Small-Bee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.3%

Resolved

596

Trades

1,391

lifetime

Volume

$194.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$140

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 10-29 00:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 144 days

Categories

Politics

77% 92% +$19,437

Other

22% 88% +$2,946

Tech

1% 100% +$99

Sports

1% 100% +$141

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$15.5K	18,102	18,102	+0	Yes	+$324	08-28 14:27
Will Trump say "Confucius" or "Confucian" during Chinese State Banquet?	39	$5.3K	3,342	3,342	+0	Yes	+$1,293	05-14 10:28
will trump say doordash or mcdonalds during no tax on tips roundtable	1	$3.8K	4,115	0	+4,115	Yes	+$345	04-17 00:09
will trump say supreme court during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556641	11	$3.7K	2,652	2,652	+0	Yes	+$1,550	07-28 18:30
will trump say worker during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556647	9	$3.2K	1,936	1,936	+0	Yes	+$661	07-28 18:42
will trump say make america great again this week march 29	2	$2.8K	1,584	1,584	+0	Yes	+$308	03-24 18:10
will trump say mit or massachusetts institute of technology during national agriculture day events	2	$2.8K	1,531	1,531	+0	Yes	+$271	03-27 16:59
will trump say six seven this week march 29	5	$2.3K	1,778	1,778	+0	Yes	+$197	03-27 18:01
will trump say death tax this week march 29	2	$2.3K	1,229	1,229	+0	Yes	+$121	03-27 16:49
will trump say bibi or netanyahu this week 20260719005322457	7	$2.2K	1,266	1,266	+0	Yes	+$329	07-25 02:23
will trump say waste this week march 1	3	$2.1K	1,178	1,178	-0	Yes	+$204	03-02 08:07
will trump say khamenei or khomeini this week april 5	3	$2.1K	1,344	1,344	-0	Yes	+$554	03-31 21:53
Will Powell say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during April press conference?	2	$2.1K	1,296	1,296	+0	Yes	+$481	04-29 18:35
will trump say epic fury this week march 15	3	$2.1K	1,113	1,113	+0	Yes	+$124	03-09 20:58
will trump say venezuela during monday news conference	2	$2.0K	1,107	1,107	+0	Yes	+$146	04-06 18:18
will trump say no no no during the 2026 state of the union address	2	$1.8K	1,146	1,146	+0	Yes	+$434	02-25 02:24
will trump say sister during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556639	7	$1.7K	940	940	+0	Yes	+$132	07-28 18:28
will trump say barack hussein obama this week march 1	5	$1.7K	977	977	-0	Yes	+$236	02-27 22:31
will trump say kamala or harris this week march 8	9	$1.6K	1,054	1,054	+0	Yes	+$498	03-07 15:43
Will Leavitt say "Epic Fury" during the next White House press briefing?	5	$1.5K	789	789	+0	Yes	+$47	04-08 17:26
will trump say iran during national agriculture day events	2	$1.5K	809	809	+0	Yes	+$149	03-27 16:48
will trump say obliterated or obliteration during the white house easter egg roll	2	$1.4K	886	886	+0	Yes	+$316	04-06 15:16
will trump say china in corpus christi on friday 795 482	2	$1.4K	749	749	+0	Yes	+$52	02-27 22:33
will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	2	$1.4K	721	721	+0	Yes	+$81	04-02 01:14
Will Trump say "Muscle" or "Muscular" this week?	3	$1.3K	780	780	+0	Yes	+$200	10-16 21:37
will trump say hottest during speech to the nation 20260713200621429	2	$1.3K	780	780	+0	Yes	+$211	07-17 01:02
will leavitt say fake news during the next white house press briefing 527	4	$1.3K	729	729	+0	Yes	+$192	03-04 18:32
will trump say toyota during michigan remarks 20260724162420362	2	$1.2K	687	687	+0	Yes	+$127	07-27 19:26
will trump say dow or sp during fox interview on wednesday	2	$1.2K	640	640	+0	Yes	+$58	04-15 10:07
will trump say moon or astronaut during tpusa events on april 17	2	$1.2K	717	707	+10	Yes	+$229	04-17 22:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 00:27:37	Will Trump say "Cleveland" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x503ac1…
10-29 00:27:37	Will Trump say "Cleveland" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	SELL	123	99¢	$122	0x1cacd8…
10-29 00:27:23	Will Trump say "Cleveland" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	132	72¢	$95	0xe5eca8…
10-29 00:06:37	Will Trump say "Liar" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0xf52804…
10-29 00:06:28	Will Trump say "Liar" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	60	74¢	$44	0xcfbcc1…
10-27 23:43:41	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb61691…
10-27 23:43:30	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xabb918…
10-27 22:26:24	Will Robinhood say "Weekend" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe8a562…
10-27 22:26:24	Will Robinhood say "Weekend" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0x7a2109…
10-27 22:26:24	Will Robinhood say "Weekend" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5450a1…
10-27 22:26:23	Will Robinhood say "Weekend" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x812be4…
10-27 22:26:23	Will Robinhood say "Weekend" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	156	99¢	$154	0x5ed1be…
