Slushy-Ballot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.4%

Resolved

Trades

635

lifetime

Volume

$21.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 08-08 09:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

46% 38% +$5

Sports

31% 100% +$28

Politics

21% 47% +$15

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	5	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	07-03 01:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	12	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-22 14:41
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	4	$989	600	600	+0	open	—	07-26 08:47
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5	2	$777	420	420	+0	open	—	05-23 03:06
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury	4	$695	370	370	+0	open	—	05-22 04:18
Thunder vs. Lakers	4	$684	520	520	+0	Thunder	+$3	05-10 02:44
fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 corners total 10pt5	3	$650	500	500	+0	open	—	06-23 04:46
fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	2	$594	616	186	+430	open	—	06-28 11:10
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	2	$576	300	300	+0	San Francisco Giants	+$24	05-13 05:12
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	7	$551	730	730	+0	open	—	08-08 09:49
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	4	$531	333	333	+0	Timberwolves	+$1	05-05 04:14
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	2	$504	373	373	+0	open	—	05-20 03:46
fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 corners total 8pt5	3	$461	530	0	+530	open	—	06-27 01:38
LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winner	3	$437	290	290	+0	open	—	05-04 09:37
fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 corners total 8pt5	1	$410	500	0	+500	open	—	06-28 01:04
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 corners total 6pt5	2	$399	498	0	+498	open	—	06-23 11:20
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	1	$382	400	0	+400	open	—	07-04 00:33
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	1	$370	420	0	+420	open	—	07-02 15:26
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 total 202pt5	5	$357	210	210	+0	open	—	06-06 03:11
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner	2	$352	200	200	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$44	05-06 11:57
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins	3	$352	180	180	+0	open	—	05-19 04:16
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$329	177	177	+0	open	—	05-18 02:22
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	9	$295	234	234	+0	open	—	05-26 07:32
will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	2	$294	154	154	+0	open	—	06-28 23:25
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	5	$254	150	150	+0	open	—	07-17 14:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$240	200	200	+0	open	—	07-09 06:08
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5	1	$215	249	0	+249	open	—	05-20 02:36
will the announcers say trump during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221729	1	$203	214	0	+214	open	—	06-25 03:22
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners	3	$199	240	0	+240	open	—	05-02 03:50
btc updown 15m 1785144600	2	$198	101	101	+0	open	—	07-27 09:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 09:49:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	730	12¢	$88	0x41a276…
08-07 23:26:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	300	31¢	$93	0x91f517…
08-07 18:44:19	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	7¢	$5	0xa219d2…
08-07 08:55:49	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0x2a7549…
08-07 07:02:46	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0xb5dfaa…
08-06 16:10:53	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xd91c84…
08-06 16:10:53	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xbf3185…
08-06 16:10:53	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0xaf3313…
08-06 16:10:53	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x53f2e2…
08-06 14:11:44	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x2f8815…
08-06 12:23:42	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x124f38…
08-06 12:15:12	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	207	5¢	$10	0x286d59…
08-06 12:01:57	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x108bde…
08-06 11:59:12	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	80	9¢	$7	0x9f3da4…
08-06 11:58:17	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xcea416…
08-06 05:27:11	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x4c1d65…
08-06 05:27:05	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x5035eb…
08-06 05:26:47	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x681ae6…
08-06 02:58:26	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x621f7e…
08-05 07:58:57	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0x4bf69e…
08-02 02:08:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xd29316…
08-02 02:08:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x16d66a…
08-02 02:06:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x814327…
08-01 20:46:21	will trump say shit in august 20260728220215905	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x801071…
08-01 17:16:02	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0xdd071e…
08-01 06:11:08	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0xc121de…
08-01 05:19:32	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x370bb6…
08-01 04:52:09	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x844488…
08-01 03:54:18	will trump say president xi this week 20260724154805100	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x85ddca…
08-01 03:43:23	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xe7fdc3…
07-31 17:29:33	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x1c9374…
07-31 17:28:05	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb1d1a8…
