Circular-Folk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$44.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$887

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved

10,154

Trades

26,663

lifetime

Volume

$2.82M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$106

Open exposure

$5.06K

10 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 11-06 16:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 211 days

Categories

Other

93% 48% +$41,766

Sports

7% 38% +$1,266

Crypto

0% 48% +$906

Politics

0% 25% +$129

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bursaspor win on 2026-11-06?	No		+1,282	$500	99¢	$1.3K	+$770	11-06 09:45
Trabzonspor vs. Petkim Spor	Petkim Spor		+2,663	$960	32¢	$852	-$108	11-06 11:06
Gaziantep FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5	Under		+769	$500	99¢	$762	+$262	11-06 05:57
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5	Under		+980	$500	69¢	$676	+$176	10-10 02:06
Will Union Touarga Sports win on 2026-11-06?	No	—	+974	$467	50¢	$482	+$15	11-06 16:13
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?	No		+820	$500	54¢	$443	-$57	10-10 11:30
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?	Yes		+1,515	$500	26¢	$386	-$114	10-10 10:54
Alba Berlin vs. Phoenix Hagen: O/U 173.5	Over	—	+309	$173	51¢	$157	-$15	11-06 18:39
76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5	Over		+41	$20	52¢	$21	+$1	11-06 15:49
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?	No		+1,042	$50	1¢	$8	-$42	11-03 18:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	28	$7.1K	9,499	9,499	+0	Yes	+$995	07-19 20:38
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	31	$4.6K	6,034	6,034	+0	Yes	+$778	07-14 20:31
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	28	$4.0K	4,261	4,260	+0	Yes	+$151	07-15 20:46
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	10	$3.9K	4,430	3,410	+1,020	Flavio Cobolli	+$567	06-03 13:36
wta willia joint 2026 06 29	5	$3.3K	4,219	2,873	+1,346	Maya Joint	+$733	06-30 17:43
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	42	$3.2K	3,790	3,789	+0	No	-$5	07-14 19:54
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	14	$3.2K	11,249	11,249	+0	No	+$413	07-12 03:16
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	45	$3.1K	5,412	5,412	+0	No	+$23	07-12 16:10
wta stefani yastrem 2026 08 30	4	$3.0K	5,649	0	+5,649	Lucrezia Stefanini	-$2,970	08-30 17:45
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands	27	$2.9K	2,573	2,573	+0	Netherlands	+$1,714	05-31 17:33
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	37	$2.8K	3,356	3,356	+0	Yes	+$1,413	06-04 19:18
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-31?	15	$2.8K	2,147	2,142	+5	Yes	+$1,311	05-31 13:42
atp ratti sach 2026 08 10	3	$2.7K	2,769	1,452	+1,318	Lucio Ratti	+$519	08-10 10:37
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	3	$2.7K	2,029	2,029	+0	GIANTX	+$1,398	05-31 19:50
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	9	$2.6K	3,540	2,420	+1,120	India	+$567	10-22 06:43
Roland Garros WTA: Petra Marcinko vs Eva Lys	14	$2.6K	3,029	2,429	+600	Eva Lys	-$245	05-25 11:22
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-05-31?	5	$2.6K	1,980	1,980	+0	Yes	+$1,366	05-31 19:50
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India	19	$2.6K	2,670	2,572	+98	England	-$55	05-30 13:17
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5	26	$2.5K	3,841	2,370	+1,471	Under	-$452	06-15 15:23
Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys	3	$2.5K	3,550	1,573	+1,977	Holger Rune	+$1,008	10-26 14:12
Tasmania JackJumpers vs. Adelaide 36ers: O/U 184.5	5	$2.5K	3,243	1,700	+1,543	Under	-$736	10-16 08:28
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek	5	$2.5K	1,967	1,967	+0	Marta Kostyuk	+$1,384	05-31 13:42
