Austere-Devil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.3%

Resolved

299

Trades

2,377

lifetime

Volume

$3.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 06-29 07:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 46% $-15

Other

3% 25% $-27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 399 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	80	$314	303	304	-1	Yes	+$78	05-08 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	54	$258	343	215	+128	open	—	05-17 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	7	$66	62	20	+41	Up	$-26	05-07 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4PM ET	26	$54	59	57	+2	open	—	05-16 21:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	18	$48	204	0	+204	open	—	05-18 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	7	$34	26	26	+0	Up	+$11	05-13 03:34
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	8	$30	24	24	+0	Up	+$12	05-07 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$29	20	20	+0	Up	+$9	05-07 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	7	$28	19	19	+0	Up	+$8	05-13 01:43
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	9	$27	67	17	+50	Lucknow Super Giants	$-20	05-07 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	4	$27	17	17	+0	Up	+$5	05-07 07:58
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	2	$27	18	18	+0	Chennai Super Kings	+$7	05-10 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	5	$26	15	15	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	3	$25	16	16	+0	Up	+$5	05-07 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	4	$24	15	15	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	8	$24	35	28	+7	Up	+$24	05-06 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	12	$24	17	17	+0	open	—	05-16 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	9	$23	20	20	+0	Up	+$10	05-06 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	8	$23	43	5	+38	Up	+$3	05-07 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$23	14	14	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	14	$21	19	10	+9	open	—	05-17 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	17	$21	42	0	+42	open	—	05-16 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$20	29	0	+29	Down	$-10	05-07 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	6	$20	21	21	+0	Up	+$14	05-06 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	7	$20	32	0	+32	Down	$-13	05-07 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	7	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	05-19 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	9	$18	12	12	+0	Up	+$4	05-12 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$18	25	8	+18	Down	$-4	05-06 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	6	$18	23	17	+6	open	—	05-17 01:04
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	4	$17	15	15	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 07:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 07:40:22	xrp updown 15m 1782718200	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6ed80a…
06-29 07:38:49	xrp updown 15m 1782718200	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5f4a6c…
06-29 01:48:22	xrp updown 5m 1782697500	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xda6fde…
06-29 01:48:05	xrp updown 5m 1782697500	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xce9600…
06-29 01:47:59	xrp updown 5m 1782697500	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x2d78cf…
06-29 01:47:40	xrp updown 5m 1782697500	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3387b8…
06-29 01:47:26	xrp updown 5m 1782697500	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x30750c…
06-29 01:44:40	xrp updown 5m 1782697200	Down	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x83ab62…
06-29 01:44:38	xrp updown 5m 1782697200	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xc4866c…
06-29 01:44:32	xrp updown 5m 1782697200	Down	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xca18f5…
06-29 01:44:32	xrp updown 5m 1782697200	Down	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x62ebe4…
06-29 01:44:13	xrp updown 5m 1782697200	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x16edd1…
06-29 01:37:32	xrp updown 5m 1782696900	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7c20f7…
06-29 01:36:29	xrp updown 5m 1782696900	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x9f9ebb…
06-29 01:36:26	xrp updown 5m 1782696900	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x170f6f…
06-29 01:36:08	xrp updown 5m 1782696900	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8e2b1e…
06-29 01:34:14	xrp updown 5m 1782696600	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x2e42b5…
06-29 01:33:32	xrp updown 5m 1782696600	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xbd08ba…
06-29 01:29:22	xrp updown 5m 1782696300	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xea1264…
06-29 01:26:08	xrp updown 15m 1782695700	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x830b86…
06-29 01:25:35	xrp updown 15m 1782695700	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x553c69…
06-29 01:25:17	xrp updown 15m 1782695700	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc637d0…
06-29 01:24:49	xrp updown 15m 1782695700	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x66339c…
06-29 01:23:35	xrp updown 15m 1782695700	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x85faaf…
06-29 01:22:28	xrp updown 15m 1782695700	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb74258…
06-29 01:21:20	xrp updown 15m 1782695700	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa2d55e…
06-29 01:21:01	xrp updown 15m 1782695700	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8165eb…
06-29 01:20:55	xrp updown 15m 1782695700	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xca1a05…
06-29 01:19:56	xrp updown 15m 1782695700	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x99d71c…
06-29 01:19:41	xrp updown 15m 1782695700	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x00e2d9…
06-29 01:18:40	xrp updown 5m 1782695700	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x036560…
06-29 01:17:19	xrp updown 5m 1782695700	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfeda5f…
06-29 01:16:41	xrp updown 5m 1782695700	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x103de2…
06-29 01:12:31	sol updown 15m 1782694800	Up	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xc740d9…
06-29 01:10:34	sol updown 15m 1782694800	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x00ee27…
06-29 01:08:50	sol updown 15m 1782694800	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x74e07f…