07-31 16:27:09	will trump say president xi this week 20260724154805100	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xc83039…
07-31 13:23:11	will trump say president xi this week 20260724154805100	No	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xcee015…
07-31 12:49:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xc65957…
07-31 12:29:05	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	BUY	39	93¢	$36	0x625b93…
07-31 10:52:59	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	SELL	100	33¢	$33	0xc6d06b…
07-31 07:37:30	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x343173…
07-30 17:06:59	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x41f10e…
07-30 13:03:38	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x9cc126…
07-30 13:03:23	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xcbdb0d…
07-30 12:29:56	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xaec09a…
07-30 12:29:45	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x7f9521…
07-30 12:29:45	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x21422a…
07-30 12:29:38	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x26d477…
07-30 12:29:24	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x6d3274…
07-30 12:18:36	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x68210d…
07-30 12:13:57	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0x67d465…
07-30 06:10:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0xd983a7…
07-30 03:58:47	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0x1701d7…
07-30 02:05:32	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	SELL	2,000	2¢	$44	0x42862f…
07-29 22:36:27	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	BUY	823	5¢	$41	0x47d00f…
07-29 22:22:51	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xe2b0da…
07-29 22:22:50	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0x13a807…
07-29 22:22:11	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0xe88006…
07-29 22:22:11	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x3607a3…
07-29 22:22:05	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x491ef8…
07-29 22:22:05	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0x134273…
07-29 22:22:05	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x038627…
07-29 13:19:03	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x823eef…
07-29 12:35:32	will trump say president xi this week 20260724154805100	No	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0xf58bcb…
07-28 21:54:22	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	91	86¢	$78	0xb252b0…
07-28 21:53:29	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	86¢	$10	0x57bba6…
07-27 23:37:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	300	26¢	$77	0x079559…
07-27 15:27:39	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	199	55¢	$109	0xc9b2cb…
07-27 15:27:37	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0x159ebf…
07-27 09:38:54	btc updown 15m 1785144600	Up	SELL	101	97¢	$98	0x4c98b9…
07-27 09:38:09	btc updown 15m 1785144600	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xa05243…
07-27 09:29:30	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x4efec4…
07-26 08:47:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	170	68¢	$115	0xf93f08…
07-26 08:24:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	200	68¢	$136	0x9a1544…
07-26 05:53:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	300	34¢	$102	0x3c0876…
07-26 05:43:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	230	70¢	$160	0x9f848a…
07-23 04:06:36	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xa06bef…
07-23 03:42:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	600	96¢	$579	0x514015…
07-23 00:37:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x3d7528…
07-23 00:34:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0xe90706…
07-22 17:35:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xbd72eb…
07-22 12:38:12	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x6c3d22…
07-22 09:43:30	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0x543e66…
07-22 08:07:36	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x47de8f…
07-22 07:22:15	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x13790b…
07-22 03:45:24	will trump say golden dome this week 20260719005322443	No	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x1cf875…
07-21 17:59:31	will trump post gold or golden on truth social this week 20260717142647646	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x650cff…
07-17 14:26:19	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	150	94¢	$141	0x792942…
07-15 04:15:32	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	BUY	38	27¢	$10	0x714f5f…
07-14 18:26:23	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	BUY	39	45¢	$18	0x4d1d68…
07-14 17:33:55	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xa98763…
07-13 15:58:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	6	45¢	$2	0xe5a87d…
07-13 15:52:11	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0x55c83e…
07-13 15:28:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xf38b0c…
07-13 10:47:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x24bbcb…
07-13 10:46:17	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xdb1a5d…
07-13 09:59:17	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x8548e0…
07-13 09:34:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x0097dc…
07-13 07:24:31	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0x4ccb7f…
07-13 04:18:10	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xaaa427…
07-13 03:54:02	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 13 2026 20260630182730891	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x8abf82…
07-12 17:01:58	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x28ca9b…
07-12 12:11:11	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x9a2b46…