Realized P&L
-$833
Unrealized P&L
-$65
Hit rate
58.2%
Resolved
568
Trades
2,695
lifetime
Volume
$20.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$356
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-24 22:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 120 days
Categories
Crypto
43% 56% +$465
Sports
29% 43% -$838
Politics
14% 54% -$218
Other
14% 49% -$243
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -170 -$95 81¢ $-138 -$42 08-01 13:02
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -60 -$56 98¢ $-59 -$2 06-20 08:29
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +410 $52 11¢ $45 -$7 08-10 07:09
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes -50 -$46 78¢ $-39 +$7 07-23 14:18
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +210 $39 12¢ $25 -$14 10-11 00:30
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -20 -$16 78¢ $-16 +$0 08-02 22:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -10 -$9 97¢ $-10 $0 07-01 15:45
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$10 97¢ $-10 $0 07-27 04:35
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 $13 8¢ $8 -$5 07-07 20:14
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No -7 -$6 95¢ $-7 -$1 06-20 11:51
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +10 $2 15¢ $1 -$1 07-08 21:01