Realized P&L
+$61
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
71.4%
Resolved
269
Trades
30,199
lifetime
Volume
$101.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$9
6 positions
First seen
2026-02-18
last 06-09 18:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
72% 55% +$34
Sports
15% 57% +$8
Politics
11% 60% +$8
Crypto
2% 65% +$11
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 534 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 05-29 15:23
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +2 $3 72¢ $2 $-1 05-31 17:46
Aligned FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +7 $3 14¢ $1 $-2 06-08 09:45
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? Yes +1 $1 57¢ $0 $-0 06-08 08:02
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes -1 $1 29¢ $-0 $-2 06-01 13:27
Will Esther Kim Varet advance from the CA-40 primary election? Yes +8 $3 $0 $-3 06-02 20:02