Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
open
Total volume
$34,339
$3,154 in 24h
Trades
683
Unique wallets
161
Liquidity
$16,738
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2025-10-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-13 18:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.6¢
(top1%: 4% YES on $5.9K
vs crowd: 9% YES on $19.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 18 | $436 | $3.5K | $3.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 28 | $406 | $8.0K | $7.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 44 | $452 | $4.2K | $3.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 71 | $379 | $1.9K | $1.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $242 | $5.7K | $5.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 17 | $335 | $1.1K | $804 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $27 | $365 | $337 |
| Median | 19 | $48 | $427 | $379 |
| Below median | 26 | $270 | $19 | +$251 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $69 | $22 | +$47 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 19 | $104 | $2.4K | $2.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $153 | $852 | $699 |
| unranked | 53 | $424 | $6.7K | $6.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smoggy-Sunglasses 0xb4f2…e5fa | No | +5,858 | $4,913 | $4,913 | 3 | 05-29 09:24 |
| Profitable-Map 0xd27d…fa96 | Yes | +3,157 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 06-04 01:12 |
| Vapid-Misrepresentation 0x4727…5aa5 | No | +2,163 | $1,900 | $1,900 | 1 | 06-01 09:19 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +1,966 | $59 | $59 | 13 | 06-08 11:20 |
| Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e1…27af | No | +1,915 | $1,800 | $1,800 | 6 | 06-03 07:39 |
| True-Parallelogram 0xe54b…aa14 | No | +1,165 | $1,055 | $1,080 | 5 | 06-13 15:43 |
| Shady-Dog 0x7a90…2ff9 | Yes | +889 | $75 | $75 | 18 | 06-08 11:20 |
| Unwelcome-Accident 0xac8f…fedd | Yes | +699 | $27 | $27 | 8 | 06-13 17:24 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +661 | $623 | $773 | 10 | 06-11 00:52 |
| Mature-Fly 0x43ca…d04c | Yes | +616 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-31 19:07 |
| Composed-Embellishment 0xa4bc…026c | No | +567 | $474 | $474 | 5 | 05-31 19:33 |
| Raw-Steam 0x588c…1bf4 | No | +500 | $395 | $395 | 1 | 05-28 19:55 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +494 | $-8 | $257 | 41 | 06-12 15:46 |
| Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | +350 | $324 | $324 | 2 | 06-08 04:13 |
| Fantastic-Refrigerator 0xea41…1c98 | No | +315 | $304 | $304 | 2 | 06-10 12:41 |
| Lost-Crest 0x22d6…f8b3 | Yes | +300 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-01 09:19 |
| Wry-Meatloaf 0xbb9f…557b | Yes | +299 | $54 | $54 | 2 | 05-28 09:27 |
| Different-Phosphate 0x0943…24b0 | Yes | +227 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 06-01 10:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x0bb7…8bba | No | +183 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-30 18:05 |
| Unruly-Variant 0x8103…4d0a | Yes | +176 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-30 08:27 |
| High-Alarm 0x9238…b73e | No | +150 | $92 | $435 | 12 | 06-03 19:59 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | +133 | $20 | $20 | 6 | 06-01 11:40 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | +130 | $101 | $101 | 11 | 05-30 17:44 |
| Crazy-Clan 0x5c69…51ca | Yes | +130 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-01 11:11 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +127 | $14 | $41 | 20 | 06-01 11:40 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | +126 | $106 | $106 | 9 | 06-13 17:24 |
| Deadly-Halibut 0x91c9…d319 | No | +109 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 06-08 11:16 |
