Realized P&L (90d)
+$1.20K
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
74.3%
Resolved (90d)
289
Trades (90d)
1,464
10,514 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$18.0K
$106.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$485
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 19:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 270 days
Categories
Politics
51% 78% +$3,938
Crypto
28% 56% +$1,034
Other
19% 68% -$271
Sports
2% 65% +$67
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +352 $106 36¢ $128 +$22 10-26 07:44
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $131 28¢ $83 -$49 10-30 20:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +530 $98 15¢ $77 -$21 10-27 18:55
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +210 $89 18¢ $39 -$51 10-29 01:49
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? Yes +50 -$15 62¢ $31 +$46 10-31 07:43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +65 $19 42¢ $27 +$9 10-31 07:52
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +25 $13 98¢ $24 +$12 09-27 17:43
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +29 -$7 82¢ $24 +$31 10-28 20:12
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +20 $18 94¢ $19 +$1 10-25 09:47
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? No +16 $10 100¢ $16 +$6 09-24 11:35
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +20 $13 72¢ $14 +$1 10-18 00:42
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -10 -$6 20¢ $-2 +$4 05-22 21:57