Realized P&L (7d)
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$57
Hit rate
58.4%
Resolved (7d)
43
Trades (7d)
190
10,598 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$2.43K
$107.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$344
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 23:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 266 days
Categories
Politics
51% 78% +$3,929
Crypto
28% 56% +$1,035
Other
19% 68% -$271
Sports
2% 65% +$67
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +352 $106 35¢ $123 +$17 10-26 07:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +530 $98 16¢ $85 -$13 10-27 18:55
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +130 $48 35¢ $46 -$2 10-23 15:49
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +25 $13 97¢ $24 +$12 09-27 17:43
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +20 $18 92¢ $18 +$1 10-25 09:47
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 -$16 85¢ $16 +$32 10-21 14:35
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? No +16 $10 100¢ $16 +$6 09-24 11:35
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +20 $13 66¢ $13 $0 10-18 00:42
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -10 -$6 20¢ $-2 +$4 05-22 21:57