Tight-Nourishment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.13K

Unrealized P&L

-$888

Hit rate

87.4%

Resolved

357

Trades

2,437

lifetime

Volume

$202.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$83

Open exposure

$1.16K

7 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 10-09 08:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Politics

66% 91% -$399

Other

24% 71% -$2,398

Crypto

9% 93% +$95

Sports

1% 44% -$445

Tech

0% 100% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-8,569	-$607	6¢	$-501	+$105	10-09 02:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-600	-$456	82¢	$-495	-$39	05-23 14:45
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	-458	-$62	20¢	$-92	-$30	10-09 07:13
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+806	$695	3¢	$25	-$670	10-09 05:11
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+575	$162	3¢	$18	-$144	09-20 07:42
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	-853	-$140	2¢	$-16	+$124	10-09 06:02
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+103	$247	12¢	$12	-$235	10-09 05:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	75	$18.5K	12,217	10,604	+1,613	No	+$43	05-22 07:18
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	26	$12.5K	6,900	6,400	+500	Yes	+$74	05-22 18:34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	99	$8.7K	4,508	4,508	+0	Yes	+$5	03-28 16:51
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	48	$7.5K	3,769	4,069	-300	No	+$143	04-14 02:28
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	19	$6.0K	3,500	3,500	+0	No	+$248	04-15 19:52
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	76	$5.6K	9,800	6,777	+3,023	Yes	-$768	04-03 21:02
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	55	$4.9K	3,278	2,219	+1,059	No	+$107	04-15 23:04
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	45	$3.9K	2,364	1,877	+487	Yes	+$56	04-11 03:23
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	38	$3.5K	5,344	2,654	+2,690	Yes	-$654	04-04 22:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	9	$2.9K	1,668	1,668	+0	Yes	+$328	04-08 01:29
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	10	$2.8K	1,800	1,267	+533	No	+$69	04-17 09:25
cbb ill iowa 2026 03 28	7	$2.6K	5,000	5,000	+0	Illinois Fighting Illini	-$50	03-28 16:36
will trump say third term in march	12	$2.5K	1,555	1,150	+405	No	+$191	04-01 19:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	11	$2.1K	1,400	800	+600	No	+$51	05-26 19:45
will trump say eat our lunch this week march 29	27	$2.1K	1,467	658	+809	No	+$12	03-30 06:43
will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	30	$2.1K	1,504	1,036	+468	No	+$18	04-14 17:30
will trump say china 5 times during national agriculture day events	8	$2.1K	2,065	1	+2,063	No	+$7	03-27 23:01
will trump say finish the job this week march 29	18	$2.0K	1,972	49	+1,923	No	+$11	03-30 09:29
will trump say chuck norris this week march 29	24	$2.0K	2,559	202	+2,357	No	+$8	03-30 07:21
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	43	$1.9K	1,469	1,283	+187	No	+$337	04-01 07:25
will trump say paid a big price or paying a big price this week march 29	38	$1.8K	1,753	136	+1,617	No	+$51	03-30 07:51
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	15	$1.8K	900	900	+0	No	+$15	04-11 17:57
will trump say khamenei this week march 29	7	$1.7K	1,129	621	+508	No	+$16	03-30 04:56
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	108	$1.7K	43,503	0	+43,503	No	-$1,720	10-09 08:27
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during national agriculture day events	8	$1.6K	1,076	575	+501	No	+$4	03-27 17:46
will the dhs shutdown last 52 days or more 416	26	$1.6K	854	853	+0	Yes	+$59	04-04 20:25
will trump say price 15 times during national agriculture day events	15	$1.6K	800	799	+1	No	+$15	03-27 20:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$72	05-29 04:55
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	24	$1.5K	1,037	1,037	+0	open	—	10-09 01:31
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	19	$1.5K	779	789	-10	No	-$23	04-11 23:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 08:27:43	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x4452cf…
10-09 07:28:19	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	3¢	$3	0x36a1d8…
10-09 07:20:12	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x69022d…
10-09 07:16:16	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xb90289…
10-09 07:14:10	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$7	0x35d30d…
10-09 07:13:13	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	167	13¢	$22	0xd0ff19…
10-09 07:13:09	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0xe49825…
10-09 07:11:52	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$11	0x3ad481…
10-09 07:11:33	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$11	0x925ced…
10-09 07:11:22	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	288	4¢	$11	0xa8ef91…
10-09 07:10:31	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0xa8f033…
10-09 06:10:41	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	270	5¢	$13	0xbf4e56…
10-09 06:07:43	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0xc96863…
10-09 06:02:01	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	SELL	453	4¢	$18	0x45d3a0…
10-09 06:00:08	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0x481b44…
10-09 05:57:28	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x2bff92…
10-09 05:54:10	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0x21cf80…
10-09 05:53:47	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	280	6¢	$16	0xbcd8c3…
10-09 05:36:02	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	251	6¢	$15	0x01c238…
10-09 05:29:09	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x320f21…
10-09 05:20:18	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	6¢	$18	0xe880d2…
10-09 05:20:14	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	477	6¢	$28	0x73ffeb…
10-09 05:18:11	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	6¢	$18	0xed9230…
10-09 05:11:41	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,178	4¢	$94	0x70467b…
10-09 05:11:35	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	5¢	$3	0x3ad452…
10-09 05:11:17	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	26¢	$22	0xcdd113…
