Circular-Folk — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$22.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

50.3%

Resolved (30d)

1,180

Trades (30d)

1,880

26,526 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$389.2K

$2.79M lifetime

Avg / trade

$105

Open exposure

$2.50K

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 11-01 16:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 206 days

Categories

Other

93% 48% +$41,947

Sports

7% 38% +$1,254

Crypto

0% 48% +$906

Politics

0% 25% +$129

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-01?	No	—	+980	$500	100¢	$980	+$480	11-01 13:19
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5	Under		+980	$500	60¢	$593	+$93	10-10 02:06
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?	Yes		+1,515	$500	31¢	$470	-$30	10-10 10:54
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?	No		+820	$500	54¢	$443	-$57	10-10 11:30
Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-11-01?	Yes		+1,351	$500	1¢	$14	-$486	11-01 14:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	28	$7.1K	9,499	9,499	+0	Yes	+$995	07-19 20:38
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	31	$4.6K	6,034	6,034	+0	Yes	+$778	07-14 20:31
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	28	$4.0K	4,261	4,260	+0	Yes	+$151	07-15 20:46
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	10	$3.9K	4,430	3,410	+1,020	Flavio Cobolli	+$567	06-03 13:36
wta willia joint 2026 06 29	5	$3.3K	4,219	2,873	+1,346	Maya Joint	+$733	06-30 17:43
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	42	$3.2K	3,790	3,789	+0	No	-$5	07-14 19:54
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	14	$3.2K	11,249	11,249	+0	No	+$413	07-12 03:16
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	45	$3.1K	5,412	5,412	+0	No	+$23	07-12 16:10
wta stefani yastrem 2026 08 30	4	$3.0K	5,649	0	+5,649	Lucrezia Stefanini	-$2,970	08-30 17:45
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands	27	$2.9K	2,573	2,573	+0	Netherlands	+$1,714	05-31 17:33
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	37	$2.8K	3,356	3,356	+0	Yes	+$1,413	06-04 19:18
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-31?	15	$2.8K	2,147	2,142	+5	Yes	+$1,311	05-31 13:42
atp ratti sach 2026 08 10	3	$2.7K	2,769	1,452	+1,318	Lucio Ratti	+$519	08-10 10:37
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	3	$2.7K	2,029	2,029	+0	GIANTX	+$1,398	05-31 19:50
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	9	$2.6K	3,540	2,420	+1,120	India	+$567	10-22 06:43
Roland Garros WTA: Petra Marcinko vs Eva Lys	14	$2.6K	3,029	2,429	+600	Eva Lys	-$245	05-25 11:22
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-05-31?	5	$2.6K	1,980	1,980	+0	Yes	+$1,366	05-31 19:50
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India	19	$2.6K	2,670	2,572	+98	England	-$55	05-30 13:17
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5	26	$2.5K	3,841	2,370	+1,471	Under	-$452	06-15 15:23
Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys	3	$2.5K	3,550	1,573	+1,977	Holger Rune	+$1,008	10-26 14:12
Tasmania JackJumpers vs. Adelaide 36ers: O/U 184.5	5	$2.5K	3,243	1,700	+1,543	Under	-$736	10-16 08:28
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek	5	$2.5K	1,967	1,967	+0	Marta Kostyuk	+$1,384	05-31 13:42
Roland Garros WTA: Lilli Tagger vs Xinyu Wang	4	$2.4K	2,034	2,034	+0	Xinyu Wang	+$41	05-24 08:59
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska	10	$2.4K	2,937	2,028	+909	Maja Chwalinska	-$466	06-03 08:44
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	5	$2.4K	2,936	1,978	+958	Yes	-$411	10-13 17:42
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-05-31?	5	$2.4K	1,818	1,818	+0	Yes	+$1,216	05-31 17:33
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	31	$2.4K	2,900	1,918	+982	No	-$504	06-14 03:36
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak	8	$2.3K	2,773	2,207	+566	Kamil Majchrzak	-$69	06-10 00:51
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	37	$2.3K	2,935	2,324	+611	No	-$125	05-28 13:41
will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	25	$2.3K	2,454	2,231	+223	No	-$120	06-26 15:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 17:15:43	Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	991	41¢	$406	0x2b088e…
11-01 17:10:13	Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	334	19¢	$63	0x102234…
11-01 16:57:33	Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien	Joaquin Aguilar	SELL	997	39¢	$389	0xd54c6a…
11-01 16:57:10	Basquet Club Andorra vs. Valencia: O/U 181.5	Under	BUY	2,240	43¢	$963	0x3c6a5e…
11-01 16:44:18	Basquet Club Andorra vs. Valencia: O/U 181.5	Under	BUY	83	40¢	$33	0xd8378c…
11-01 15:59:31	Spread: Kosner Baskonia (-9.5)	Kosner Baskonia	BUY	991	50¢	$495	0x77599c…
