Realized P&L
-$323
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
46.5%
Resolved
46
Trades
8,408
lifetime
Volume
$80.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$119
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
53% 62% $-291
Crypto
25% 0% $-49
Other
21% 100% +$17
Sports
1% 50% $-0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 142 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -50 $-36 83¢ $-42 $-6 06-04 01:16
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -30 $-32 92¢ $-27 +$4 07-02 13:32
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +50 $26 50¢ $25 $-2 07-13 22:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +35 $17 36¢ $13 $-4 07-10 16:25
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -82 $-13 $-7 +$6 07-14 10:32
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +30 $7 20¢ $6 $-1 07-05 23:33