| Striped-Camera 0xcce8…4197 | No | +106 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-04 16:50 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +102 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 06-08 11:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x367e…b15e | Yes | +100 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-03 19:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xea4c…9200 | No | +100 | $83 | $83 | 1 | 05-30 17:43 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +85 | $67 | $67 | 3 | 05-30 17:55 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | +82 | $12 | $12 | 7 | 06-12 19:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f86…0412 | Yes | +74 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-29 14:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xe437…5693 | Yes | +69 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-27 21:05 |
| Wry-Meatloaf 0xbb9f…557b | No | +63 | $86 | $885 | 18 | 06-10 07:42 |
| Firsthand-Macrofauna 0xa4ff…4c16 | Yes | +62 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-04 19:04 |
| Small-Bangle 0xf1cb…ccfe | Yes | +59 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-30 10:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +55 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-28 09:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xf534…bdf0 | No | +55 | $54 | $54 | 2 | 06-09 14:05 |
| Modern-Malice 0x9bae…5d34 | Yes | +50 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-08 05:47 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +49 | $41 | $41 | 5 | 06-08 05:47 |
| Faraway-Strategy 0x0934…f376 | Yes | +49 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-01 23:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xb62c…d9af | No | +43 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-11 20:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x9fc3…1f1f | Yes | +43 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-11 00:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +40 | $34 | $34 | 5 | 06-03 19:55 |
| Favorable-Minorleague 0xc3e5…015d | No | +31 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-10 18:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +31 | $4 | $4 | 5 | 06-12 22:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xf11a…9d5c | Yes | +27 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-06 15:16 |
| Apprehensive-Temporary 0x1317…7681 | No | +26 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-07 00:25 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +24 | $17 | $661 | 34 | 06-13 17:24 |
| Gregarious-Spandex 0xe1f4…8505 | Yes | +24 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-28 06:30 |
| Dishonest-Elephant 0x7f85…2351 | Yes | +21 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-28 05:54 |
| Jolly-Epauliere 0x86f9…03c0 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-29 07:13 |
| Intent-Attitude 0xc97f…b64e | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-07 05:32 |
| Sorrowful-Parchment 0x674f…6888 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-02 07:16 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 22:50 |
| Cloudy-Essence 0x7cd1…3f9a | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-03 09:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 18:39:00 | Villainous-Bead 0xbb31…0b4f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x0b52cc… |
| 06-13 18:39:00 | (anonymous) 0x14af…0b97 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x0b52cc… |
| 06-13 17:24:10 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 22 | 94¢ | $21 | 0x3fcb0d… |
| 06-13 17:24:10 | Imaginary-Skullcap 0x46e7…f51e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x3fcb0d… |
| 06-13 17:24:10 | Unwelcome-Accident 0xac8f…fedd | Yes | BUY | 85 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x3fcb0d… |
| 06-13 17:24:10 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x3fcb0d… |
| 06-13 17:24:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 45 | 94¢ | $42 | 0x3fcb0d… |
| 06-13 15:43:04 | (anonymous) 0x14af…0b97 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x7cbe04… |
| 06-13 15:43:04 | True-Parallelogram 0xe54b…aa14 | No | SELL | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x7cbe04… |
| 06-13 15:43:04 | Imaginary-Skullcap 0x46e7…f51e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7cbe04… |
| 06-12 22:54:25 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe2341c… |
| 06-12 22:54:25 | Unwelcome-Accident 0xac8f…fedd | Yes | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe2341c… |
| 06-12 19:48:55 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x1928fe… |
