Austere-Devil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.3%

Resolved

299

Trades

7,087

lifetime

Volume

$8.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 08-11 10:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 46% $-15

Other

3% 25% $-27

Sports

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 881 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	80	$314	303	304	-1	Yes	+$78	05-08 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	54	$258	343	215	+128	open	—	05-17 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	7	$66	62	20	+41	Up	$-26	05-07 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4PM ET	26	$54	59	57	+2	open	—	05-16 21:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	18	$48	204	0	+204	open	—	05-18 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	7	$34	26	26	+0	Up	+$11	05-13 03:34
btc updown 15m 1783738800	17	$32	34	19	+15	open	—	07-11 03:14
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	8	$30	24	24	+0	Up	+$12	05-07 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$29	20	20	+0	Up	+$9	05-07 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	7	$28	19	19	+0	Up	+$8	05-13 01:43
xrp updown 15m 1785587400	19	$28	38	15	+23	open	—	08-01 12:45
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	9	$27	67	17	+50	Lucknow Super Giants	$-20	05-07 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	4	$27	17	17	+0	Up	+$5	05-07 07:58
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	2	$27	18	18	+0	Chennai Super Kings	+$7	05-10 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	5	$26	15	15	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 03:24
bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 4am et	14	$25	382	11	+371	open	—	07-29 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	3	$25	16	16	+0	Up	+$5	05-07 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	4	$24	15	15	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 03:57
btc updown 5m 1786046700	16	$24	36	10	+27	open	—	08-06 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	8	$24	35	28	+7	Up	+$24	05-06 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	12	$24	17	17	+0	open	—	05-16 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	9	$23	20	20	+0	Up	+$10	05-06 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	8	$23	43	5	+38	Up	+$3	05-07 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$23	14	14	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 13:07
doge updown 15m 1786149900	13	$23	41	30	+11	open	—	08-08 00:58
btc updown 5m 1785169200	21	$22	75	0	+75	open	—	07-27 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	14	$21	19	10	+9	open	—	05-17 12:42
btc updown 15m 1783724400	3	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	07-10 23:15
btc updown 15m 1786062600	23	$21	87	0	+87	open	—	08-07 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	17	$21	42	0	+42	open	—	05-16 22:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 14:25:01	sol updown 15m 1786457700	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9ba116…
08-11 14:18:24	btc updown 5m 1786457700	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf521fe…
08-11 14:18:15	btc updown 5m 1786457700	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x8d494b…
08-11 14:17:40	btc updown 5m 1786457700	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc860f3…
08-11 14:17:30	btc updown 5m 1786457700	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x063d01…
08-11 14:17:18	btc updown 5m 1786457700	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x8ccffc…
08-11 14:16:58	btc updown 5m 1786457700	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9796ac…
08-11 10:08:51	xrp updown 15m 1786442400	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x94422b…
08-11 10:08:06	eth updown 15m 1786442400	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x007173…
08-11 10:06:48	eth updown 15m 1786442400	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x069688…
08-11 10:06:39	eth updown 15m 1786442400	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x525cb4…
08-11 10:06:06	eth updown 15m 1786442400	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xb02759…
08-11 10:06:04	eth updown 15m 1786442400	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x66f43f…
08-11 10:06:04	eth updown 15m 1786442400	Down	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x5dbd44…
08-11 10:06:04	eth updown 15m 1786442400	Down	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x2b321d…
08-11 10:05:19	xrp updown 15m 1786442400	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x174d6d…
08-11 10:02:45	sol updown 5m 1786442400	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x9c4022…
08-11 09:59:30	doge updown 15m 1786441500	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa601f6…
08-11 09:58:57	xrp updown 15m 1786441500	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x357f29…
08-11 09:54:34	xrp updown 15m 1786441500	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2f982f…
08-11 09:53:49	xrp updown 15m 1786441500	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xde75cb…
08-11 09:53:46	xrp updown 15m 1786441500	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6cf777…
08-11 09:53:43	xrp updown 15m 1786441500	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x93868e…
08-11 09:53:39	xrp updown 15m 1786441500	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa7d6c1…
08-11 09:53:33	xrp updown 5m 1786441800	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x171355…
08-11 09:51:58	xrp updown 15m 1786441500	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd3233b…
08-11 09:51:40	eth updown 15m 1786441500	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xde681e…
08-11 09:51:15	btc updown 15m 1786441500	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc12a37…
08-11 09:49:33	sol updown 5m 1786441500	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xedfb33…
08-11 09:47:55	doge updown 5m 1786441500	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xcf96e6…
08-11 09:47:28	doge updown 5m 1786441500	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x410c40…
08-11 09:44:30	sol updown 15m 1786440600	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbf9c2d…
08-11 09:44:13	sol updown 15m 1786440600	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8cc562…
08-11 09:43:49	sol updown 15m 1786440600	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x9cf59f…
08-11 09:43:07	sol updown 15m 1786440600	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x02e5a8…
08-11 09:42:36	sol updown 15m 1786440600	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4be47d…
