Grown-Lyre — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.3%

Resolved

213

Trades

8,233

lifetime

Volume

$25.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 15:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

38% 37% $-27

Other

29% 35% $-12

Politics

19% 68% +$41

Sports

13% 25% $-4

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will hantavirus be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 15 20260611144822136	7	$275	183	169	+13	open	—	06-17 17:47
Will Dr. Oz say "Commander In Chief" during the press briefing?	3	$153	100	100	+0	open	—	06-02 19:40
will trump say jerome or powell this week	9	$153	109	109	+0	open	—	06-07 20:45
will microsoft be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 15 20260611144822144	4	$147	97	91	+6	open	—	06-17 17:39
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	19	$135	253	252	+1	open	—	04-29 13:50
will china or chinese be in the headlines this week 20260612213503946	2	$101	56	56	+0	open	—	06-15 06:25
Will MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?	5	$96	76	76	+0	open	—	05-30 18:40
will magic be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260604160625623	5	$94	62	62	+0	open	—	06-10 20:01
will mrbeast say hottest during his next youtube video 20260616145800203	3	$94	59	59	+0	open	—	06-27 18:15
will trump post scam on truth social this week 20260612152704353	2	$93	74	45	+29	open	—	06-21 07:30
Will Trump say "Damn" this week?	2	$93	90	40	+50	open	—	05-31 21:00
will trump say kuwait this week	6	$81	60	60	+0	open	—	06-07 11:42
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	06-13 12:21
Will Dr. Oz say "Alien" or "Aliens.gov" during the press briefing?	2	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	06-02 19:38
will starmer say european union during the next prime ministers questions event 20260602155554504	6	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	06-03 12:05
will trump say landslide during coal announcement 20260604130800090	2	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	06-04 21:07
Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arc" or "Arch" during WHCA Dinner events?	9	$74	71	69	+2	open	—	04-26 02:59
will starmer say public school during the next prime ministers questions event 20260604160137144	2	$72	50	50	+0	open	—	06-09 05:29
will ai or artificial intelligence be in the headlines this week 20260612213503956	2	$72	40	40	+0	open	—	06-15 06:17
will leavitt say alien during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953943 659	5	$71	94	31	+63	open	—	06-26 20:34
will spacex be in the headlines this week 20260612213503952	1	$69	88	0	+88	open	—	06-15 06:01
will trump post crypto or bitcoin on truth social this week 20260612152704361	3	$68	112	0	+112	open	—	06-15 16:49
will warsh say asymmetric during june press conference 20260608181156671	3	$66	50	50	+0	open	—	06-17 18:13
Will Trump say "Karoline" or "Leavitt" during WHCA Dinner events?	8	$65	69	68	+1	open	—	04-26 03:00
highest temperature in london on march 2 2026 15c	10	$65	55	55	+0	open	—	03-02 09:14
will silly be in the headlines this week 20260612213503944	7	$64	74	31	+43	open	—	06-17 05:48
will alien be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 8	4	$61	44	44	+0	open	—	06-09 18:32
will mrbeast say fortnite during his next gaming youtube video 20260615190245864	2	$60	112	0	+112	open	—	06-17 20:12
will starmer say shadow during the next pmq 20260610160650641	5	$58	70	27	+43	open	—	06-20 20:12
will trump say maga or make america great again this week december 29 january 4	7	$55	45	45	+0	open	—	01-05 08:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 15:55:13	will trump post ronaldo on truth social this week 20260626215234524	No	BUY	71	59¢	$42	0x90312a…
06-30 15:48:37	will ukraine or ukrainian be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260626152001213	No	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0xd7146b…
06-29 19:46:34	will trump say pass this week 20260626175002242	No	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0xc45cef…
06-29 19:41:46	will think be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260626152001198	No	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xfa2d5f…
06-29 19:40:08	will war be in the headlines this week 20260626174829043	No	BUY	62	19¢	$12	0x0e84fc…
06-29 10:20:02	will elon post tesla on x this week 20260626175121130	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x3c0586…
06-29 10:16:23	will leavitt say administration 10 times during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953929 373	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x7fbba6…
06-27 18:21:47	will trump say grass this week 20260626175002253	No	BUY	54	44¢	$24	0xf18b4a…
06-27 18:18:11	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	No	BUY	29	12¢	$4	0x6ccb2b…
06-27 18:15:41	will mrbeast say hottest during his next youtube video 20260616145800203	No	SELL	59	99¢	$58	0x0c3b33…
06-27 18:09:49	will trump post mexico on truth social this week 20260622154014265	No	BUY	70	55¢	$38	0xded653…
06-27 04:02:20	will trump post football on truth social this week 20260622154014254	No	BUY	70	55¢	$38	0xbb1ddc…
06-26 20:34:31	will leavitt say alien during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953943 659	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x196aac…
06-26 19:38:01	will leavitt say alien during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953943 659	No	SELL	7	80¢	$5	0x9403b7…
06-26 18:09:19	will the announcers say knee during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250621	No	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0xfae457…
06-26 18:07:05	will trump say china during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533758	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x9a03e1…
06-26 18:05:47	will trump say fake news during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533768	No	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0xeefb72…
