Will the match end in a draw?
open
Total volume
$649
$23 in 24h
Trades
33
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$446
Latest YES mid
28¢
Latest NO mid
72¢
End date
2026-05-23
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-17 00:33
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-12.5¢
(top1%: 34% YES on $244
vs crowd: 46% YES on $536)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $82 | $82 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $3 | $161 | $159 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $246 | $44 | +$201 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $83 | $161 | $79 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $87 | $87 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $91 | — | +$91 |
| Median | 5 | $41 | $5 | +$36 |
| Below median | 8 | $34 | $32 | +$1 |
| unranked | 3 | $1 | $2 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Circular-Folk 0xeaac…d71d | No | +243 | $134 | $134 | 1 | 05-14 11:30 |
| Flaky-Wound 0x43fe…26ee | Yes | +159 | $91 | $91 | 1 | 05-16 03:44 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +157 | $65 | $65 | 4 | 05-16 08:31 |
| Equatorial-Chimpanzee 0xe8ca…cccb | Yes | +145 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 05-15 17:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xa2e5…03fc | Yes | +63 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-15 17:54 |
| Loyal-Woodland 0xebf6…c629 | Yes | +61 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-14 18:34 |
| Austere-Devil 0x0e2f…bc6a | No | +42 | $27 | $38 | 2 | 05-16 12:20 |
| Far-Precipitation 0x4df3…788f | No | +41 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-17 00:33 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-14 18:04 |
| Deficient-Laughter 0xbe31…b42d | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 04:05 |
| Far-Precipitation 0x4df3…788f | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 04:16 |
| Failing-Kind 0x8a42…ad20 | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 03:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x1fed…8bdf | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 09:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x1fed…8bdf | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 00:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9ea…7b04 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 15:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x6183…4fa8 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 06:56 |
| Authentic-Thesis 0x2541…6ffe | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 12:31 |
| Well-Groomed-Platypus 0x9608…f370 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 09:50 |
| Unwieldy-Dark 0x5213…6a35 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 11:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 00:33:35 | Far-Precipitation 0x4df3…788f | No | BUY | 41 | 66¢ | $27 | 0xc2bc53… |
| 05-16 21:47:30 | Unrealistic-Spirituality 0xebfd…cba6 | No | SELL | 122 | 62¢ | $76 | 0x9f7d0b… |
| 05-16 15:25:25 | (anonymous) 0xf9ea…7b04 | No | BUY | 3 | 68¢ | $2 | 0xe3130e… |
| 05-16 12:20:53 | Austere-Devil 0x0e2f…bc6a | No | SELL | 8 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x217c96… |
| 05-16 11:36:40 | Austere-Devil 0x0e2f…bc6a | No | BUY | 50 | 65¢ | $32 | 0x5c3e11… |
| 05-16 11:23:19 | Hidden-Patrol 0x1f2a…7189 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x353927… |
| 05-16 10:56:18 | Cooked-Porcelain 0x4f1f…b0c2 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x025296… |
| 05-16 10:36:32 | Cooked-Porcelain 0x4f1f…b0c2 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x43e492… |
| 05-16 09:56:31 | (anonymous) 0x1fed…8bdf | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x755132… |
| 05-16 09:50:37 | Well-Groomed-Platypus 0x9608…f370 | No | BUY | 1 | 74¢ | $1 | 0xc1aa38… |
| 05-16 08:46:31 | (anonymous) 0x058e…693c | No | SELL | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0x874dbf… |
| 05-16 08:31:28 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 42 | 69¢ | $29 | 0xc0839a… |
| 05-16 06:56:12 | (anonymous) 0x6183…4fa8 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xac286f… |
| 05-16 04:16:06 | Far-Precipitation 0x4df3…788f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x223b8e… |
| 05-16 04:14:13 | (anonymous) 0x058e…693c | No | BUY | 2 | 48¢ | $1 | 0xf96978… |
| 05-16 03:44:08 | Failing-Kind 0x8a42…ad20 | No | BUY | 4 | 46¢ | $2 | 0x1c0865… |
| 05-16 03:44:05 | Flaky-Wound 0x43fe…26ee | Yes | BUY | 159 | 57¢ | $91 | 0x73ac18… |
| 05-16 03:35:53 | Gullible-Angel 0xe1a9…339e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 54¢ | $4 | 0x4487ae… |
| 05-16 00:20:56 | (anonymous) 0x1fed…8bdf | No | BUY | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0xa3118e… |
| 05-15 21:35:41 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 33 | 31¢ | $10 | 0x88699e… |
| 05-15 21:35:32 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 36 | 31¢ | $11 | 0x99211b… |
| 05-15 21:30:36 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 47 | 31¢ | $15 | 0xc5a826… |
| 05-15 19:23:07 | Outlandish-Creativity 0xb64f…3203 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 66¢ | $12 | 0x8645aa… |
| 05-15 17:54:55 | (anonymous) 0xa2e5…03fc | Yes | BUY | 63 | 63¢ | $40 | 0xbe02b2… |
| 05-15 17:54:55 | Equatorial-Chimpanzee 0xe8ca…cccb | Yes | BUY | 145 | 55¢ | $80 | 0xeb6701… |
| 05-15 12:31:24 | Authentic-Thesis 0x2541…6ffe | Yes | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x698dcb… |
| 05-15 11:27:24 | Unwieldy-Dark 0x5213…6a35 | No | BUY | 1 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xc37aeb… |
| 05-14 18:34:32 | Loyal-Woodland 0xebf6…c629 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 52¢ | $32 | 0x1daeae… |
| 05-14 18:04:16 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 57¢ | $17 | 0x6beffc… |
| 05-14 11:30:27 | (anonymous) 0xbf61…21ab | No | SELL | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xa16ac6… |
| 05-14 11:30:24 | Circular-Folk 0xeaac…d71d | No | BUY | 243 | 55¢ | $134 | 0x59f724… |
| 05-14 11:30:24 | Unwieldy-Dark 0x5213…6a35 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 45¢ | $10 | 0x8fc669… |
| 05-14 04:05:54 | Deficient-Laughter 0xbe31…b42d | No | BUY | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0xc92652… |