11-01 15:52:52	Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien	Joaquin Aguilar	BUY	2,778	36¢	$1,000	0x653b08…
11-01 14:25:52	Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	1,351	37¢	$500	0x540df1…
11-01 14:14:48	Club Guabirá vs. Club Bolívar: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	137	32¢	$44	0x764e24…
11-01 13:19:57	Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	980	51¢	$500	0x87dc29…
11-01 11:10:55	Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions: O/U 176.5	Under	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x46d5fe…
11-01 08:58:07	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xef92b7…
11-01 08:58:07	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	SELL	105	31¢	$32	0xb7d196…
11-01 08:58:07	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	SELL	1,089	31¢	$337	0x473b7d…
11-01 08:57:33	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x44e21a…
11-01 08:54:07	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	1,150	26¢	$299	0x71a141…
11-01 08:52:48	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	28	37¢	$10	0x287960…
11-01 07:20:19	Seoul Thunders vs. Seoul Knights: O/U 165.5	Under	BUY	33	44¢	$15	0x02588f…
11-01 06:37:45	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x9c5526…
11-01 06:04:51	Seoul Thunders vs. Seoul Knights: O/U 165.5	Under	BUY	106	45¢	$48	0x66d844…
11-01 04:59:40	Sendai 89ers vs. Tokyo Sunrockers	Sendai 89ers	BUY	946	50¢	$473	0x08ebc5…
11-01 04:46:57	bkkbl lg won 2026 11 01 spread home 4pt5	Wonju DB Promy	BUY	298	41¢	$122	0x16c61c…
11-01 04:40:10	Goyang vs. Sonic Boom	Goyang	SELL	1,565	52¢	$814	0xc2ff98…
11-01 03:39:01	Goyang vs. Sonic Boom	Goyang	BUY	1,565	49¢	$767	0x58921c…
11-01 03:14:18	South East Melbourne Phoenix vs. Tasmania JackJumpers	South East Melbourne Phoenix	BUY	1,472	64¢	$942	0x9dfce8…
11-01 03:10:37	Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-11-01?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x64ca8c…
11-01 03:10:24	Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-11-01?	No	SELL	214	56¢	$120	0xf2c763…
11-01 02:54:57	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Emerson Jones vs Alexandra Shubladze	Emerson Jones	BUY	1,522	42¢	$639	0xa94bd4…
11-01 02:54:16	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Emerson Jones vs Alexandra Shubladze	Emerson Jones	BUY	838	43¢	$361	0x4fb7b3…
11-01 02:52:00	Will CF América win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	926	54¢	$500	0xdc7667…
11-01 02:50:34	Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	909	55¢	$500	0x935d77…
10-31 23:45:22	Texas State vs. Boise State: O/U 63.5	Under	BUY	2,041	49¢	$1,000	0x98344a…
10-31 23:37:54	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5	Over	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x7975c8…
10-31 21:13:43	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xbe5921…
10-31 18:09:48	Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	1,316	38¢	$500	0xa6966b…
10-31 17:51:24	Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)	D.C. United SC	BUY	893	56¢	$500	0xe814cf…
10-31 16:53:04	Spread: Le Mans (-13.5)	Le Mans	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x4b0968…
10-31 16:51:07	Basket Zaragoza vs. Basquet Girona: O/U 181.5	Under	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x2dae9a…
10-31 16:21:15	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x2958e4…
10-31 16:00:10	Limoges vs. Boulazac: O/U 168.5	Over	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x0e17bf…
10-31 14:05:24	Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	1,020	49¢	$500	0x33d45d…
10-31 11:29:52	Spread: Guangdong Southern Tigers (-1.5)	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0x9a00d0…
10-31 11:29:06	Thunder vs. Rockets	Thunder	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xa882e9…
10-31 11:21:37	Spread: Guangdong Southern Tigers (-1.5)	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0xff8bd5…
10-31 11:16:51	Will Stormers win?	No	BUY	108	8¢	$9	0xa3c38d…
10-31 10:39:31	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Vit Kopriva	Vit Kopriva	BUY	607	37¢	$225	0xc7761a…
10-31 10:39:24	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Vit Kopriva	Vit Kopriva	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x4c4473…
10-31 10:39:13	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Vit Kopriva	Vit Kopriva	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x509a32…
10-31 09:58:03	Will FC Kairat Almaty win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	1,250	40¢	$500	0xb3e3ae…
10-31 09:22:39	Spread: Perth Wildcats (-9.5)	Perth Wildcats	BUY	331	41¢	$136	0xf2ddf2…
10-31 08:23:55	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart	Harriet Dart	BUY	2,174	46¢	$1,000	0x494b7b…