10-27 22:26:23	Will Robinhood say "Weekend" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x41a838…
10-27 22:26:05	Will Robinhood say "Weekend" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	219	77¢	$168	0x9dd109…
10-27 21:37:33	Will Robinhood say "Regulation" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	240	99¢	$238	0x940f60…
10-27 21:36:45	Will Robinhood say "Regulation" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	240	76¢	$183	0x4d6d5a…
10-27 21:10:29	Will Robinhood say "Robinhood Chain" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xd7768b…
10-27 21:10:20	Will Robinhood say "Robinhood Chain" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	40	94¢	$37	0xa93d14…
10-23 18:52:08	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October?	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xfe0a8e…
10-23 18:52:08	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October?	Yes	SELL	326	99¢	$322	0x06d42c…
10-23 18:52:00	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October?	Yes	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xdf9be5…
10-23 18:52:00	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xcccb92…
10-23 18:52:00	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5dd0e7…
10-23 18:52:00	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	Yes	SELL	195	99¢	$193	0x4a7dfe…
10-23 18:51:59	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x86d31a…
10-23 18:51:56	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October?	Yes	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0x7376ea…
10-23 18:51:45	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	Yes	BUY	195	60¢	$118	0x7aef57…
10-23 18:51:45	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October?	Yes	BUY	537	62¢	$332	0x6c95cb…
10-21 23:40:05	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x591660…
10-21 23:39:59	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0xc3cc06…
10-21 23:39:29	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	110	85¢	$93	0x72736c…
10-21 18:53:08	Will Trump say "Discord" in October?	Yes	BUY	200	53¢	$105	0xbb90da…
10-20 18:08:42	Will Trump say "Pirate" this week?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x50daff…
10-20 18:08:41	Will Trump say "Pirate" this week?	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x67e41b…
10-20 18:08:41	Will Trump say "Pirate" this week?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x0b7a27…
10-20 18:08:39	Will Trump say "Pirate" this week?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfae055…
10-20 18:08:38	Will Trump say "Pirate" this week?	Yes	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0x20de96…
10-20 18:08:24	Will Trump say "Pirate" this week?	Yes	BUY	205	50¢	$103	0xc7d9e5…
10-20 01:20:41	Will Trump say "Regulation" or "Regulatory" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0x0f679e…
10-20 01:20:24	Will Trump say "Regulation" or "Regulatory" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	68	90¢	$61	0xa4c4cd…
10-20 00:57:42	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0xd0efb9…
10-20 00:57:32	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x09e461…
10-17 19:13:20	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?	Yes	SELL	164	99¢	$163	0x42ec68…
10-17 19:13:12	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3e49a3…
10-17 19:12:56	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?	Yes	BUY	167	85¢	$142	0x47c905…
10-16 21:37:20	Will Trump say "Muscle" or "Muscular" this week?	Yes	SELL	775	99¢	$767	0x7ee7fb…
10-16 21:37:17	Will Trump say "Muscle" or "Muscular" this week?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6e07f8…
10-16 21:37:03	Will Trump say "Muscle" or "Muscular" this week?	Yes	BUY	780	73¢	$572	0x7c3278…
10-15 02:11:34	will trump say suicide during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	SELL	180	99¢	$178	0x9f0ea3…
10-15 02:11:32	will trump say suicide during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x371b7d…
10-15 02:11:20	will trump say suicide during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xcedf13…
10-15 01:56:13	will trump say great falls during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0x0b41d7…
10-15 01:56:07	will trump say great falls during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xc12eb7…
10-15 01:56:05	will trump say great falls during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x43509c…
10-15 01:55:55	will trump say great falls during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	65	89¢	$58	0xf94707…
10-14 15:37:19	will zohran mamdani say grocery during next livestream 20261012	Yes	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x0b688b…
10-14 15:37:18	will zohran mamdani say grocery during next livestream 20261012	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x535999…
10-14 15:37:07	will zohran mamdani say grocery during next livestream 20261012	Yes	BUY	70	90¢	$62	0x7ebfd9…
