Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
open
Total volume
$87,800
$3,154 in 24h
Trades
1,344
Unique wallets
378
Liquidity
$16,738
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2025-10-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-03 06:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.3¢
(top1%: 5% YES on $6.0K
vs crowd: 6% YES on $46.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 26 | $475 | $5.7K | $5.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 41 | $422 | $9.9K | $9.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 67 | $558 | $5.0K | $4.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 244 | $1.2K | $23.0K | $21.7K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $270 | $5.7K | $5.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 21 | $359 | $2.1K | $1.8K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 12 | $59 | $3.6K | $3.5K |
| Median | 81 | $82 | $2.7K | $2.7K |
| Below median | 41 | $302 | $1.2K | $899 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 9 | $39 | $22 | +$18 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 22 | $125 | $3.1K | $3.0K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 12 | $153 | $1.1K | $966 |
| unranked | 173 | $1.3K | $24.0K | $22.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +8,053 | $73 | $99 | 22 | 06-27 01:20 |
| Smoggy-Sunglasses 0xb4f2…e5fa | No | +5,858 | $4,913 | $4,913 | 3 | 05-29 09:24 |
| Vapid-Misrepresentation 0x4727…5aa5 | No | +2,163 | $1,900 | $1,900 | 1 | 06-01 09:19 |
| Major-Moat 0x3532…663a | Yes | +2,000 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-30 20:21 |
| Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | No | +1,734 | $1,725 | $1,725 | 1 | 06-30 20:21 |
| Shady-Dog 0x7a90…2ff9 | Yes | +1,225 | $79 | $79 | 19 | 06-15 15:37 |
| Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | +1,117 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-03 06:40 |
| Natural-Restriction 0x6f0e…3165 | Yes | +1,000 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-24 20:25 |
| Bulky-Havoc 0x21b4…1f06 | No | +1,000 | $999 | $999 | 2 | 07-03 06:40 |
| Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | +983 | $953 | $953 | 5 | 06-30 17:58 |
| Unwelcome-Accident 0xac8f…fedd | Yes | +753 | $28 | $28 | 9 | 06-14 20:20 |
| Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e1…27af | No | +639 | $543 | $3,057 | 31 | 06-24 20:25 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +635 | $597 | $836 | 12 | 06-15 16:06 |
| Composed-Embellishment 0xa4bc…026c | No | +567 | $474 | $474 | 5 | 05-31 19:33 |
| True-Parallelogram 0xe54b…aa14 | No | +417 | $329 | $1,806 | 13 | 06-28 15:19 |
| Fantastic-Refrigerator 0xea41…1c98 | No | +315 | $304 | $304 | 2 | 06-10 12:41 |
| Lost-Crest 0x22d6…f8b3 | Yes | +300 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-01 09:19 |
| Wry-Meatloaf 0xbb9f…557b | Yes | +299 | $52 | $76 | 12 | 07-01 21:58 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +294 | $-16 | $265 | 46 | 06-24 10:27 |
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | +250 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 07-03 06:40 |
| Mature-Fly 0x43ca…d04c | Yes | +204 | $84 | $116 | 5 | 06-15 16:06 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | +190 | $166 | $166 | 12 | 07-01 21:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x0bb7…8bba | No | +183 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-30 18:05 |
| Unruly-Variant 0x8103…4d0a | Yes | +176 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-30 08:27 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +165 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 06-22 18:25 |
| High-Alarm 0x9238…b73e | No | +150 | $92 | $435 | 12 | 06-03 19:59 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | +148 | $15 | $15 | 10 | 06-24 02:18 |
| Giddy-Poppy 0xbfcc…12a6 | No | +144 | $138 | $138 | 1 | 06-14 09:35 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | +133 | $20 | $20 | 6 | 06-01 11:40 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | +130 | $101 | $101 | 11 | 05-30 17:44 |
| Crazy-Clan 0x5c69…51ca | Yes | +130 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-01 11:11 |
| Deadly-Halibut 0x91c9…d319 | No | +109 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 06-08 11:16 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +105 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-29 05:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x85f4…acf4 | No | +100 | $99 | $99 | 14 | 07-01 21:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xea4c…9200 | No | +100 | $83 | $83 | 1 | 05-30 17:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xc6e1…e4bd | Yes | +85 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-24 10:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xd128…06b8 | Yes | +79 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-24 10:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f86…0412 | Yes | +74 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-29 14:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x1980…75a2 | Yes | +73 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-17 14:51 |
| Long-Ukulele 0xaa5b…1a65 | No | +71 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 06-24 10:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x5afc…82bd | No | +71 | $71 | $71 | 1 | 07-03 06:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xca8c…550f | No | +66 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 06-23 20:00 |
| Wry-Meatloaf 0xbb9f…557b | No | +63 | $86 | $885 | 18 | 06-10 07:42 |
