Polite-Developing 0x0b54ca…6676ea
bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.80K
Unrealized P&L
+$32
Hit rate
33.0%
Resolved
1,887
Trades
13,595
lifetime
Volume
$55.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$14
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-17
last 05-26 02:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Other
70% 40% -$1,966
Politics
13% 47% -$117
Sports
8% 46% +$551
Crypto
6% 43% -$97
Tech
2% 40% -$163
Pop-Culture
0% 46% -$7
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-26).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +4 $3 93¢ $4 +$1 05-18 20:39
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2 $1 86¢ $2 +$0 05-19 08:49
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +2 $1 78¢ $2 +$1 05-19 07:07
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 24¢ $1 +$0 05-19 08:02
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $0 05-21 10:10
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +4 $2 22¢ $1 -$1 05-19 07:12
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? No +1 -$21 79¢ $1 +$22 05-26 02:19
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +4 $1 16¢ $1 $0 05-19 07:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 $0 05-24 10:30
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1 $0 26¢ $0 +$0 05-19 09:15
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 05-19 06:54
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No +0 -$3 97¢ $0 +$3 05-26 02:19
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes +4 $1 4¢ $0 $0 05-23 12:24
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? Yes +1 $0 10¢ $0 $0 05-25 06:55
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +1 $0 18¢ $0 $0 05-22 22:43
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? Yes +0 $0 24¢ $0 $0 05-26 02:18
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +1 $0 14¢ $0 $0 05-19 09:43
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +2 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 05-19 00:28
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +1 $0 7¢ $0 +$0 05-20 11:03
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +1 $4 8¢ $0 -$4 05-25 09:39
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +0 $0 46¢ $0 +$0 05-19 10:22
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +1 -$3 6¢ $0 +$3 05-25 10:55
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $0 3¢ $0 $0 05-19 00:35
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +4 $0 1¢ $0 $0 05-18 20:41
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +0 $0 7¢ $0 +$0 05-26 02:17
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes +1 $0 3¢ $0 $0 05-24 07:45
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$3 4¢ $0 +$3 05-23 09:30
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +0 -$6 18¢ $0 +$6 05-23 20:50
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? Yes +0 $0 3¢ $0 $0 05-26 02:17
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$1 16¢ $0 +$1 05-24 16:36