| 06-12 19:48:55 | Dull-Smith 0x30db…33c0 | Yes | SELL | 500 | 3¢ | $15 | 0x1928fe… |
| 06-12 19:48:55 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x1928fe… |
| 06-12 19:48:55 | Imaginary-Skullcap 0x46e7…f51e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1928fe… |
| 06-12 19:48:55 | Unwelcome-Accident 0xac8f…fedd | Yes | BUY | 139 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x1928fe… |
| 06-12 19:48:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 43 | 96¢ | $41 | 0x1928fe… |
| 06-12 15:46:40 | (anonymous) 0xde89…5231 | No | SELL | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x5785b7… |
| 06-12 15:46:40 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x5785b7… |
| 06-12 15:46:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x5785b7… |
| 06-12 11:20:54 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x0361ea… |
| 06-12 11:20:54 | (anonymous) 0x6db4…a28d | Yes | SELL | 37 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0361ea… |
| 06-12 11:20:54 | Unwelcome-Accident 0xac8f…fedd | Yes | BUY | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0361ea… |
| 06-12 07:24:31 | (anonymous) 0xcdd5…7122 | No | SELL | 321 | 93¢ | $299 | 0xa520f6… |
| 06-12 07:24:31 | (anonymous) 0xbc1c…087c | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xa520f6… |
| 06-12 07:24:31 | (anonymous) 0x6105…dfcf | No | SELL | 315 | 93¢ | $294 | 0xa520f6… |
| 06-12 07:24:31 | (anonymous) 0x32c5…0763 | Yes | SELL | 656 | 7¢ | $45 | 0xa520f6… |
| 06-12 07:24:28 | (anonymous) 0xbc1c…087c | No | SELL | 321 | 93¢ | $299 | 0x0e33aa… |
| 06-12 07:24:28 | (anonymous) 0x4b4d…23bd | No | SELL | 335 | 93¢ | $312 | 0x0e33aa… |
| 06-12 07:24:28 | (anonymous) 0x89df…5c8b | Yes | SELL | 656 | 7¢ | $45 | 0x0e33aa… |
| 06-12 06:00:52 | (anonymous) 0x6105…dfcf | No | BUY | 315 | 93¢ | $294 | 0xf71859… |
| 06-12 06:00:52 | (anonymous) 0x32c5…0763 | Yes | BUY | 315 | 7¢ | $21 | 0xf71859… |
| 06-12 06:00:42 | (anonymous) 0xbc1c…087c | No | BUY | 341 | 93¢ | $318 | 0x38afd7… |
| 06-12 06:00:42 | (anonymous) 0x32c5…0763 | Yes | BUY | 341 | 7¢ | $23 | 0x38afd7… |
| 06-12 05:59:15 | (anonymous) 0x4b4d…23bd | No | BUY | 300 | 94¢ | $282 | 0x76292b… |
| 06-12 05:59:15 | (anonymous) 0xcdd5…7122 | No | BUY | 321 | 94¢ | $302 | 0x76292b… |
| 06-12 05:59:15 | (anonymous) 0x89df…5c8b | Yes | BUY | 656 | 6¢ | $39 | 0x76292b… |
| 06-12 05:56:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x7a0e32… |
| 06-12 05:56:45 | (anonymous) 0x6db4…a28d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x7a0e32… |
| 06-12 05:56:43 | (anonymous) 0x6db4…a28d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x2e9fcb… |
| 06-12 05:56:43 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x2e9fcb… |
| 06-11 20:48:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 15 | 92¢ | $14 | 0x0c86d3… |
| 06-11 20:48:10 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x0c86d3… |
| 06-11 20:48:10 | (anonymous) 0xb62c…d9af | No | BUY | 43 | 92¢ | $40 | 0x0c86d3… |
| 06-11 20:48:10 | Unwelcome-Accident 0xac8f…fedd | Yes | BUY | 104 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x0c86d3… |
| 06-11 19:58:10 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 204 | 8¢ | $16 | 0x882d30… |
| 06-11 19:58:10 | Outrageous-Afterlife 0x79a8…bb66 | No | SELL | 235 | 92¢ | $218 | 0x882d30… |
| 06-11 19:58:10 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x882d30… |
| 06-11 19:58:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x882d30… |
| 06-11 17:36:40 | (anonymous) 0x6db4…a28d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x4338ed… |
| 06-11 17:36:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x4338ed… |
| 06-11 00:52:15 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x448a59… |
| 06-11 00:52:15 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | BUY | 7 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x448a59… |
| 06-11 00:52:15 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x448a59… |
| 06-11 00:52:15 | (anonymous) 0x9fc3…1f1f | Yes | BUY | 43 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x448a59… |
| 06-10 18:00:46 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x54a4cd… |
| 06-10 18:00:46 | Outrageous-Afterlife 0x79a8…bb66 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x54a4cd… |