Roland Garros WTA: Lilli Tagger vs Xinyu Wang	4	$2.4K	2,034	2,034	+0	Xinyu Wang	+$41	05-24 08:59
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska	10	$2.4K	2,937	2,028	+909	Maja Chwalinska	-$466	06-03 08:44
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	5	$2.4K	2,936	1,978	+958	Yes	-$411	10-13 17:42
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-05-31?	5	$2.4K	1,818	1,818	+0	Yes	+$1,216	05-31 17:33
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	31	$2.4K	2,900	1,918	+982	No	-$504	06-14 03:36
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak	8	$2.3K	2,773	2,207	+566	Kamil Majchrzak	-$69	06-10 00:51
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	37	$2.3K	2,935	2,324	+611	No	-$125	05-28 13:41
will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	25	$2.3K	2,454	2,231	+223	No	-$120	06-26 15:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 18:39:57	Alba Berlin vs. Phoenix Hagen: O/U 173.5	Over	BUY	309	56¢	$173	0x123c7b…
11-06 16:13:03	Will Union Touarga Sports win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	75	48¢	$36	0xc46f17…
11-06 16:13:01	Will Union Touarga Sports win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	308	48¢	$148	0xaa7c8a…
11-06 16:13:00	Will Union Touarga Sports win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	304	48¢	$146	0x3bec92…
11-06 16:12:58	Will Union Touarga Sports win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	287	48¢	$138	0x9501cf…
11-06 15:49:18	76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5	Over	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x78fd85…
11-06 11:06:13	Trabzonspor vs. Petkim Spor	Petkim Spor	BUY	59	35¢	$20	0x56c487…
11-06 11:05:54	Trabzonspor vs. Petkim Spor	Petkim Spor	BUY	115	35¢	$40	0xe89f73…
11-06 11:05:37	Trabzonspor vs. Petkim Spor	Petkim Spor	BUY	99	35¢	$34	0x69b09d…
11-06 11:04:46	Trabzonspor vs. Petkim Spor	Petkim Spor	BUY	135	35¢	$47	0xe80820…
11-06 11:01:04	Trabzonspor vs. Petkim Spor	Petkim Spor	BUY	173	36¢	$62	0xf0db4c…
11-06 11:00:25	Trabzonspor vs. Petkim Spor	Petkim Spor	BUY	212	36¢	$76	0x225778…
11-06 11:00:12	Trabzonspor vs. Petkim Spor	Petkim Spor	BUY	392	36¢	$141	0xf73ced…
11-06 10:59:42	Trabzonspor vs. Petkim Spor	Petkim Spor	BUY	335	36¢	$121	0xc0a87f…
11-06 10:59:30	Trabzonspor vs. Petkim Spor	Petkim Spor	BUY	572	36¢	$206	0x038c70…
11-06 10:52:48	Trabzonspor vs. Petkim Spor	Petkim Spor	BUY	571	37¢	$211	0xd2fdea…
11-06 10:33:39	Hapoel Holon BC vs. Hapoel Galil Elyon	Hapoel Galil Elyon	BUY	3,425	29¢	$993	0xf18a44…
11-06 09:54:31	Anyang vs. Seoul Knights	Seoul Knights	BUY	1,818	55¢	$1,000	0xbe8c49…
11-06 09:48:43	Spread: Seoul Knights (-1.5)	Anyang	BUY	2,201	42¢	$925	0x2221e4…
11-06 09:45:30	Will Bursaspor win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	1,282	39¢	$500	0xda72b8…
11-06 08:21:15	Spread: Tasmania JackJumpers (-5.5)	New Zealand Breakers	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0x4d4873…
11-06 08:20:42	Spread: Tasmania JackJumpers (-5.5)	New Zealand Breakers	SELL	310	55¢	$171	0xb3a85b…
11-06 08:20:25	Spread: Tasmania JackJumpers (-5.5)	New Zealand Breakers	SELL	1,085	55¢	$597	0x5454fc…
11-06 08:19:25	Spread: Tasmania JackJumpers (-5.5)	New Zealand Breakers	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x9f4337…
11-06 08:17:52	Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini	Anastasia Zakharova	BUY	2,041	49¢	$1,000	0x8c0b63…
11-06 07:34:04	Tasmania JackJumpers vs. New Zealand Breakers	Tasmania JackJumpers	BUY	1,197	65¢	$778	0xa6b713…
11-06 06:38:22	Nepal Premier League: Sudurpaschim Royals vs Karnali Yaks	Sudurpaschim Royals	BUY	190	50¢	$95	0xb4ed50…
11-06 06:27:48	Nepal Premier League: Sudurpaschim Royals vs Karnali Yaks	Sudurpaschim Royals	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xfd1aa7…
11-06 06:16:27	Spread: Tasmania JackJumpers (-5.5)	New Zealand Breakers	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xad5776…