| Firsthand-Macrofauna 0xa4ff…4c16 | Yes | +62 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-04 19:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x357c…2cac | No | +61 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 06-24 10:06 |
| Small-Bangle 0xf1cb…ccfe | Yes | +59 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-30 10:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb8a…81f9 | Yes | +58 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-24 10:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ce2…3862 | Yes | +58 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-24 10:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xd5b0…6166 | No | +57 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 06-24 10:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +55 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-28 09:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xa654…ec03 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-26 15:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x7ca5…b734 | No | +51 | $51 | $149 | 3 | 06-24 08:16 |
| Modern-Malice 0x9bae…5d34 | Yes | +50 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-08 05:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x1de7…1e31 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-22 18:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x898c…716d | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 3 | 06-29 22:13 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +49 | $41 | $41 | 5 | 06-08 05:47 |
| Faraway-Strategy 0x0934…f376 | Yes | +49 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-01 23:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 06:40:44 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 1,117 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9da752… |
| 07-03 06:40:44 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 250 | 100¢ | $250 | 0x9da752… |
| 07-03 06:40:44 | Annual-Beach 0x9797…2532 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9da752… |
| 07-03 06:40:44 | Bulky-Havoc 0x21b4…1f06 | No | BUY | 838 | 100¢ | $838 | 0x9da752… |
| 07-03 06:34:01 | (anonymous) 0xdd57…694d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf5127a… |
| 07-03 06:34:01 | (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf5127a… |
| 07-03 06:34:01 | (anonymous) 0x5afc…82bd | No | BUY | 71 | 100¢ | $71 | 0x7bf4be… |
| 07-03 06:34:01 | Intelligent-Fedelini 0xea8e…3de0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf5127a… |
| 07-03 06:34:01 | (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf5127a… |
| 07-03 06:34:01 | Educated-Jockey 0xce5b…047a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf5127a… |
| 07-03 06:34:01 | (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf5127a… |
| 07-03 06:34:01 | (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf5127a… |
| 07-03 06:34:01 | (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf5127a… |
| 07-03 06:34:01 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 71 | 100¢ | $71 | 0x7bf4be… |
| 07-03 06:34:01 | Annual-Beach 0x9797…2532 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf5127a… |
| 07-03 06:34:01 | Excitable-Saviour 0x241f…ef50 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf5127a… |
| 07-03 06:34:01 | Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf5127a… |
| 07-03 06:34:01 | (anonymous) 0x1846…a932 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf5127a… |
| 07-03 06:34:01 | (anonymous) 0x374b…2a3f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf5127a… |
| 07-03 06:34:01 | Bulky-Havoc 0x21b4…1f06 | No | BUY | 162 | 100¢ | $161 | 0xf5127a… |
| 07-03 06:34:01 | Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf5127a… |
| 07-03 06:34:01 | Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf5127a… |
| 07-03 06:34:01 | (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf5127a… |
| 07-03 06:34:01 | (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf5127a… |
| 07-03 06:34:01 | Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf5127a… |
| 07-03 06:34:01 | Stormy-Trolley 0x7ba5…4252 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf5127a… |
| 07-03 06:34:01 | (anonymous) 0x5a84…c2b7 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf5127a… |
| 07-01 23:55:49 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xe98a34… |
| 07-01 23:55:49 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xe98a34… |
| 07-01 23:55:49 | Yellow-Bother 0x165e…f5aa | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xe98a34… |
| 07-01 21:58:47 | (anonymous) 0x6325…6286 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x43caa2… |
| 07-01 21:58:47 | (anonymous) 0x85f4…acf4 | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x43caa2… |
| 07-01 21:58:47 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x43caa2… |
| 07-01 21:58:47 | (anonymous) 0x1a7b…03b0 | No | SELL | 158 | 97¢ | $153 | 0x43caa2… |
| 07-01 21:58:47 | Wry-Meatloaf 0xbb9f…557b | Yes | SELL | 120 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x43caa2… |
| 07-01 21:05:56 | Modest-Angora 0x62cc…7fa8 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x07c7b4… |
| 07-01 21:05:56 | Yellow-Bother 0x165e…f5aa | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x07c7b4… |
| 07-01 08:03:34 | Yellow-Bother 0x165e…f5aa | No | SELL | 191 | 100¢ | $190 | 0x919303… |
| 07-01 08:03:34 | (anonymous) 0xddbe…78f0 | No | SELL | 36 | 100¢ | $36 | 0x919303… |
| 07-01 08:03:34 | Different-Phosphate 0x0943…24b0 | Yes | SELL | 227 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x919303… |
