Circular-Folk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$38.0K

Unrealized P&L

+$40

Hit rate

50.7%

Resolved

9,950

Trades

26,352

lifetime

Volume

$2.73M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$104

Open exposure

$1.54K

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 10-27 19:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 201 days

Categories

Other

93% 48% +$35,848

Sports

7% 38% +$1,141

Crypto

0% 48% +$906

Politics

0% 25% +$129

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5	Under	+980	$500	64¢	$627	+$127	10-10 02:06
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	+1,515	$500	31¢	$462	-$38	10-10 10:54
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?	No	+820	$500	55¢	$451	-$49	10-10 11:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	28	$7.1K	9,499	9,499	+0	Yes	+$995	07-19 20:38
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	31	$4.6K	6,034	6,034	+0	Yes	+$778	07-14 20:31
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	28	$4.0K	4,261	4,260	+0	Yes	+$151	07-15 20:46
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	10	$3.9K	4,430	3,410	+1,020	Flavio Cobolli	+$567	06-03 13:36
wta willia joint 2026 06 29	5	$3.3K	4,219	2,873	+1,346	Maya Joint	+$733	06-30 17:43
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	42	$3.2K	3,790	3,789	+0	No	-$5	07-14 19:54
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	14	$3.2K	11,249	11,249	+0	No	+$413	07-12 03:16
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	45	$3.1K	5,412	5,412	+0	No	+$23	07-12 16:10
wta stefani yastrem 2026 08 30	4	$3.0K	5,649	0	+5,649	Lucrezia Stefanini	-$2,970	08-30 17:45
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands	27	$2.9K	2,573	2,573	+0	Netherlands	+$1,714	05-31 17:33
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	37	$2.8K	3,356	3,356	+0	Yes	+$1,413	06-04 19:18
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-31?	15	$2.8K	2,147	2,142	+5	Yes	+$1,311	05-31 13:42
atp ratti sach 2026 08 10	3	$2.7K	2,769	1,452	+1,318	Lucio Ratti	+$519	08-10 10:37
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	3	$2.7K	2,029	2,029	+0	GIANTX	+$1,398	05-31 19:50
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	9	$2.6K	3,540	2,420	+1,120	India	+$567	10-22 06:43
Roland Garros WTA: Petra Marcinko vs Eva Lys	14	$2.6K	3,029	2,429	+600	Eva Lys	-$245	05-25 11:22
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-05-31?	5	$2.6K	1,980	1,980	+0	Yes	+$1,366	05-31 19:50
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India	19	$2.6K	2,670	2,572	+98	England	-$55	05-30 13:17
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5	26	$2.5K	3,841	2,370	+1,471	Under	-$452	06-15 15:23
Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys	3	$2.5K	3,550	1,573	+1,977	Holger Rune	+$1,008	10-26 14:12
Tasmania JackJumpers vs. Adelaide 36ers: O/U 184.5	5	$2.5K	3,243	1,700	+1,543	Under	-$736	10-16 08:28
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek	5	$2.5K	1,967	1,967	+0	Marta Kostyuk	+$1,384	05-31 13:42
Roland Garros WTA: Lilli Tagger vs Xinyu Wang	4	$2.4K	2,034	2,034	+0	Xinyu Wang	+$41	05-24 08:59
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska	10	$2.4K	2,937	2,028	+909	Maja Chwalinska	-$466	06-03 08:44
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	5	$2.4K	2,936	1,978	+958	Yes	-$411	10-13 17:42
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-05-31?	5	$2.4K	1,818	1,818	+0	Yes	+$1,216	05-31 17:33
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	31	$2.4K	2,900	1,918	+982	No	-$504	06-14 03:36
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak	8	$2.3K	2,773	2,207	+566	Kamil Majchrzak	-$69	06-10 00:51
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	37	$2.3K	2,935	2,324	+611	No	-$125	05-28 13:41
will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	25	$2.3K	2,454	2,231	+223	No	-$120	06-26 15:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 22:39:02	Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Elise Mertens	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	442	47¢	$208	0x383981…
10-27 22:16:41	Delaware vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 61.5	Under	BUY	1,475	61¢	$900	0xcb47ea…
10-27 19:26:48	Game Spread: Jiri Lehecka (-3.5) vs Stan Wawrinka (+3.5)	Stan Wawrinka	BUY	2,021	47¢	$950	0x5c914e…
10-27 19:19:38	Will Bangladesh win?	No	BUY	337	42¢	$142	0x704f02…
10-27 18:57:08	Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	1,319	9¢	$119	0xd3f15e…
10-27 18:49:14	Guayaquil: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Rodrigo Pacheco	Juan Pablo Varillas	BUY	1,822	52¢	$947	0x520594…
10-27 18:40:05	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	1,827	26¢	$475	0x6599a7…
10-27 18:35:29	Spread: Málaga CF (-3.5)	Málaga CF	BUY	950	50¢	$475	0x56fe4b…