11-06 06:15:30	Spread: Tasmania JackJumpers (-5.5)	New Zealand Breakers	BUY	616	49¢	$302	0x182684…
11-06 06:14:42	Spread: Tasmania JackJumpers (-5.5)	New Zealand Breakers	BUY	373	49¢	$183	0x1471f6…
11-06 06:14:22	Spread: Tasmania JackJumpers (-5.5)	New Zealand Breakers	BUY	391	49¢	$191	0xa3ada6…
11-06 05:57:33	Gaziantep FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	769	65¢	$500	0x28e210…
11-06 03:10:12	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu	Zeynep Sonmez	BUY	423	47¢	$199	0x3a93bb…
11-06 02:59:46	KBO Playoff: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	BUY	1,024	51¢	$522	0x005b53…
11-06 02:56:09	bkkbl any seo 2026 11 06 total 162pt5	Under	BUY	1,220	51¢	$622	0xcb2883…
11-06 01:12:13	Heat vs. Warriors	Warriors	SELL	33	62¢	$20	0xbc9046…
11-06 00:22:45	Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x2cce92…
11-05 23:28:40	Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot	Harold Mayot	BUY	2,041	49¢	$1,000	0x7a2349…
11-05 20:47:55	Heat vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x042238…
11-05 19:53:06	Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x970483…
11-05 14:13:25	Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	SELL	1,050	46¢	$483	0x623b8d…
11-05 12:05:57	Will BG Pathum United win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	1,159	16¢	$186	0x987094…
11-05 11:56:37	Will Kuching City FC win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x568007…
11-05 11:43:31	Shelton vs. Rinderknech: Match O/U 23.5	Under	BUY	1,725	48¢	$828	0x95dffe…
11-05 11:09:42	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala	Alexandra Eala	BUY	1,613	62¢	$1,000	0xcb1208…
11-05 10:46:33	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-11-05?	No	SELL	56	45¢	$25	0xc39e05…
11-05 09:25:27	Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech	Arthur Rinderknech	BUY	45	26¢	$12	0x265c0a…
11-05 08:16:27	Cairns Taipans vs. Illawarra Hawks	Illawarra Hawks	BUY	1,856	39¢	$724	0xb0bf41…
11-05 06:54:22	Cairns Taipans vs. Illawarra Hawks: O/U 198.5	Under	BUY	1,110	47¢	$522	0x2dd0db…
11-05 06:06:37	W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen	Lisa Pigato	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x0c4d97…
11-05 05:22:19	Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	1,050	44¢	$462	0x31ae4d…
11-05 04:29:28	Spread: Cairns Taipans (-3.5)	Illawarra Hawks	BUY	215	49¢	$105	0xe284f4…
11-05 04:28:57	Spread: Cairns Taipans (-3.5)	Illawarra Hawks	BUY	476	49¢	$233	0x89029e…
11-05 04:28:40	Spread: Cairns Taipans (-3.5)	Illawarra Hawks	BUY	476	49¢	$233	0xe8db4d…
11-05 04:28:22	Spread: Cairns Taipans (-3.5)	Illawarra Hawks	BUY	476	49¢	$233	0x69b3f6…
11-05 04:28:07	Spread: Cairns Taipans (-3.5)	Illawarra Hawks	BUY	397	49¢	$195	0x5160b2…
11-05 04:24:15	Game Spread: Mai Hontama (-5.5) vs Zhibek Kulambayeva (+5.5)	Mai Hontama	BUY	2,083	48¢	$1,000	0x2cae3b…
11-05 03:27:01	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xbdf653…
11-05 03:25:52	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x3214c5…
11-05 03:25:22	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	43	41¢	$18	0xa44de0…
11-05 01:36:10	Big Bash League, Women: Adelaide Strikers vs Brisbane Heat	Adelaide Strikers	BUY	1,515	66¢	$1,000	0xfa60e7…
11-04 23:30:55	Hawks vs. Wizards	Wizards	SELL	45	46¢	$21	0x1a46b4…
11-04 23:00:10	Hawks vs. Wizards	Wizards	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xe9df9b…
11-04 19:53:57	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	1,471	34¢	$500	0x14b46a…
11-04 19:47:34	PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x5b05e9…
11-04 19:47:21	PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	772	47¢	$363	0x649a66…
11-04 17:44:01	Spread: Thunder (-3.5)	Thunder	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x055057…
