Other-Experimentation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$50

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.5%

Resolved

Trades

570

lifetime

Volume

$36.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 08-05 18:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

39% — —

Other

34% 89% +$49

Politics

20% 100% +$1

Sports

5% 100% +$0

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	12	$10.1K	5,943	4,174	+1,769	open	—	06-03 23:29
Ethereum flipped in 2026?	5	$3.5K	2,227	1,321	+905	open	—	06-05 20:14
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$2.3K	1,149	1,149	+0	open	—	04-28 08:56
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians	2	$2.3K	1,142	1,142	+0	open	—	04-20 17:14
Kash Patel out by April 30?	14	$2.3K	1,374	1,374	+0	open	—	04-24 03:12
will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	7	$1.7K	1,072	1,072	+0	open	—	07-14 21:05
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	2	$1.7K	835	835	+0	open	—	06-18 01:51
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	1	$569	0	570	-570	open	—	08-05 02:31
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore - Completed match?	6	$539	284	284	+0	Yes	+$27	05-07 18:56
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	6	$517	1,506	1,506	+0	open	—	04-23 16:06
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	12	$481	300	300	+0	open	—	05-26 05:55
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	9	$374	335	335	+0	open	—	05-20 19:39
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5	4	$367	200	200	+0	open	—	05-18 20:39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	4	$363	324	324	+0	open	—	06-19 17:05
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	3	$348	289	289	+0	Mumbai Indians	+$148	05-04 16:54
will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	6	$317	224	224	+0	open	—	06-28 08:49
fisa section 702 reauthorized before it expires	7	$306	2,061	2,061	+0	open	—	04-18 17:51
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5	7	$295	257	257	+0	open	—	05-20 20:35
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians	4	$294	203	203	+0	open	—	05-14 18:52
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	10	$294	727	727	+0	open	—	05-15 10:20
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	4	$251	172	172	+0	Chennai Super Kings	+$23	05-10 14:06
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	3	$246	0	2,050	-2,050	open	—	06-01 17:43
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	2	$246	200	200	+0	open	—	06-10 19:52
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	2	$219	205	205	+0	open	—	05-19 14:18
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	2	$214	114	114	+0	Lucknow Super Giants	+$14	05-07 18:55
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals	3	$204	216	103	+113	Delhi Capitals	$-84	05-11 17:40
Will "Influencer" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	4	$194	110	110	+0	No	+$21	05-06 18:50
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	2	$188	100	100	+0	open	—	05-12 05:28
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals	6	$177	130	130	+0	open	—	05-17 16:50
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians	3	$172	204	102	+102	Royal Challengers Bangalore	$-46	05-10 17:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-05 18:45:44	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	119	60¢	$71	0xaf629b…
08-05 05:08:47	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	119	58¢	$69	0x7a5e04…
08-05 02:31:06	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	570	100¢	$569	0x97cfe8…
07-31 22:26:26	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x033944…
07-29 14:12:29	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 29	No	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xe2f2b9…
07-29 14:07:05	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 29	No	SELL	102	30¢	$31	0xacf482…
07-29 13:04:15	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 29	No	BUY	103	50¢	$51	0x899444…
07-21 14:11:57	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 21	No	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x21b05e…
07-21 08:29:31	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 21	No	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0xef08e5…
07-20 19:22:33	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	103	31¢	$32	0xbff56a…
07-20 04:32:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	718	0¢	$4	0xa3e616…
07-19 23:28:34	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0xd1aa98…
07-19 22:51:24	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xaf7835…
07-19 22:50:57	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x0f50f1…
07-19 22:45:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x8f4f3a…
07-19 20:11:18	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x0269fb…
07-19 19:13:55	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	28	42¢	$12	0x13a7eb…
07-19 19:12:04	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	52	42¢	$22	0xb46e88…
07-19 19:08:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	20	42¢	$9	0xfcc383…
07-14 21:05:28	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	No	SELL	542	76¢	$412	0xaf12d6…
07-14 21:04:37	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x3d5f0e…
07-14 21:04:31	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	No	SELL	126	76¢	$96	0xcfd08b…
07-14 21:02:43	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	No	SELL	132	76¢	$100	0x050cc5…
07-14 21:02:35	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	No	SELL	92	76¢	$70	0x1ef82b…
07-14 21:02:01	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	No	SELL	160	76¢	$122	0xd6d105…
07-14 20:59:43	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	No	BUY	1,072	83¢	$890	0x6d884f…
07-14 17:44:31	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 14	No	BUY	88	52¢	$46	0x21e86e…
07-11 17:54:38	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	713	5¢	$34	0x3323be…
07-11 08:12:13	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	29	5¢	$1	0xe5818b…
07-11 08:01:04	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	39	5¢	$2	0xeafee4…
07-10 21:17:19	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	44	5¢	$2	0xbb62c4…
07-09 21:57:25	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xdee768…
07-09 18:04:56	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 09	India	SELL	105	16¢	$17	0x008249…
07-09 17:49:13	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 09	India	BUY	105	21¢	$22	0xcb1c46…
07-08 08:48:37	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	825	4¢	$33	0x5e78f8…