10-31 08:02:49	Cairns Taipans vs. Melbourne United: O/U 192.5	Over	BUY	167	52¢	$87	0x37fab8…
10-31 06:57:37	kaz1 irt ord 2026 10 31 ord	No	BUY	1,111	45¢	$500	0xdde39f…
10-31 04:52:19	Kobe Storks vs. Nagasaki Velca	Nagasaki Velca	BUY	149	66¢	$98	0xda9df1…
10-31 04:49:07	Blaublitz Akita leading at halftime?	No	BUY	294	66¢	$194	0x98e0c6…
10-31 04:47:57	Blaublitz Akita leading at halftime?	No	BUY	191	66¢	$126	0xb34e4f…
10-31 04:47:51	Blaublitz Akita leading at halftime?	No	BUY	162	66¢	$107	0x3fa460…
10-31 04:43:19	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers	Guangdong Southern Tigers	BUY	2,703	37¢	$1,000	0x3869bc…
10-31 04:09:46	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	SELL	659	53¢	$349	0x48aab8…
10-31 03:56:24	Fujian Sturgeons vs. Qingdao Eagles	Fujian Sturgeons	BUY	2,273	44¢	$1,000	0x5feac6…
10-30 22:38:19	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	SELL	62	36¢	$22	0x949744…
10-30 22:18:45	Bulls vs. Celtics	Bulls	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x7e2e72…
10-30 21:59:30	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xc3a680…
10-30 21:15:39	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xf4dc15…
10-30 20:15:06	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	SELL	35	60¢	$21	0x45c36a…
10-30 20:07:03	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x3fc08e…
10-30 20:04:51	Cairns Taipans vs. Melbourne United	Melbourne United	BUY	758	66¢	$500	0x983ef4…
10-30 19:18:16	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	96	62¢	$59	0x80da16…
10-30 18:59:09	Dijon vs. Nancy: O/U 168.5	Under	BUY	296	47¢	$139	0x320ca6…
10-30 18:56:28	Anwil Wloclawek vs. Stal Ostrow Wielkopolski: O/U 163.5	Under	BUY	696	50¢	$348	0xc7f7d8…
10-30 18:19:54	Will FK Atyrau win on 2026-10-31?	No	SELL	450	38¢	$171	0x631aad…
10-30 17:49:28	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?	No	SELL	2,121	24¢	$509	0xe45f56…
10-30 17:21:57	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	659	48¢	$316	0x3b948f…
10-30 17:04:34	Will FK Atyrau win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	450	34¢	$153	0x527604…
10-30 16:58:03	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	1,245	63¢	$784	0x336433…
10-30 16:47:27	Spread: Dijon (-9.5)	Dijon	BUY	2,222	45¢	$1,000	0xcd5c28…
10-30 16:30:09	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	SELL	572	63¢	$360	0x042b6f…
10-30 16:30:06	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	SELL	15	63¢	$9	0x818eba…
10-30 16:29:57	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0x54216a…
10-30 16:29:51	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	SELL	240	63¢	$152	0x91a05a…
10-30 15:42:34	Science City Jena vs. Fraport Skyliners	Science City Jena	BUY	132	27¢	$35	0xf3f2f3…
10-30 14:20:07	Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-1.5)	FK Shakhtar Donetsk	BUY	744	57¢	$424	0x25134d…
10-30 14:07:27	Will Sabah Masazir win on 2026-10-30?	No	SELL	870	56¢	$487	0xfb8bd1…
10-30 12:42:13	Will Sabah Masazir win on 2026-10-30?	No	BUY	967	48¢	$464	0x156f57…
10-30 11:22:04	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	877	57¢	$500	0x240924…
10-30 10:30:42	Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Shenzhen Leopards	Jilin Northeast Tigers	BUY	119	60¢	$71	0x2b4a02…
10-30 09:53:48	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	244	64¢	$156	0x6e0d6c…
10-30 09:53:24	Goyang vs. Seoul Thunders	Seoul Thunders	BUY	1,005	35¢	$352	0x208797…
10-30 07:03:52	Big Bash League, Women: Brisbane Heat vs Sydney Sixers	Brisbane Heat	BUY	15	23¢	$4	0x412bf1…
10-30 07:03:15	Big Bash League, Women: Brisbane Heat vs Sydney Sixers	Brisbane Heat	BUY	3,832	26¢	$996	0x68a018…
10-30 06:21:43	New Zealand Breakers vs. Adelaide 36ers: O/U 181.5	Under	BUY	1,659	41¢	$680	0x0ad20e…
10-30 05:59:34	Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jil Teichmann	Kaitlin Quevedo	BUY	178	57¢	$102	0x8640ba…
10-30 05:54:51	Pan Pacific Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez	Leylah Fernandez	SELL	4,348	26¢	$1,130	0x84f673…
10-30 04:13:36	Pan Pacific Open: Mia Pohankova vs Alycia Parks	Alycia Parks	BUY	2,941	34¢	$1,000	0x332247…
10-30 01:50:12	Pan Pacific Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	4,348	23¢	$1,000	0xee1932…
10-30 01:32:06	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Grizzlies	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xa0a512…
10-30 00:47:13	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?	No	BUY	452	22¢	$99	0x1167fe…
10-29 23:01:39	Spread: North Texas (-14.5)	Florida Atlantic	BUY	1,020	49¢	$500	0x37b1b7…
10-29 21:39:18	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?	No	BUY	1,669	21¢	$350	0xc7b543…
10-29 21:34:31	Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	833	60¢	$500	0xdcad2c…