11-04 17:40:48	Spread: Celtics (-8.5)	Celtics	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xefe3ae…
11-04 17:27:33	Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5	Over	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xe4785f…
11-04 15:49:03	Game Spread: Karen Khachanov (-2.5) vs Nuno Borges (+2.5)	Karen Khachanov	BUY	2,041	49¢	$1,000	0x47c49a…
11-04 15:44:18	Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Karen Khachanov	Karen Khachanov	BUY	1,538	65¢	$1,000	0xa633fe…
11-04 15:08:42	Reyer Venezia vs. BC Siauliai	Reyer Venezia	BUY	99	66¢	$66	0x9872af…
11-04 11:43:18	Game Spread: Tommy Paul (-3.5) vs Daniel Merida Aguilar (+3.5)	Daniel Merida Aguilar	BUY	2,632	38¢	$1,000	0xc16db4…
11-04 09:58:16	Tirante vs. Struff: Match O/U 22.5	Under	BUY	378	43¢	$163	0x6fce00…
11-04 09:54:21	Spread: Seoul Knights (-6.5)	Daegu Pegasus	BUY	106	50¢	$53	0x24ad43…
11-04 08:56:25	Brisbane Bullets vs. Perth Wildcats: O/U 188.5	Under	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xf66109…
11-04 08:55:54	Brisbane Bullets vs. Perth Wildcats: O/U 188.5	Under	SELL	24	46¢	$11	0xd54bac…
11-04 08:50:06	Brisbane Bullets vs. Perth Wildcats: O/U 188.5	Under	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x345a7e…
11-04 07:54:36	Big Bash League, Women: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades	Melbourne Renegades	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0xeefb2a…
11-04 07:32:06	Big Bash League, Women: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades	Melbourne Renegades	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xfddabd…
11-04 07:31:25	Big Bash League, Women: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades	Melbourne Renegades	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x10eedf…
11-04 06:12:06	KBO Playoff: Samsung Lions vs. KT Wiz	Samsung Lions	SELL	65	43¢	$28	0xd498e8…
11-04 06:10:51	nba lal sac 2026 11 04 spread away 11pt5	Lakers	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xa10ca8…
11-04 05:32:43	KBO Playoff: Samsung Lions vs. KT Wiz	Samsung Lions	BUY	65	40¢	$26	0x3e0a1a…
11-04 05:11:18	W50 Huamantla: Victoria Rodriguez vs Midori Castillo Meza	Midori Castillo Meza	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0x0fc1e7…
11-04 00:32:16	atp tirante struff 2026 11 04	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x5a286a…
11-03 23:54:43	Ohio vs. Akron: O/U 51.5	Under	BUY	2,222	45¢	$1,000	0x03678f…
11-03 19:32:45	FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	806	31¢	$250	0x0c0cdf…
11-03 19:16:22	FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	980	51¢	$500	0x551b89…
11-03 18:41:12	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Basketball Loewen Braunschweig: O/U 174.5	Under	BUY	135	54¢	$73	0xa030c9…
11-03 18:09:03	Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?	No	BUY	1,042	5¢	$50	0x223a67…
11-03 17:57:39	India Tour of New Zealand ODIs: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	904	44¢	$398	0x4440b7…
11-03 16:36:52	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	962	52¢	$500	0xf6d672…
11-03 10:35:03	Nakashima vs. Berrettini: Match O/U 23.5	Under	BUY	232	45¢	$104	0x30c841…
11-03 09:57:43	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Legacy	BUY	14	61¢	$9	0x9d897f…
11-03 09:57:28	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Legacy	BUY	19	61¢	$11	0x85000d…
11-03 09:44:22	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Shubladze vs Liudmila Samsonova	Liudmila Samsonova	BUY	1,480	60¢	$888	0x77c22f…
11-03 09:44:21	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Shubladze vs Liudmila Samsonova	Liudmila Samsonova	BUY	190	59¢	$112	0x0e3349…
11-03 08:04:07	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maria Timofeeva	Maria Timofeeva	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0xaf4752…