Realized P&L
-$323
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
46.5%
Resolved
46
Trades
7,921
lifetime
Volume
$76.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$261
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 11:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
56% 62% $-291
Crypto
24% 0% $-49
Other
19% 100% +$17
Sports
1% 50% $-0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +130 $111 86¢ $112 +$1 06-29 12:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -50 $-48 100¢ $-50 $-2 06-10 10:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -50 $-36 76¢ $-38 $-2 06-04 01:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +68 $30 42¢ $29 $-1 06-28 00:08
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-15 15:35
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? Yes +147 $3 $10 +$7 06-28 17:01
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No -6 $-7 99¢ $-6 +$0 06-19 09:09
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +20 $5 26¢ $5 +$0 06-28 00:40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +1 $-1 100¢ $1 +$2 06-15 18:28
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +0 $3 98¢ $0 $-3 06-10 19:01