Austere-Devil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$440

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

2,480

Trades

8,471

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 09-21 03:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 29% -$449

Politics

12% 50% +$55

Other

4% 28% -$37

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 295 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	23	$885	495	495	+0	Yes	+$56	05-04 07:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	88	$338	328	333	-5	Yes	+$84	05-08 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	54	$258	343	215	+128	Down	-$6	05-17 15:48
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	9	$226	191	40	+151	Yes	+$3	05-04 09:34
Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win 22 or more seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	2	$198	104	104	+0	Yes	$0	05-04 09:44
Will the match end in a draw?	7	$79	60	60	+0	No	+$1	05-16 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	7	$66	62	20	+41	Up	-$26	05-07 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4PM ET	26	$54	59	57	+2	Up	+$20	05-16 21:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	18	$48	204	0	+204	No	-$48	05-18 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	7	$34	26	26	+0	Up	+$11	05-13 03:34
Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win between 19 and 21 seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	3	$32	20	20	+0	No	+$3	05-04 06:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 03:00 UTC	17	$32	34	19	+15	Up	+$4	07-11 03:14
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	8	$30	24	24	+0	Up	+$12	05-07 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$29	20	20	+0	Up	+$9	05-07 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	7	$28	19	19	+0	Up	+$8	05-13 01:43
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 12:30 UTC	19	$28	38	15	+23	Up	+$3	08-01 12:45
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	9	$27	67	17	+50	Lucknow Super Giants	-$20	05-07 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	4	$27	17	17	+0	Up	+$5	05-07 07:58
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	2	$27	18	18	+0	Chennai Super Kings	+$7	05-10 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	5	$26	15	15	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 03:24
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 20:15 UTC	20	$26	64	16	+48	Up	+$1	07-27 20:28
bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 4am et	14	$25	382	11	+371	Down	-$3	07-29 08:55
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	2	$25	18	18	+0	Yes	+$5	07-09 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	3	$25	16	16	+0	Up	+$5	05-07 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	4	$24	15	15	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 03:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:05 UTC	16	$24	36	10	+27	Down	+$0	08-06 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	8	$24	35	28	+7	Up	+$24	05-06 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	12	$24	17	17	+0	Up	+$6	05-16 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	9	$23	20	20	+0	Up	+$10	05-06 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	8	$23	43	5	+38	Up	+$3	05-07 05:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 03:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xffcae1…
09-21 03:13:04	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xf5b470…
09-21 03:11:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0xe3ee96…
09-21 03:11:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0xefbbda…
09-21 03:11:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0x067dcd…
09-21 03:09:13	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0x19de4c…
09-21 03:05:26	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x7e2e36…
09-21 03:04:53	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5837f9…
09-21 03:04:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd1b98d…
09-21 03:02:29	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xbd9a75…
09-21 03:02:11	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xf1edd5…
09-21 03:01:59	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6be25e…
09-21 03:01:59	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x376963…
09-21 02:28:43	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xc72351…
09-21 02:28:43	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x825b3c…
09-21 02:28:28	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x21fe76…
09-21 02:22:53	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc3854a…
09-21 02:21:22	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2c7699…
09-21 02:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3b5df9…
09-21 02:19:28	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x3168a4…
09-21 02:19:16	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x33c10c…
09-21 02:19:07	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xe32e91…
09-21 02:19:04	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa0aaa8…
09-21 02:17:25	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0x9df2ca…
09-21 02:16:58	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2e371e…
09-21 02:16:20	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4f8dfb…
09-21 02:15:55	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x32864d…
09-18 07:51:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x412f92…
09-04 11:50:21	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe163c9…
09-01 20:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xa0e18b…
09-01 18:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x980171…
09-01 18:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xc8f212…
09-01 18:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd404a9…
09-01 18:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x9a7734…
09-01 18:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbbf7b4…
08-20 11:02:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x7d528b…
08-20 11:02:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x5a9e5b…
08-20 10:57:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x51cfa0…
08-20 08:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x378064…
08-20 08:41:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3b94a0…
08-20 08:39:55	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xa68491…
08-20 08:39:55	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0x2c9ac2…
08-20 08:38:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xefe0c3…
08-20 08:38:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3b9b9d…
08-20 08:35:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb21acf…
08-20 08:33:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x370c7c…
08-20 08:31:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xfbcd48…
08-20 07:24:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xcc92be…
08-20 07:23:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:20 UTC	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x1bcf32…
08-20 07:22:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa934e5…
08-20 07:21:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5031a8…
08-20 07:20:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x11f1ae…
08-20 07:19:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x226cf7…
08-20 07:18:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xa7d3f3…
08-20 07:17:34	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x8f9907…
08-20 07:17:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x0f294a…
08-20 03:58:43	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5ee2e9…
08-20 03:58:42	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x6f6b37…
08-20 02:43:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xb09316…
08-20 02:43:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x3cae8a…
08-20 01:27:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xbf4918…
08-20 01:14:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9033f8…
08-20 01:10:52	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x71adda…
08-20 01:10:25	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xb87fc3…
08-20 01:09:24	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xd396bc…
08-20 01:07:37	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0xeee020…
08-20 01:07:37	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0xc293e0…
08-20 01:06:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x29e5fb…
08-20 01:03:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x663e5a…
08-20 01:02:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 01:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xba2061…
08-20 01:00:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd67d6e…
08-20 00:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x893c1c…
08-20 00:54:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x7054e7…
08-20 00:54:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe51420…
08-20 00:52:07	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x5253b1…
08-20 00:46:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x44cde3…
08-20 00:43:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc51016…
08-20 00:42:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3dc9c1…
08-20 00:41:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0xefb62d…
08-20 00:41:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x5509d3…
08-20 00:40:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x97492b…
08-20 00:39:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf4b4cf…
08-20 00:39:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xcb6b29…
08-20 00:35:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb454ad…
08-20 00:34:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0xa8049a…
08-20 00:33:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x5e1a8e…
08-20 00:32:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xde4e7f…
08-20 00:30:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9714c0…
08-20 00:29:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x17ea32…
08-20 00:28:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1f1d8e…
08-20 00:27:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 00:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x0e5332…
08-20 00:27:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 00:25 UTC	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xb65c42…
08-20 00:27:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x540686…
08-20 00:26:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xab063f…
08-20 00:26:19	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xcb27d3…
08-20 00:25:04	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x408267…
08-20 00:24:39	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x695c05…
08-20 00:24:07	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x4c4e6d…
08-20 00:22:45	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf7db46…
08-20 00:17:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8109ce…