10-14 15:33:27	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Family" during his next livestream?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x2330c6…
10-14 15:33:15	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Family" during his next livestream?	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xc93bdc…
10-14 15:10:30	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Economy" or "Economic" during his next livestream?	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x253337…
10-14 15:10:28	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Economy" or "Economic" during his next livestream?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x45ddd8…
10-14 15:10:27	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Economy" or "Economic" during his next livestream?	Yes	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0x3a0550…
10-14 15:10:16	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Economy" or "Economic" during his next livestream?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xdca113…
10-14 01:17:13	will trump say japan during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0316bd…
10-14 01:02:15	will trump say ice during his midterm rally in alaska	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x25d6ef…
10-14 01:01:06	Will Trump say "Newborn" in October?	Yes	SELL	59	99¢	$58	0xff10c0…
10-14 01:01:06	Will Trump say "Newborn" in October?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd9023c…
10-14 01:00:49	Will Trump say "Newborn" in October?	Yes	BUY	60	53¢	$32	0x7e0457…
10-14 00:53:52	will trump say ice during his midterm rally in alaska	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x4f61ab…
10-13 13:46:50	will zacharia say america first during the next white house press briefing 20261012	Yes	SELL	145	99¢	$143	0x091a57…
10-13 13:45:58	will zacharia say america first during the next white house press briefing 20261012	Yes	BUY	145	86¢	$124	0x7992be…
10-13 01:11:11	Will Trump say "BMW" in October?	Yes	SELL	78	99¢	$77	0xb6a3ea…
10-12 23:48:56	Will Trump say "BMW" in October?	Yes	BUY	78	89¢	$69	0x3feea1…
10-12 23:27:30	Will Trump say "Columbus" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	SELL	69	99¢	$69	0xe10be9…
10-12 23:27:17	Will Trump say "Columbus" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	69	85¢	$59	0x23571f…
10-10 20:34:04	Will Trump say "Alabama" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0xdeb3a9…
10-10 20:33:49	Will Trump say "Alabama" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	45	73¢	$33	0xa8d4ad…
10-09 16:04:26	Will Trump say "FedEx" in October?	Yes	SELL	181	99¢	$179	0xf64225…
10-09 16:04:11	Will Trump say "FedEx" in October?	Yes	BUY	181	82¢	$149	0x54854b…
10-07 22:04:52	Will Trump say "Uber" in October?	Yes	SELL	301	99¢	$298	0x782eed…
10-07 18:11:58	Will Trump say "NVIDIA" in October?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xb02717…
10-07 17:07:05	Will Trump say "NVIDIA" in October?	Yes	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x86886f…
10-07 17:07:04	Will Trump say "Uber" in October?	Yes	BUY	301	79¢	$238	0xf32ca6…
10-07 05:07:38	Will Mamdani say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during his announcement?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xaec626…
10-06 22:56:54	Will Mamdani say "School" during his announcement?	Yes	SELL	94	99¢	$93	0x64db43…
10-06 22:44:54	Will Mamdani say "School" during his announcement?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x68ab2e…
10-06 22:44:44	Will Mamdani say "School" during his announcement?	Yes	BUY	101	90¢	$91	0xdefcd2…
10-06 22:44:26	Will Mamdani say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during his announcement?	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x40d7fc…
10-06 22:42:02	Will Mamdani say "Family" during his announcement?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xcc3b01…
10-06 22:41:47	Will Mamdani say "Family" during his announcement?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xe4bad4…
10-06 22:41:47	Will Mamdani say "Family" during his announcement?	Yes	BUY	51	89¢	$45	0x106a63…
10-06 22:40:14	Will Mamdani say "Community" during his announcement?	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x9550f4…
10-06 22:38:02	Will Mamdani say "Community" during his announcement?	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x524fd5…
10-06 20:25:39	Will Trump say "Tomahawk" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0xceb233…
10-06 20:25:23	Will Trump say "Tomahawk" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	60	60¢	$36	0x0ca532…
10-06 20:23:26	Will Trump say "Drone" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0xaf3899…
10-06 20:23:14	Will Trump say "Drone" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	76	86¢	$65	0xd0c6f6…
10-06 20:04:33	Will Trump say "Merit" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	357	59¢	$212	0xe829b0…
10-05 23:42:10	Will Trump say "Maduro" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x0fe108…