10-27 18:20:35	KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 167.5	Under	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xe8a0af…
10-27 15:12:57	Spread: FK Kapaz (-2.5)	Baku Sporting	BUY	41	60¢	$25	0x6f341e…
10-27 14:26:38	Game Spread: Alex Michelsen (-2.5) vs Botic van de Zandschulp (+2.5)	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	1,939	49¢	$950	0xc0c725…
10-27 11:02:14	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	1,250	40¢	$500	0xdd58b7…
10-27 09:59:38	Seoul Knights vs. KCC Egis	Seoul Knights	SELL	19	69¢	$13	0x76d78a…
10-27 09:39:59	Spread: Seoul Knights (-7.5)	KCC Egis	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0x7a4896…
10-27 09:17:29	Seoul Knights vs. KCC Egis	Seoul Knights	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0xecb279…
10-27 09:16:06	Seoul Knights vs. KCC Egis	Seoul Knights	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x93ba96…
10-27 09:14:26	Seoul Knights vs. KCC Egis	Seoul Knights	SELL	171	72¢	$123	0x913532…
10-27 08:51:54	Will Kyoto Sanga FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x28e4a1…
10-27 08:07:30	AIK vs. IF Elfsborg: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	1,256	35¢	$440	0x0386a1…
10-27 08:01:56	L.R. Vicenza vs. Modena FC 2018: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	449	38¢	$171	0x41685f…
10-27 07:18:50	Seoul Knights vs. KCC Egis	Seoul Knights	BUY	1,562	64¢	$1,000	0x8badea…
10-27 05:50:03	Ireland Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs Ireland	Namibia	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x4a9d2f…
10-27 04:20:00	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	1,217	63¢	$767	0x502c18…
10-27 04:20:00	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	61	63¢	$38	0x1c184d…
10-27 02:36:23	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	91	63¢	$57	0x49600e…
10-27 02:31:06	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	37	63¢	$23	0x0864c3…
10-27 01:46:30	Pan Pacific Open: Ann Li vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Ann Li	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x277953…
10-27 01:46:21	Pan Pacific Open: Ann Li vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Ann Li	BUY	313	46¢	$144	0xd80359…
10-27 01:26:06	Pan Pacific Open: Ann Li vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Ann Li	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xa6adae…
10-27 01:15:33	Pan Pacific Open: Ann Li vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Ann Li	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x7d65af…
10-26 22:30:48	Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5	Over	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x8e6a68…
10-26 21:43:15	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x393188…
10-26 20:54:38	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	SELL	72	56¢	$40	0x94a752…
10-26 20:50:26	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x13421d…
10-26 20:44:36	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0x0afaa5…
10-26 18:38:02	Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)	LOS	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x39517d…
10-26 18:16:41	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	76	62¢	$47	0x37866f…
10-26 17:40:02	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	SELL	32	64¢	$21	0x9f6839…
10-26 17:02:11	Bnei Herzliya Basket vs. Hapoel Eilat: O/U 170.5	Under	BUY	2,128	47¢	$1,000	0x3a9e92…
10-26 16:59:48	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x724f69…
10-26 15:40:30	Spread: Heat (-7.5)	Mavericks	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xdc2a62…
10-26 15:33:56	bkkbl seo kcc 2026 10 27 spread home 7pt5	KCC Egis	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x9c74f4…
10-26 15:12:23	Spread: Hornets (-1.5)	Wizards	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x8b0089…
10-26 14:12:27	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys	Holger Rune	BUY	1,977	49¢	$969	0xb4b07a…
10-26 14:10:39	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys	Quentin Halys	SELL	1,573	50¢	$787	0x6bd1a5…
10-26 13:57:14	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys	Quentin Halys	BUY	1,573	50¢	$787	0x066826…
10-26 12:32:30	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	103	62¢	$64	0x9df9f9…
10-26 11:31:26	Spread: Shanghai Sharks (-11.5)	Shanghai Sharks	BUY	1,786	56¢	$1,000	0x594cd8…
10-26 10:35:15	Game Spread: Casper Ruud (-2.5) vs Dominic Stephan Stricker (+2.5)	Dominic Stephan Stricker	BUY	2,439	41¢	$1,000	0x63c5ba…
10-26 09:46:56	Goyang vs. LG Sakers: O/U 170.5	Under	BUY	97	53¢	$51	0x83c7c7…
10-26 08:08:59	Goyang vs. LG Sakers: O/U 170.5	Under	BUY	1,790	53¢	$949	0xea6cec…