| 06-10 18:00:46 | Favorable-Minorleague 0xc3e5…015d | No | BUY | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0x54a4cd… |
| 06-10 18:00:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x54a4cd… |
| 06-10 12:41:54 | Fantastic-Refrigerator 0xea41…1c98 | No | BUY | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0x5b8ebc… |
| 06-10 12:41:54 | Outrageous-Afterlife 0x79a8…bb66 | No | SELL | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0x5b8ebc… |
| 06-10 12:27:33 | Awful-Muscat 0xbf9e…9dcc | No | SELL | 123 | 92¢ | $114 | 0x3a573d… |
| 06-10 12:27:33 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 123 | 8¢ | $9 | 0x3a573d… |
| 06-10 11:53:22 | Outrageous-Afterlife 0x79a8…bb66 | No | SELL | 34 | 94¢ | $32 | 0x10c269… |
| 06-10 11:53:22 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x10c269… |
| 06-10 11:51:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 40 | 94¢ | $38 | 0x2e7c7d… |
| 06-10 11:51:52 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x2e7c7d… |
| 06-10 11:51:52 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x2e7c7d… |
| 06-10 11:51:52 | Outrageous-Afterlife 0x79a8…bb66 | No | SELL | 150 | 94¢ | $141 | 0x2e7c7d… |
| 06-10 10:21:43 | Fantastic-Refrigerator 0xea41…1c98 | No | BUY | 300 | 96¢ | $290 | 0xf7c7ed… |
| 06-10 10:21:43 | Dull-Smith 0x30db…33c0 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 4¢ | $11 | 0xf7c7ed… |
| 06-10 07:42:40 | Acidic-Angora 0x7253…9190 | No | SELL | 47 | 96¢ | $45 | 0x324936… |
| 06-10 07:42:40 | Wry-Meatloaf 0xbb9f…557b | No | SELL | 45 | 96¢ | $43 | 0x324936… |
| 06-10 07:42:40 | Watchful-Softening 0x38f2…8690 | Yes | SELL | 92 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x324936… |
| 06-10 05:32:15 | Dull-Smith 0x30db…33c0 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 4¢ | $9 | 0x953ad7… |
| 06-10 05:32:15 | Flippant-Hacienda 0xf030…27bf | Yes | SELL | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x953ad7… |
| 06-10 05:32:15 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 84 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x953ad7… |
| 06-09 14:05:30 | Unwelcome-Accident 0xac8f…fedd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfbafe7… |
| 06-09 14:05:30 | (anonymous) 0xf534…bdf0 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xfbafe7… |
| 06-09 14:05:16 | Unwelcome-Accident 0xac8f…fedd | Yes | BUY | 68 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3e4a72… |
| 06-09 14:05:16 | (anonymous) 0xf534…bdf0 | No | BUY | 54 | 99¢ | $54 | 0x3e4a72… |
| 06-09 14:05:16 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3e4a72… |
| 06-09 13:53:55 | (anonymous) 0x6db4…a28d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcc3953… |
| 06-09 13:53:55 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcc3953… |
| 06-09 13:53:36 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x080c91… |
| 06-09 13:53:36 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x080c91… |
| 06-09 08:29:30 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc113fb… |
| 06-09 08:29:30 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xc113fb… |
| 06-08 11:20:42 | Informal-Respite 0x3344…cabc | Yes | SELL | 1,316 | 4¢ | $49 | 0x6d20bb… |
| 06-08 11:20:42 | Wilted-Bump 0xe472…e7eb | No | SELL | 450 | 95¢ | $428 | 0x6d20bb… |
| 06-08 11:20:42 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x6d20bb… |
| 06-08 11:20:42 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | BUY | 222 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x6d20bb… |
| 06-08 11:20:42 | Wry-Meatloaf 0xbb9f…557b | No | SELL | 135 | 95¢ | $128 | 0x6d20bb… |
| 06-08 11:20:42 | Shady-Dog 0x7a90…2ff9 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6d20bb… |
| 06-08 11:20:42 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x6d20bb… |
| 06-08 11:16:21 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $9 | 0xae7c8c… |
| 06-08 11:16:21 | Shady-Dog 0x7a90…2ff9 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xae7c8c… |
| 06-08 11:16:21 | Deadly-Halibut 0x91c9…d319 | No | BUY | 53 | 95¢ | $50 | 0xae7c8c… |
| 06-08 11:16:21 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 26 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xae7c8c… |