06-29 01:08:08	sol updown 15m 1782694800	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3aca1d…
06-29 01:04:19	sol updown 15m 1782694800	Up	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x4fa8b3…
06-29 01:03:53	sol updown 15m 1782694800	Up	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x0608e7…
06-29 01:02:01	xrp updown 5m 1782694800	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xf9a462…
06-29 00:58:20	sol updown 5m 1782694500	Down	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x5d562e…
06-29 00:58:20	sol updown 5m 1782694500	Down	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x397d37…
06-29 00:58:19	sol updown 5m 1782694500	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xe6a57b…
06-29 00:58:19	sol updown 5m 1782694500	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x04e4b2…
06-29 00:56:52	sol updown 15m 1782693900	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x711893…
06-29 00:37:13	btc updown 5m 1782693300	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd7d4f8…
06-29 00:22:11	sol updown 15m 1782692100	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa8f4d6…
06-29 00:21:08	sol updown 15m 1782692100	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x292112…
06-29 00:20:16	sol updown 15m 1782692100	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x364a10…
06-29 00:19:23	sol updown 5m 1782692100	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x4155d6…
06-29 00:18:28	sol updown 5m 1782692100	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x533cd0…
06-29 00:17:58	sol updown 5m 1782692100	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x68e766…
06-29 00:17:31	sol updown 5m 1782692100	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xff53b0…
06-29 00:13:05	sol updown 15m 1782691200	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x460261…
06-29 00:12:53	sol updown 15m 1782691200	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xcadf9a…
06-29 00:12:46	sol updown 15m 1782691200	Up	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x8a7737…
06-29 00:11:34	sol updown 15m 1782691200	Up	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x3d584b…
06-29 00:09:16	sol updown 5m 1782691500	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x439d1c…
06-29 00:07:31	sol updown 15m 1782691200	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x9c11e0…
06-29 00:03:41	sol updown 15m 1782691200	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xffd5b0…
06-29 00:01:34	sol updown 5m 1782691200	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf7d2ff…
06-29 00:00:56	sol updown 5m 1782691200	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1e35c3…
06-29 00:00:40	sol updown 5m 1782691200	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x241314…
06-28 23:59:56	sol updown 5m 1782690900	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x91cc84…
06-28 23:59:55	sol updown 5m 1782690900	Up	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x2b13d8…
06-28 23:59:43	sol updown 5m 1782690900	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5e5e9b…
06-28 23:58:34	sol updown 5m 1782690900	Down	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x596b18…
06-28 23:57:26	sol updown 5m 1782690900	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6af991…
06-28 23:55:56	sol updown 5m 1782690900	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x93387e…
06-28 23:52:08	eth updown 5m 1782690600	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xe8c047…
06-28 23:51:32	eth updown 5m 1782690600	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9b7786…
06-28 23:47:31	eth updown 5m 1782690300	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfa8012…
06-28 23:47:04	eth updown 5m 1782690300	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x5f9c03…
06-28 23:46:25	eth updown 5m 1782690300	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7babd8…
06-28 23:45:58	eth updown 5m 1782690300	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x231cea…
06-28 23:45:37	eth updown 5m 1782690300	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe1f24f…
06-28 23:45:25	eth updown 5m 1782690300	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x30bc1c…
06-28 23:37:34	eth updown 15m 1782689400	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xfea2f5…
06-28 23:37:19	eth updown 15m 1782689400	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x9573ef…
06-28 23:36:40	eth updown 15m 1782689400	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xee880c…
06-28 23:36:40	eth updown 15m 1782689400	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x29c00c…
06-28 23:35:11	eth updown 15m 1782689400	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x87b376…
06-28 23:34:46	eth updown 15m 1782689400	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x803bb1…
06-28 23:33:28	eth updown 15m 1782689400	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0801ab…
06-28 23:32:56	eth updown 15m 1782689400	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc648c3…
06-28 23:32:04	eth updown 5m 1782689400	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xc2d2b2…
06-28 23:31:29	eth updown 5m 1782689400	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x08a8a5…
06-28 23:31:17	eth updown 5m 1782689400	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xc23286…
06-28 23:31:16	eth updown 5m 1782689400	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x74705f…
06-28 23:31:16	eth updown 5m 1782689400	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x169650…
06-28 23:30:31	eth updown 5m 1782689400	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x63739b…
06-28 23:30:07	ethereum up or down june 28 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x4d7597…
06-28 23:30:05	ethereum up or down june 28 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x2b9bd4…
06-28 23:28:46	eth updown 5m 1782689100	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x7afb0d…
06-28 23:28:19	eth updown 5m 1782689100	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x90fb33…
06-28 23:28:13	eth updown 5m 1782689100	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0d5993…
06-28 23:28:02	eth updown 5m 1782689100	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc923cb…
06-28 23:27:55	eth updown 5m 1782689100	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf607fc…
06-28 23:27:22	eth updown 5m 1782689100	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x385ab2…
06-28 23:26:32	eth updown 5m 1782689100	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2c7dfd…