…
07-21 08:29:31	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 21	No	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0xef08e5…
07-21 08:26:01	Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	103	32¢	$33	0x531d75…
07-20 19:22:33	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	103	31¢	$32	0xbff56a…
07-20 04:32:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	718	0¢	$4	0xa3e616…
07-19 23:28:34	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0xd1aa98…
07-19 22:51:24	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xaf7835…
07-19 22:50:57	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x0f50f1…
07-19 22:45:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x8f4f3a…
07-19 22:27:48	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3db4b3…
07-19 21:13:31	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x51e2c4…
07-19 20:11:18	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x0269fb…
07-19 19:13:55	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	28	42¢	$12	0x13a7eb…
07-19 19:12:04	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	52	42¢	$22	0xb46e88…
07-19 19:08:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	20	42¢	$9	0xfcc383…
07-15 19:29:28	Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	106	18¢	$19	0xbb3204…
07-14 21:05:28	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	No	SELL	542	76¢	$412	0xaf12d6…
07-14 21:04:37	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x3d5f0e…
07-14 21:04:31	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	No	SELL	126	76¢	$96	0xcfd08b…
07-14 21:02:43	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	No	SELL	132	76¢	$100	0x050cc5…
07-14 21:02:35	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	No	SELL	92	76¢	$70	0x1ef82b…
07-14 21:02:01	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	No	SELL	160	76¢	$122	0xd6d105…
07-14 20:59:43	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	No	BUY	1,072	83¢	$890	0x6d884f…
07-14 17:44:31	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 14	No	BUY	88	52¢	$46	0x21e86e…
07-11 17:54:38	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	713	5¢	$34	0x3323be…
07-11 08:12:13	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	29	5¢	$1	0xe5818b…
07-11 08:01:04	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	39	5¢	$2	0xeafee4…
07-10 21:17:19	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	44	5¢	$2	0xbb62c4…
07-09 21:57:25	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xdee768…
07-09 18:04:56	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 09	India	SELL	105	16¢	$17	0x008249…
07-09 17:49:13	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 09	India	BUY	105	21¢	$22	0xcb1c46…
07-08 08:48:37	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	825	4¢	$33	0x5e78f8…
07-08 05:40:26	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	451	24¢	$108	0x121387…
07-08 03:28:38	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0x81e8d3…
07-07 18:53:14	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 07	England	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x4a447c…
07-07 18:52:22	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 07	England	SELL	91	90¢	$82	0x8f6747…
07-07 18:51:34	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 07	England	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x430f39…
07-07 18:14:04	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 07	England	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xb443aa…
07-06 18:34:26	will bitcoin reach 64k on july 6	No	BUY	101	32¢	$32	0x5512fe…
07-06 03:29:19	will bitcoin reach 64k on july 5	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xdf608e…
07-05 23:19:40	will bitcoin reach 64k on july 5	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x9ca039…
07-05 21:36:56	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	128	50¢	$64	0x3e0f6c…
07-05 21:36:55	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xffdb47…
07-05 21:36:55	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x3a6ca1…
07-05 21:36:52	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	17	50¢	$9	0x945827…
07-05 21:36:38	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x97989e…
07-05 21:36:38	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0x803a7d…
07-05 20:36:52	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	207	29¢	$60	0x03c943…
07-04 19:47:31	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	452	4¢	$19	0xb3e10e…
07-01 17:35:31	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xc1e4e5…
07-01 15:01:23	Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	No	SELL	786	98¢	$770	0xee9a20…
07-01 06:11:50	Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x37d6d7…
07-01 06:11:35	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	200	4¢	$9	0x47a671…
07-01 05:03:47	Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	No	BUY	776	90¢	$698	0xaaa287…
07-01 04:57:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	808	2¢	$15	0xe7d6bb…
07-01 03:30:11	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x6c5766…
07-01 03:25:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0xa2c2f2…
07-01 03:20:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0xce3d44…
07-01 03:20:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	85	5¢	$4	0x662b15…
07-01 02:11:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	190	2¢	$4	0x909616…
07-01 00:36:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0x830b5e…
06-30 18:29:40	Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcb54bf…
06-30 03:01:58	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	No	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xd0c3ab…
06-28 08:49:41	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0xf7da34…
06-28 08:49:41	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	SELL	83	72¢	$60	0x2eea33…
06-28 08:44:01	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	123	73¢	$90	0x38acc8…
06-28 08:17:19	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	SELL	44	74¢	$33	0xd26523…
06-28 08:15:43	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	SELL	57	74¢	$42	0xd57fc4…
06-27 19:19:07	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	101	63¢	$64	0xdab6b6…
06-27 19:01:13	Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd2db74…