07-08 05:40:26	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	451	24¢	$108	0x121387…
07-08 03:28:38	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0x81e8d3…
07-07 18:53:14	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 07	England	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x4a447c…
07-07 18:52:22	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 07	England	SELL	91	90¢	$82	0x8f6747…
07-07 18:51:34	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 07	England	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x430f39…
07-07 18:14:04	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 07	England	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xb443aa…
07-06 18:34:26	will bitcoin reach 64k on july 6	No	BUY	101	32¢	$32	0x5512fe…
07-06 03:29:19	will bitcoin reach 64k on july 5	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xdf608e…
07-05 23:19:40	will bitcoin reach 64k on july 5	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x9ca039…
07-04 19:47:31	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	452	4¢	$19	0xb3e10e…
07-01 06:11:35	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	200	4¢	$9	0x47a671…
07-01 04:57:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	808	2¢	$15	0xe7d6bb…
07-01 03:30:11	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x6c5766…
07-01 03:25:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0xa2c2f2…
07-01 03:20:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0xce3d44…
07-01 03:20:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	85	5¢	$4	0x662b15…
07-01 02:11:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	190	2¢	$4	0x909616…
07-01 00:36:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0x830b5e…
06-30 18:29:40	Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcb54bf…
06-30 03:01:58	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	No	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xd0c3ab…
06-28 08:49:41	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0xf7da34…
06-28 08:49:41	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	SELL	83	72¢	$60	0x2eea33…
06-28 08:44:01	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	123	73¢	$90	0x38acc8…
06-28 08:17:19	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	SELL	44	74¢	$33	0xd26523…
06-28 08:15:43	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	SELL	57	74¢	$42	0xd57fc4…
06-27 19:19:07	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	101	63¢	$64	0xdab6b6…
06-27 19:01:13	Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd2db74…
06-26 13:38:36	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	188	37¢	$70	0xa7fae2…
06-25 16:56:19	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	86	43¢	$37	0xcd2bca…
06-25 16:55:59	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	102	43¢	$44	0xfd3484…
06-24 09:27:50	bnb updown 5m 1782293100	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x73d101…
06-20 17:38:46	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x815433…
06-20 05:09:46	btc updown 5m 1781932200	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb26c24…
06-20 05:04:46	btc updown 5m 1781931600	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe16d08…
06-20 02:27:53	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 team total home 3pt5	Under	SELL	29	88¢	$26	0x0e5c3f…
06-20 02:18:17	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 team total home 3pt5	Under	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0x8e1706…
06-20 02:14:49	btc updown 5m 1781921400	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x521455…
06-19 17:05:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	108	54¢	$58	0x4ce58c…
06-19 16:59:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0xa23ca9…
06-19 16:57:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	201	54¢	$109	0xbbd45a…
06-19 15:46:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	324	58¢	$188	0x66b135…
06-19 15:38:05	btc updown 5m 1781883300	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0605e4…
06-18 14:02:44	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	SELL	192	15¢	$29	0x1ca65e…
06-18 14:02:16	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	SELL	341	16¢	$56	0x9b2c44…
06-18 08:03:01	will shehbaz sharif sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950081	No	SELL	206	3¢	$6	0x798c81…
06-18 04:24:53	will shehbaz sharif sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950081	No	BUY	106	32¢	$34	0xa97059…
06-18 01:51:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	835	100¢	$834	0x7647cc…
06-17 14:53:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	835	100¢	$831	0x7c5253…
06-16 20:40:41	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 team total away 0pt5	Under	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x8b2f6a…
06-16 20:40:41	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 team total away 0pt5	Under	SELL	63	73¢	$46	0x14edd2…
06-16 20:39:40	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 team total away 0pt5	Under	SELL	24	73¢	$18	0x1ae7b5…
06-16 20:39:38	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 team total away 0pt5	Under	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0x31c741…
06-16 19:41:53	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	102	50¢	$51	0xc48bcd…
06-15 17:19:52	will shehbaz sharif sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950081	No	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x0b1a82…
06-14 18:41:04	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 team total away 1pt5	Under	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0x4b0915…
06-14 18:40:45	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 team total away 1pt5	Under	SELL	96	89¢	$86	0xfc4cb1…
06-14 18:09:12	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	76	70¢	$54	0xeafe9c…
06-14 18:09:12	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	1	71¢	$0	0xcfc7c0…
06-14 18:09:12	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	23	71¢	$16	0x9abf3d…
06-10 20:08:10	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	SELL	137	21¢	$29	0x186a66…
06-10 19:52:33	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0x525e7a…
06-10 19:26:31	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x13b836…
06-10 07:51:27	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	BUY	116	9¢	$10	0x8dfee0…
06-10 05:57:45	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	BUY	84	9¢	$8	0x882dcb…
06-09 19:19:16	wwcquefa ice spa 2026 06 09 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x810dac…