Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
open
Total volume
$1,609
Trades
44
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$528
Latest YES mid
99¢
Latest NO mid
1¢
End date
2026-02-28
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-13 06:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-77.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $125
vs crowd: 77% YES on $1.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $55 | $153 | $98 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $318 | $2 | +$315 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | — | $51 | $51 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $399 | $24 | +$375 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $125 | $125 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $114 | $28 | +$86 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $45 | $3 | +$42 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $17 | $17 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $36 | $36 |
| unranked | 8 | $612 | $22 | +$590 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xcadc…54ca | Yes | +939 | $394 | $394 | 2 | 06-09 19:45 |
| Somber-Ice 0x2b67…b814 | Yes | +495 | $213 | $213 | 2 | 06-12 17:42 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +140 | $55 | $55 | 2 | 05-31 15:19 |
| Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | +140 | $85 | $85 | 2 | 05-31 15:19 |
| Golden-Unemployment 0x7365…64da | Yes | +79 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 06-12 17:52 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-13 06:34 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +50 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-12 17:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c47…37e8 | No | +48 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-12 17:52 |
| Purple-Fruit 0x97ea…3363 | No | +47 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-06 12:38 |
| Full-Upstairs 0x1cff…6cff | Yes | +45 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 06-13 06:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | +23 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-12 22:46 |
| Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | +22 | $13 | $56 | 3 | 06-09 19:45 |
| Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | +7 | $2 | $28 | 5 | 06-12 20:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 16:12 |
| Spiteful-Rehospitalization 0x0b2e…ca20 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-13 06:12 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $3 | 2 | 06-08 16:12 |
| Upset-Attempt 0xf2dd…82d3 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 05-31 15:20 |
| Thunderous-Casserole 0x3860…7877 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-31 15:20 |
| That-Icy 0x6494…eb4e | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 17:52 |
| Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-12 17:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 06:34:18 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | BUY | 45 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9d161f… |
| 06-13 06:34:18 | Full-Upstairs 0x1cff…6cff | Yes | BUY | 45 | 100¢ | $45 | 0x9d161f… |
| 06-13 06:12:04 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x835b73… |
| 06-13 06:12:04 | Spiteful-Rehospitalization 0x0b2e…ca20 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x835b73… |
| 06-12 22:46:45 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | SELL | 23 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x092928… |
| 06-12 22:46:45 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x092928… |
| 06-12 20:31:07 | Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | BUY | 7 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x317bca… |
| 06-12 20:31:07 | Yummy-Heartache 0xbff7…554f | No | SELL | 7 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x317bca… |
| 06-12 17:52:09 | That-Icy 0x6494…eb4e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 74¢ | $1 | 0x49fdec… |
| 06-12 17:52:09 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | BUY | 1 | 26¢ | $0 | 0x49fdec… |
| 06-12 17:52:06 | (anonymous) 0x0c47…37e8 | No | BUY | 48 | 31¢ | $15 | 0x97968d… |
| 06-12 17:52:06 | Golden-Unemployment 0x7365…64da | Yes | BUY | 79 | 69¢ | $55 | 0x97968d… |
| 06-12 17:52:06 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | BUY | 23 | 30¢ | $7 | 0x97968d… |
| 06-12 17:52:06 | Yummy-Heartache 0xbff7…554f | No | BUY | 7 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x97968d… |
| 06-12 17:42:24 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 50 | 56¢ | $28 | 0x96385d… |
| 06-12 17:42:24 | Somber-Ice 0x2b67…b814 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 44¢ | $22 | 0x96385d… |
| 06-12 17:42:19 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | Yes | SELL | 445 | 43¢ | $191 | 0xc0309f… |
| 06-12 17:42:19 | Somber-Ice 0x2b67…b814 | Yes | BUY | 445 | 43¢ | $191 | 0xc0309f… |
| 06-11 17:47:13 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x4b7b12… |
| 06-11 17:47:13 | Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | SELL | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x4b7b12… |
| 06-09 19:45:27 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | BUY | 22 | 77¢ | $17 | 0x904ab7… |
| 06-09 19:45:27 | (anonymous) 0xcadc…54ca | Yes | BUY | 36 | 28¢ | $10 | 0x904ab7… |
| 06-09 19:45:27 | Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x904ab7… |
| 06-09 19:45:27 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 43¢ | $4 | 0x904ab7… |
| 06-08 16:12:24 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xa24782… |
| 06-08 16:12:24 | (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xa24782… |
| 06-06 12:38:28 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | SELL | 25 | 84¢ | $21 | 0xda29da… |
| 06-06 12:38:28 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xda29da… |
| 06-06 12:38:28 | Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | SELL | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0xda29da… |
| 06-06 12:38:28 | Purple-Fruit 0x97ea…3363 | No | BUY | 47 | 84¢ | $40 | 0xda29da… |
| 06-06 09:46:16 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | Yes | SELL | 866 | 43¢ | $372 | 0x908d2d… |
| 06-06 09:46:16 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | BUY | 25 | 70¢ | $18 | 0x908d2d… |
| 06-06 09:46:16 | (anonymous) 0xcadc…54ca | Yes | BUY | 903 | 42¢ | $384 | 0x908d2d… |
| 06-06 09:46:16 | Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | BUY | 12 | 70¢ | $8 | 0x908d2d… |
| 05-31 15:20:54 | Thunderous-Casserole 0x3860…7877 | No | BUY | 1 | 62¢ | $1 | 0x30cf9b… |
| 05-31 15:20:54 | Upset-Attempt 0xf2dd…82d3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x30cf9b… |
| 05-31 15:20:02 | Upset-Attempt 0xf2dd…82d3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 38¢ | $1 | 0xaf91c1… |
| 05-31 15:20:02 | Thunderous-Casserole 0x3860…7877 | No | BUY | 1 | 62¢ | $1 | 0xaf91c1… |
| 05-31 15:19:37 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | BUY | 70 | 61¢ | $43 | 0x5dd7ac… |
| 05-31 15:19:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 39¢ | $27 | 0x5dd7ac… |
| 05-31 15:19:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 39¢ | $27 | 0xfa9adc… |
| 05-31 15:19:28 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | BUY | 70 | 61¢ | $43 | 0xfa9adc… |
| 05-29 16:50:05 | Upset-Attempt 0xf2dd…82d3 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 38¢ | $0 | 0x791997… |
| 05-29 16:50:05 | Trusty-Close 0x04db…f0fd | Yes | SELL | 0 | 38¢ | $0 | 0x791997… |