06-26 18:05:41	will leavitt say alien during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953943 659	No	SELL	23	80¢	$19	0xcebb7a…
06-26 18:05:11	will trump say endorsement during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533771	No	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x7cdc22…
06-26 17:55:44	will leavitt say alien during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953943 659	No	BUY	63	47¢	$30	0xa4c4ba…
06-26 17:55:10	will leavitt say commander in chief during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953942 837	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x722edb…
06-26 11:48:26	will leavitt say alien during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953943 659	No	BUY	31	55¢	$17	0x74ae2f…
06-26 11:43:35	will trump post scam on truth social this week 20260622154014261	No	BUY	43	55¢	$24	0x30dfbf…
06-26 05:18:26	will tesla be in the headlines this week 20260623154045050	No	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x504d6d…
06-26 04:10:19	will trump say no no no donald in june	No	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0x9a3c1c…
06-26 04:05:08	will netherlands be in the headlines this week 20260623154045048	No	BUY	43	59¢	$25	0xc380dc…
06-25 18:24:38	will the announcers say handball during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809447	No	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0xa05735…
06-25 18:24:38	will the announcers say handball during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809447	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1bf7c5…
06-25 18:23:17	will the announcers say handball during the turkiye vs usa fifa world cup match 20260623182415023	No	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x3d4ed8…
06-25 18:23:11	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the turkiye vs usa fifa world cup match 20260623182415039	No	BUY	28	41¢	$11	0x2a1684…
06-25 18:23:10	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the turkiye vs usa fifa world cup match 20260623182415039	No	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x05be40…
06-25 07:33:16	will tesla be in the headlines this week 20260623154045050	No	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x464c6f…
06-25 07:18:20	will rigged be in the headlines this week 20260623154045040	No	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xe70e1d…
06-25 06:53:20	will rigged be in the headlines this week 20260623154045040	No	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xd04a68…
06-25 06:21:22	will tesla be in the headlines this week 20260623154045050	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xeca319…
06-25 06:11:07	will rigged be in the headlines this week 20260623154045040	No	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x71f7ce…
06-25 06:07:34	will train be in the headlines this week 20260623154045047	No	BUY	29	59¢	$17	0x4bc916…
06-25 05:51:34	will innovation be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260622142240396	No	BUY	28	48¢	$13	0x5fcdf5…
06-25 04:23:47	will trump be in the headlines this week 20260623154045036	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xf64c27…
06-25 03:46:40	will trump be in the headlines this week 20260623154045036	No	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xf59a3b…
06-25 03:43:11	will trump post crypto or bitcoin on truth social this week 20260622154014269	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xaa6f81…
06-25 03:07:05	will kevin be in the headlines this week 20260623154045049	No	BUY	37	59¢	$22	0x48d324…
06-24 20:00:28	will the announcers say what a save during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646399	No	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0xb9c599…
06-24 19:47:47	will trump say save act or save america act during june 24 rally 20260616194255622	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xdc6766…
06-24 17:23:23	will nvidia be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260622142240385	Yes	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0x602c32…
06-24 17:21:52	will nvidia be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260622142240385	Yes	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x6e4618…
06-24 13:03:37	will the announcers say handball during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646390	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xc28ad8…
06-24 13:01:37	will the announcers say tempo during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947259	No	SELL	37	34¢	$13	0xbd9640…
06-24 12:19:20	will trump say barack hussein obama during june 24 rally 20260616194255610	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x3767c6…
06-24 11:57:22	will trump say weightlifter or weightlifting during june 24 rally 20260616194255621	No	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xb63fb6…
06-24 08:10:20	will anyone say storm during house of the dragon e2 s3 20260623150949891	No	BUY	57	59¢	$33	0xba9e42…
06-24 08:05:37	will budget be in the headlines this week 20260623154045039	No	BUY	56	59¢	$33	0x735539…
06-24 08:00:08	will trump post wall street on truth social this week 20260622154014256	No	BUY	74	55¢	$41	0x21d47f…
06-24 05:29:56	btc updown 5m 1782278700	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x6a692d…
06-24 05:29:07	btc updown 5m 1782278700	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x3c3b6d…
06-24 05:12:25	will anyone say prophecy during house of the dragon e2 s3 20260623150949877	No	BUY	74	58¢	$43	0xfd925f…
06-24 05:09:56	will trump post uranium on truth social this week 20260622154014268	No	BUY	58	55¢	$32	0xde096b…
06-24 04:51:37	will trump say barack hussein obama during june 24 rally 20260616194255610	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x8e6170…
06-24 04:03:19	will trump post soccer on truth social this week 20260622154014255	No	BUY	57	55¢	$31	0x6a3d12…