10-09 03:26:57	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	5¢	$13	0x3ee631…
10-09 03:12:08	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	26¢	$31	0xf234cd…
10-09 03:10:57	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,551	6¢	$91	0xe99370…
10-09 03:08:36	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	5¢	$12	0xb62807…
10-09 03:05:45	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	5¢	$12	0xc216a8…
10-09 03:05:36	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	322	26¢	$84	0xfe3f25…
10-09 03:05:35	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x88c6ff…
10-09 03:05:09	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	6¢	$15	0x16ad0f…
10-09 03:04:44	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	510	6¢	$33	0x0573c4…
10-09 03:03:14	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,500	11¢	$165	0x965b50…
10-09 02:59:00	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	203	5¢	$11	0x9321d8…
10-09 02:57:53	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,656	7¢	$111	0x4d2753…
10-09 02:57:03	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2,521	7¢	$166	0x70f839…
10-09 02:53:35	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x9796be…
10-09 02:53:30	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	242	7¢	$17	0x3d2f27…
10-09 02:47:24	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x381e60…
10-09 02:47:17	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$9	0x2bf774…
10-09 02:44:14	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	742	7¢	$50	0x737dff…
10-09 02:44:05	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	217	7¢	$15	0x39a72d…
10-09 02:43:14	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	248	4¢	$10	0xa4aabc…
10-09 02:43:11	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	248	4¢	$11	0xaa42a7…
10-09 02:43:05	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x761e58…
10-09 02:43:02	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$11	0x5a03dc…
10-09 02:42:24	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	241	6¢	$14	0x73b9ce…
10-09 02:41:44	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0xec7186…
10-09 02:41:44	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	6¢	$8	0x39b8e9…
10-09 02:41:44	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	6¢	$3	0x040b83…
10-09 02:41:17	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0xb92ff1…
10-09 02:41:06	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	249	7¢	$17	0xdd57c0…
10-09 02:40:26	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	240	7¢	$16	0x0dda24…
10-09 02:40:14	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	7¢	$13	0x56a172…
10-09 02:39:48	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$3	0x684351…
10-09 02:39:33	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0xa838e2…
10-09 02:25:39	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x4568ee…
10-09 02:25:32	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xad3a30…
10-09 02:24:14	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x5935b7…
10-09 02:19:33	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	6¢	$15	0x6ef0d9…
10-09 02:13:36	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,709	4¢	$75	0xaad495…
10-09 02:13:30	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$11	0x0f51bf…
10-09 02:11:11	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0xe42da6…
10-09 02:11:00	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	6¢	$9	0x366398…
10-09 02:03:41	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	5¢	$7	0x932dbc…
10-09 01:59:51	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	5¢	$12	0xc9d795…
10-09 01:57:17	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$24	0xe928bc…
10-09 01:55:38	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$24	0x3102c5…
10-09 01:53:30	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$24	0x37a6fd…
10-09 01:52:44	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$24	0x63a892…
10-09 01:51:21	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	5¢	$34	0xe75903…
10-09 01:46:39	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,457	4¢	$174	0x99be68…
10-09 01:44:59	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xc36d8c…
10-09 01:44:38	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	207	4¢	$8	0x811671…
10-09 01:41:06	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x1cf919…
10-09 01:37:18	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	4¢	$2	0x31e354…
10-09 01:33:18	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	2¢	$3	0x7440e2…
10-09 01:31:17	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,037	80¢	$829	0x7b0ecd…
10-09 01:30:20	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,656	3¢	$48	0xf4ab7c…
10-09 01:27:50	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,871	2¢	$134	0xda8853…
10-09 01:27:35	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	374	26¢	$97	0x421ccc…
10-09 01:27:09	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	276	14¢	$38	0x152973…
10-09 01:25:59	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,161	1¢	$30	0x11f8fd…
10-09 01:25:51	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,598	1¢	$37	0x6a9f6f…
10-09 01:25:27	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,078	7¢	$77	0xc19c85…
10-09 01:25:14	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,954	6¢	$108	0x80cd10…
09-20 07:42:38	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	375	7¢	$28	0x2e81e1…
08-30 23:34:39	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x4c4293…
08-30 07:31:39	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x758ff5…
08-30 01:44:21	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	18	79¢	$14	0x389d86…
08-30 01:40:37	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xe5e59a…
08-30 01:37:25	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x3e5798…
08-30 01:34:54	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	18	79¢	$15	0x27ea7f…
08-30 01:31:09	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	18	79¢	$14	0xf09278…
08-29 06:39:39	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x332b07…
08-29 06:35:57	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	18	79¢	$14	0x358883…
08-29 06:30:43	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	16	79¢	$13	0x832dd4…