Realized P&L (90d)
+$967
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
66.1%
Resolved (90d)
301
Trades (90d)
1,518
10,493 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$18.7K
$106.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$418
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 00:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 267 days
Categories
Politics
51% 78% +$3,937
Crypto
28% 56% +$1,032
Other
19% 68% -$271
Sports
2% 65% +$67
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +352 $106 36¢ $125 +$19 10-26 07:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +530 $98 16¢ $82 -$15 10-27 18:55
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +123 $66 46¢ $56 -$11 10-29 00:35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +130 $48 40¢ $53 +$5 10-23 15:49
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +29 -$7 90¢ $26 +$33 10-28 20:12
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +25 $13 97¢ $24 +$11 09-27 17:43
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +20 $18 92¢ $18 +$1 10-25 09:47
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? No +16 $10 100¢ $16 +$6 09-24 11:35
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +20 $13 68¢ $14 +$0 10-18 00:42
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -10 -$6 20¢ $-2 +$4 05-22 21:57
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $40 24¢ $1 -$39 10-28 23:23