Realized P&L
+$4.78K
Unrealized P&L
+$44
Hit rate
69.7%
Resolved
2,048
Trades
10,614
lifetime
Volume
$107.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$498
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 06:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 268 days
Categories
Politics
51% 78% +$3,952
Crypto
28% 56% +$1,032
Other
19% 68% -$271
Sports
2% 65% +$67
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +352 $106 36¢ $125 +$19 10-26 07:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +530 $98 16¢ $82 -$15 10-27 18:55
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $101 40¢ $79 -$22 10-29 01:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +130 $48 40¢ $52 +$4 10-23 15:49
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +210 $89 22¢ $45 -$44 10-29 01:49
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +29 -$7 86¢ $25 +$32 10-28 20:12
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +25 $13 97¢ $24 +$11 09-27 17:43
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +20 $18 92¢ $18 +$1 10-25 09:47
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? No +16 $10 100¢ $16 +$6 09-24 11:35
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? Yes +20 -$33 74¢ $15 +$48 10-23 10:00
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +20 $13 68¢ $14 +$0 10-18 00:42
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -10 -$6 20¢ $-2 +$4 05-22 21:57