08-11 09:42:07	sol updown 15m 1786440600	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3bc94a…
08-11 09:42:01	sol updown 15m 1786440600	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa8d00a…
08-11 09:42:00	sol updown 15m 1786440600	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x35bfeb…
08-11 09:39:12	doge updown 15m 1786440600	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xfd0cc9…
08-11 09:39:03	sol updown 15m 1786440600	Up	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x12aa6e…
08-11 09:39:01	sol updown 15m 1786440600	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xbd3175…
08-11 09:38:39	sol updown 15m 1786440600	Up	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x42008e…
08-11 09:37:15	doge updown 15m 1786440600	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xe6fd4a…
08-11 09:32:36	doge updown 15m 1786440600	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x68337b…
08-11 09:29:22	xrp updown 15m 1786439700	Down	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x7e73db…
08-11 09:25:55	doge updown 5m 1786440300	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xeeccfd…
08-11 09:24:43	sol updown 5m 1786440000	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf50f2a…
08-11 09:24:30	sol updown 5m 1786440000	Down	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x543d98…
08-11 09:24:18	sol updown 5m 1786440000	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x5ddeff…
08-11 09:24:07	sol updown 5m 1786440000	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb737ef…
08-11 09:23:37	sol updown 5m 1786440000	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd9fbbe…
08-11 09:23:34	sol updown 5m 1786440000	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x847ede…
08-11 09:23:16	sol updown 5m 1786440000	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x13aef4…
08-11 09:22:33	solana up or down august 11 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xd17821…
08-11 09:22:09	sol updown 5m 1786440000	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x7ed00f…
08-11 09:21:54	xrp updown 5m 1786440000	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x97ed25…
08-11 09:20:21	xrp updown 15m 1786439700	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x8bd983…
08-11 09:20:21	xrp updown 15m 1786439700	Down	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x37d390…
08-11 09:20:21	xrp updown 15m 1786439700	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x3656c6…
08-11 09:18:34	xrp updown 5m 1786439700	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x535d60…
08-11 09:18:27	doge updown 5m 1786439700	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x0017e7…
08-11 09:18:18	doge updown 5m 1786439700	Down	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x0792b1…
08-11 09:18:16	doge updown 5m 1786439700	Down	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x92ca0d…
08-11 09:18:16	doge updown 5m 1786439700	Down	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x2f96be…
08-11 09:13:54	btc updown 5m 1786439400	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x3fac71…
08-11 09:13:30	btc updown 5m 1786439400	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6939de…
08-11 09:10:33	doge updown 15m 1786438800	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4d8e7d…
08-11 09:09:37	sol updown 5m 1786439100	Up	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xa2f9bb…
08-11 09:08:25	xrp updown 5m 1786439100	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa5dbf5…
08-11 09:07:57	eth updown 15m 1786438800	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7c6db9…
08-11 09:05:31	btc updown 5m 1786439100	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xecd1d2…
08-11 09:03:57	doge updown 5m 1786438800	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xafd4c3…
08-11 09:03:04	doge updown 5m 1786438800	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xeaa0f3…
08-11 09:03:00	doge updown 5m 1786438800	Down	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x8daeb8…
08-11 09:02:54	doge updown 5m 1786438800	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xbec57b…
08-11 09:02:16	doge updown 5m 1786438800	Down	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x876ab7…
08-11 09:02:16	doge updown 5m 1786438800	Down	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x290ca5…
08-11 09:02:15	doge updown 5m 1786438800	Down	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x3867e5…
08-11 09:01:49	doge updown 5m 1786438800	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x8aafc5…
08-11 09:01:48	doge updown 5m 1786438800	Down	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x84aede…
08-11 09:01:48	doge updown 5m 1786438800	Down	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x62804e…
08-11 09:01:43	doge updown 5m 1786438800	Down	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x359c92…
08-11 09:01:43	doge updown 5m 1786438800	Down	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x326950…
08-11 09:00:55	sol updown 5m 1786438800	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6f243f…
08-11 08:59:37	doge updown 5m 1786438500	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xcdc4ab…
08-11 08:59:37	doge updown 5m 1786438500	Up	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x9e2e74…
08-11 08:59:34	doge updown 5m 1786438500	Up	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x39e301…
08-11 08:56:25	sol updown 5m 1786438500	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb1ecb7…
08-11 08:56:21	sol updown 5m 1786438500	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3f49b2…
08-11 08:56:07	btc updown 15m 1786437900	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x8fb79f…
08-11 08:54:37	eth updown 15m 1786437900	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xf580a8…
08-11 08:53:37	btc updown 5m 1786438200	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x29f148…
08-11 08:52:25	sol updown 5m 1786438200	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4f3fde…
08-11 08:51:52	sol updown 5m 1786438200	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x54fefa…
08-11 08:50:57	sol updown 5m 1786438200	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc67de8…
08-11 08:50:48	eth updown 15m 1786437900	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa6d59b…
08-11 08:50:24	doge updown 15m 1786437900	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe09baf…
08-11 08:49:54	doge updown 5m 1786437900	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2b19cf…
08-11 08:49:49	doge updown 5m 1786437900	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5ae906…