06-24 03:53:07	will anyone say prayer during house of the dragon e2 s3 20260623150949882	No	BUY	56	59¢	$33	0x2766d2…
06-24 03:49:56	will inflation be in the headlines this week 20260623154045046	No	BUY	56	59¢	$33	0x53cc5e…
06-24 03:44:55	will trump post knicks on truth social this week 20260622154014262	No	BUY	74	55¢	$41	0x983910…
06-24 03:25:49	will anyone say marriage during house of the dragon e2 s3 20260623150949885	No	BUY	56	59¢	$33	0xd235c0…
06-24 03:17:08	will rigged be in the headlines this week 20260623154045040	No	BUY	56	59¢	$33	0x811fb6…
06-24 03:08:52	will the announcers say tempo during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947259	No	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0xdf8de7…
06-23 19:52:50	will trump say maha or make america healthy again during june 24 rally 20260616194255614	No	BUY	41	50¢	$20	0xae567c…
06-23 19:43:37	will vehicle car be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260619140930240	No	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0xaa28c0…
06-23 18:55:08	will starmer say ban during the next pmq	No	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0x9ab330…
06-23 17:51:25	will the announcers say handball during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729504	No	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xe0e9c5…
06-23 17:18:38	will starmer say mrpt speaker 30 times during the next pmq 20260610160650628	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x610b48…
06-23 14:01:19	will trump post china on truth social this week 20260622154014266	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xee89a1…
06-23 13:49:16	will trump say fake news during pennsylvania events 20260619211746765	No	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x55317a…
06-23 13:45:26	will trump say fake news during pennsylvania events 20260619211746765	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb53eae…
06-23 13:36:10	will trump say hottest during pennsylvania events 20260619211746764	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x244293…
06-23 13:33:11	will trump say hottest during pennsylvania events 20260619211746764	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x7937eb…
06-23 10:39:55	will music be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 22 20260618145747658	No	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x4dafaa…
06-23 07:30:07	will dude be said 20 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 22 20260618145747648	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xb68bb6…
06-22 18:32:13	msft close above 370 on june 22 2026	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xa1616f…
06-22 18:29:53	msft close above 370 on june 22 2026	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xccf564…
06-22 18:21:47	will the announcers say nutmeg meg during the france vs iraq fifa world cup match 20260619205900217	No	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0xe429ab…
06-22 18:21:16	will the announcers say golden boot during the france vs iraq fifa world cup match 20260619205900212	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xdedd82…
06-22 18:20:26	will the announcers say handball during the france vs iraq fifa world cup match 20260619205900201	No	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x08c34c…
06-22 18:17:32	will the announcers say what a save during the argentina vs austria fifa world cup match 20260619205628604	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x16b72a…
06-22 14:54:22	will ufc be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 22 20260618145747651	No	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0xa1a9cc…
06-22 14:52:47	will drug be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 22 20260618145747650	No	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0xdbd8ca…
06-22 12:10:05	will housing be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260619140930235	No	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xafcbfd…
06-22 11:57:52	will illegal be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 22 20260618145747662	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xd1330f…
06-22 11:41:23	will illegal be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 22 20260618145747662	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x9a30ad…
06-22 06:01:14	will india indian be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260619140930237	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x1cf474…
06-22 03:30:56	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x891081…
06-21 22:26:11	will trump say hottest during june 24 rally 20260616194255606	No	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x08872c…
06-21 19:16:04	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x3ae7c7…
06-21 18:57:08	will starmer say condolences during the next pmq 20260610160650647 729 941	Yes	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0xba3342…
06-21 17:55:50	will trump say hottest during june 24 rally 20260616194255606	No	SELL	17	24¢	$4	0x9d37e6…
06-21 15:28:23	will the announcers say handball during the spain vs saudi arabia fifa world cup match 20260618180505062	No	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x71f504…
06-21 15:22:22	will trump say gay in june	Yes	SELL	6	24¢	$2	0x4dbd08…
06-21 15:16:50	will vehicle car be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260619140930240	No	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0x75ce74…
06-21 15:14:58	will ufc be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 22 20260618145747651	No	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x9824f1…
06-21 08:51:41	will the announcers say messi during the spain vs saudi arabia fifa world cup match 20260618180505077	No	SELL	18	40¢	$7	0xb91ac0…
06-21 07:30:50	will trump post scam on truth social this week 20260612152704353	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0x0038ef…