Austere-Devil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.3%

Resolved

299

Trades

2,021

lifetime

Volume

$3.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 06-01 14:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 46% $-15

Other

2% 25% $-27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 399 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	80	$314	303	304	-1	Yes	+$78	05-08 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	54	$258	343	215	+128	open	—	05-17 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	7	$66	62	20	+41	Up	$-26	05-07 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4PM ET	26	$54	59	57	+2	open	—	05-16 21:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	18	$48	204	0	+204	open	—	05-18 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	7	$34	26	26	+0	Up	+$11	05-13 03:34
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	8	$30	24	24	+0	Up	+$12	05-07 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$29	20	20	+0	Up	+$9	05-07 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	7	$28	19	19	+0	Up	+$8	05-13 01:43
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	9	$27	67	17	+50	Lucknow Super Giants	$-20	05-07 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	4	$27	17	17	+0	Up	+$5	05-07 07:58
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	2	$27	18	18	+0	Chennai Super Kings	+$7	05-10 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	5	$26	15	15	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	3	$25	16	16	+0	Up	+$5	05-07 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	4	$24	15	15	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	8	$24	35	28	+7	Up	+$24	05-06 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	12	$24	17	17	+0	open	—	05-16 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	9	$23	20	20	+0	Up	+$10	05-06 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	8	$23	43	5	+38	Up	+$3	05-07 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$23	14	14	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	14	$21	19	10	+9	open	—	05-17 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	17	$21	42	0	+42	open	—	05-16 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$20	29	0	+29	Down	$-10	05-07 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	6	$20	21	21	+0	Up	+$14	05-06 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	7	$20	32	0	+32	Down	$-13	05-07 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	7	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	05-19 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	9	$18	12	12	+0	Up	+$4	05-12 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$18	25	8	+18	Down	$-4	05-06 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	6	$18	23	17	+6	open	—	05-17 01:04
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	4	$17	15	15	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 07:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 14:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd5dcb7…
06-01 14:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3c8fa0…
06-01 14:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xca3df8…
06-01 14:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xf3b0ba…
06-01 14:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2e3467…
06-01 14:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xaf5574…
06-01 13:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x276040…
06-01 13:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x32f370…
06-01 13:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf029c0…
06-01 13:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x067825…
06-01 13:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd5f0f3…
06-01 13:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x332e1c…
06-01 13:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5af174…
06-01 13:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3e40ea…
06-01 13:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x34df9a…
06-01 13:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe3cbb1…
05-31 01:24:26	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3b5a91…
05-31 01:23:04	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0xe99902…
05-31 01:19:23	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe21ba3…
05-31 01:10:19	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xa3494d…
05-31 01:09:30	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x7023e6…
05-31 01:09:28	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xfda0f9…
05-31 01:03:19	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x43a76a…
05-31 00:57:39	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa711fc…
05-31 00:54:36	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xddae47…
05-31 00:54:36	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xb7b252…
05-31 00:50:01	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8aa8bb…
05-31 00:45:03	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x1da3aa…
05-31 00:44:58	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x6dfa21…
05-31 00:39:19	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x7af039…
05-31 00:37:41	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8928af…
05-31 00:29:24	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe0ed70…
05-31 00:25:05	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe0a542…
05-31 00:24:56	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0xb4ffd1…
05-31 00:23:04	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x9e9e1d…
05-31 00:15:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3c10dc…
05-31 00:13:09	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0xa014b1…
05-31 00:10:35	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1fb497…
05-31 00:02:51	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x3dc0d3…
05-31 00:00:42	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8ba97a…
05-30 23:40:34	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe9181b…
05-30 23:39:52	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x20c46e…
05-30 23:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf5a414…
05-30 23:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb3d148…
05-30 23:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x432e13…
05-30 23:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0x3767e5…
05-30 23:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x44458c…
05-30 23:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1a457e…
05-30 23:11:47	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x07a661…
05-30 23:10:39	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x555009…
05-30 23:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x000c6d…
05-30 23:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xbf47ea…
05-30 23:01:59	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x00f155…
05-30 23:00:31	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x81b09a…
05-30 22:58:46	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xf7f05b…
05-30 22:58:04	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6d74dd…
05-30 22:51:48	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x789c73…
05-30 22:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfcdaea…
05-30 22:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0xa95af5…
05-30 22:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1d6877…
05-30 22:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x10ad1d…
05-30 22:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0xbc85a0…
05-30 22:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xcd7395…
05-30 22:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x9f2b04…
05-30 22:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9658ff…
05-30 22:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2836cd…
05-30 22:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x52a831…
05-30 22:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x555d03…
05-30 22:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe36cd8…
05-30 22:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb7c775…
05-30 22:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x33b977…
05-30 22:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x3f9b62…
05-30 22:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb1cf9a…
05-26 06:57:22	BNB Up or Down - May 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x703a98…
05-26 06:39:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe88292…
05-26 06:38:05	bnb updown 15m 1779777000	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x79fef9…
05-26 06:37:58	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf939a6…
05-26 06:37:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd6b011…
05-26 06:37:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9d9232…
05-26 06:37:25	BNB Up or Down - May 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6e557a…
05-26 06:34:26	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x51ffc8…
05-26 06:34:21	bnb updown 5m 1779777000	Down	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x857dcd…
05-26 06:34:19	bnb updown 5m 1779777000	Down	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xfa0fa2…
05-26 06:28:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcdbb2a…
05-26 06:28:55	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x469361…
05-26 06:28:55	BNB Up or Down - May 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3ac384…
05-26 06:28:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2179b1…
05-26 06:24:21	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xe27cb8…
05-26 06:24:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xc2412d…
05-26 06:24:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xad8c89…
05-26 06:24:21	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x5c080e…
05-26 06:23:25	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xdf78ae…
05-26 06:14:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8baccb…
05-26 06:13:17	BNB Up or Down - May 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x388a9c…
05-26 06:12:53	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1fcf49…
05-26 06:12:07	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x664e06…
05-26 06:09:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xf66e26…
05-26 06:09:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x534dfc…
05-26 06:09:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x94ca08…
05-26 06:04:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xbc446e…