10-26 06:40:06	bkkbl goy lg 2026 10 26 spread home 3pt5	LG Sakers	BUY	1,118	51¢	$570	0x88ddd4…
10-26 04:42:03	Will South Africa win?	Yes	BUY	120	48¢	$58	0x8df414…
10-26 04:18:17	Will Falkenbergs FF win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	74	57¢	$42	0x386286…
10-25 23:18:57	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	99	55¢	$54	0x95abc9…
10-25 22:37:44	Game Spread: Sinja Kraus (-3.5) vs Panna Udvardy (+3.5)	Panna Udvardy	BUY	286	48¢	$137	0xd15c70…
10-25 22:00:39	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xa05c85…
10-25 18:01:45	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	691	45¢	$311	0xe568da…
10-25 17:24:51	Grizzlies vs. Kings	Kings	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x5e6182…
10-25 17:07:32	Will SC Braga win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	794	63¢	$500	0x43ac1f…
10-25 16:54:15	Will Australia win?	Yes	BUY	111	40¢	$44	0x43607b…
10-25 16:42:50	Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Taylor Fritz	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x430880…
10-25 16:36:09	Will Australia win?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x908c5a…
10-25 16:25:03	Will Australia win?	Yes	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xf734e0…
10-25 16:25:03	Will Australia win?	Yes	BUY	57	40¢	$23	0xabfbfe…
10-25 16:09:45	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	1,515	33¢	$500	0xcf6831…
10-25 15:03:41	Valencia vs. Kosner Baskonia: O/U 183.5	Under	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x5b3fa7…
10-25 15:03:20	Valencia vs. Kosner Baskonia: O/U 183.5	Under	BUY	125	44¢	$55	0x1e9b17…
10-25 14:09:45	Valencia vs. Kosner Baskonia: O/U 183.5	Under	BUY	824	46¢	$379	0x761894…
10-25 13:28:36	Pistons vs. 76ers	Pistons	SELL	42	51¢	$21	0x537283…
10-25 12:46:05	Pistons vs. 76ers	Pistons	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x7a22a3…
10-25 11:15:24	Spread: Qingdao Eagles (-15.5)	Nanjing Monkey King	BUY	678	43¢	$292	0x610e87…
10-25 10:48:42	Kristiansund BK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	902	40¢	$361	0xacaa39…
10-25 10:47:15	Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	1,087	46¢	$500	0x92ff68…
10-25 10:45:00	Viking FK vs. Tromsø IL: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	1,351	37¢	$500	0xe6e32a…
10-25 07:26:38	Daegu Pegasus vs. Seoul Thunders	Daegu Pegasus	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xb8abb5…
10-25 06:58:57	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	England	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x47438e…
10-25 06:53:48	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	England	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xabae2d…
10-25 06:41:38	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	England	BUY	167	58¢	$97	0x3343a6…
10-25 06:38:18	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	England	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x6abf1f…
10-25 05:50:06	Melbourne United vs. Sydney Kings: O/U 193.5	Over	BUY	2,222	45¢	$1,000	0x41d841…
10-25 05:13:17	Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko	Xiaoyin Yang	BUY	436	17¢	$74	0x54e620…
10-25 04:18:45	Anyang vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	BUY	331	38¢	$126	0xb8219b…
10-25 04:17:32	Anyang vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	BUY	810	38¢	$308	0x32d1e7…
10-25 03:56:18	Cairns Taipans vs. New Zealand Breakers: O/U 189.5	Under	BUY	276	51¢	$141	0x500d2d…
10-25 00:15:11	Houston vs. Utah: O/U 57.5	Over	SELL	1,900	49¢	$931	0x6efca5…
10-25 00:15:06	Houston vs. Utah: O/U 57.5	Over	BUY	1,900	50¢	$950	0x25315b…
10-24 23:29:27	Syracuse vs. North Carolina	Syracuse	BUY	4,130	23¢	$950	0xae0406…
10-24 23:25:45	Spread: 76ers (-12.5)	76ers	SELL	39	51¢	$20	0x1b6dd8…
10-24 23:16:47	Spread: 76ers (-12.5)	76ers	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0x0b6814…
10-24 22:47:26	Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-10-24?	No	SELL	1,357	36¢	$489	0x2cb854…
10-24 22:40:00	Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	1,357	35¢	$475	0x122c24…
10-24 22:33:12	Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	950	50¢	$475	0x0300b6…
10-24 21:00:54	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	1,056	49¢	$517	0xbd4a5e…
10-24 20:55:11	San Jose State vs. Nevada	Nevada	BUY	1,462	65¢	$950	0x751d71…
10-24 20:36:06	Ole Miss vs. Texas	Ole Miss	BUY	2,317	41¢	$950	0x4c281c…
10-24 20:32:09	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	1,056	45¢	$475	0x74f837…
10-24 20:31:35	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-24?	No	SELL	931	55¢	$512	0x9e9d7a…
10-24 20:28:35	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	931	51¢	$475	0xe4044f…
10-24 18:35:32	Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	1,218	39¢	$475	0x57863b…