Realized P&L
+$61
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
71.4%
Resolved
269
Trades
33,721
lifetime
Volume
$114.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$14
6 positions
First seen
2026-02-18
last 06-29 23:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
73% 55% +$34
Sports
14% 57% +$8
Politics
11% 60% +$8
Crypto
2% 65% +$11
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 534 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 05-29 15:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +4 $2 100¢ $4 +$2 06-19 21:00
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +2 $3 84¢ $2 $-1 05-31 17:46
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? Yes +9 $4 16¢ $1 $-3 06-27 13:23
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes -1 $1 20¢ $-0 $-1 06-01 13:27
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +0 $-0 48¢ $0 +$0 06-16 09:37