| 07-01 07:29:31 | (anonymous) 0x85f4…acf4 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x4cdbfe… |
| 07-01 07:29:31 | Merry-Dark 0x539d…9c99 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x4cdbfe… |
| 07-01 07:29:29 | (anonymous) 0x85f4…acf4 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6d9f24… |
| 07-01 07:29:29 | Harmonious-Gelatin 0xffe4…ad00 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6d9f24… |
| 07-01 07:29:26 | Variable-Penguin 0xed59…236a | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x83a073… |
| 07-01 07:29:26 | (anonymous) 0x85f4…acf4 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x40ebad… |
| 07-01 07:29:26 | Glittering-Dialect 0x20b3…d24c | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x83a073… |
| 07-01 07:29:26 | Trusty-Chives 0x77b4…2f3e | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x40ebad… |
| 07-01 07:29:25 | (anonymous) 0x85f4…acf4 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x41d32f… |
| 07-01 07:29:25 | Dangerous-Patrimony 0x9381…b770 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x4161d5… |
| 07-01 07:29:25 | Joint-Almanac 0xcb39…8a33 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb02ad9… |
| 07-01 07:29:25 | Glittering-Dialect 0x20b3…d24c | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xe55eb9… |
| 07-01 07:29:25 | Glittering-Dialect 0x20b3…d24c | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x4161d5… |
| 07-01 07:29:25 | Firm-Class 0x6d7e…b94f | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd8055a… |
| 07-01 07:29:25 | Impractical-Substance 0xf887…4d20 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x41d32f… |
| 07-01 07:29:25 | (anonymous) 0x85f4…acf4 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb02ad9… |
| 07-01 07:29:25 | Glittering-Dialect 0x20b3…d24c | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd8055a… |
| 07-01 07:29:25 | Hideous-Pause 0x0d72…a5fe | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x49f04f… |
| 07-01 07:29:25 | Drab-Heartwood 0x6a2a…bea1 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xe55eb9… |
| 07-01 07:29:25 | Glittering-Dialect 0x20b3…d24c | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x49f04f… |
| 07-01 06:23:47 | (anonymous) 0xddbe…78f0 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x3df24e… |
| 07-01 06:23:47 | Merry-Dark 0x539d…9c99 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x3df24e… |
| 07-01 06:23:46 | (anonymous) 0xddbe…78f0 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x606ed3… |
| 07-01 06:23:46 | Trusty-Chives 0x77b4…2f3e | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xecdc8f… |
| 07-01 06:23:46 | (anonymous) 0xddbe…78f0 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xecdc8f… |
| 07-01 06:23:46 | Variable-Penguin 0xed59…236a | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xfb1842… |
| 07-01 06:23:46 | (anonymous) 0xddbe…78f0 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xfb1842… |
| 07-01 06:23:46 | Drab-Heartwood 0x6a2a…bea1 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x606ed3… |
| 07-01 06:23:44 | (anonymous) 0xddbe…78f0 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1eb630… |
| 07-01 06:23:44 | Impractical-Substance 0xf887…4d20 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x56563e… |
| 07-01 06:23:44 | (anonymous) 0xddbe…78f0 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x56563e… |
| 07-01 06:23:44 | Harmonious-Gelatin 0xffe4…ad00 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1eb630… |
| 07-01 06:23:41 | Hideous-Pause 0x0d72…a5fe | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x672e61… |
| 07-01 06:23:41 | (anonymous) 0xddbe…78f0 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x672e61… |
| 07-01 06:23:40 | Dangerous-Patrimony 0x9381…b770 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x521f2d… |
| 07-01 06:23:40 | (anonymous) 0xddbe…78f0 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x521f2d… |
| 07-01 06:23:40 | Firm-Class 0x6d7e…b94f | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x320ea5… |
| 07-01 06:23:40 | (anonymous) 0xddbe…78f0 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd49c97… |
| 07-01 06:23:40 | Joint-Almanac 0xcb39…8a33 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd49c97… |
| 07-01 06:23:40 | (anonymous) 0xddbe…78f0 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x320ea5… |
| 07-01 04:55:01 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xb7b87c… |
| 07-01 04:55:01 | Gaseous-Valley 0x2b16…cbe4 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xb7b87c… |
| 06-30 20:21:01 | Major-Moat 0x3532…663a | Yes | BUY | 1,669 | 0¢ | $8 | 0xf42361… |
| 06-30 20:21:01 | (anonymous) 0x6c9a…877b | No | SELL | 65 | 100¢ | $64 | 0xf42361… |
| 06-30 20:21:01 | Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | No | BUY | 1,734 | 100¢ | $1,725 | 0xf42361… |
| 06-30 17:58:23 | Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | BUY | 600 | 100¢ | $597 | 0x2cc099… |
| 06-30 17:58:23 | Warm-Vane 0x7d58…cfcc | No | SELL | 269 | 100¢ | $268 | 0x2cc099… |
| 06-30 17:58:23 | Major-Moat 0x3532…663a | Yes | BUY | 331 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x2cc099… |
| 06-30 13:07:13 | Warm-Vane 0x7d58…cfcc | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x5914e3… |
| 06-30 13:07:13 | Glittering-Dialect 0x20b3…d24c | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x5914e3… |
| 06-30 08:37:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 76 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x207c5d… |
| 06-30 08:37:59 | Warm-Vane 0x7d58…cfcc | No | SELL | 76 | 100¢ | $76 | 0x207c5d… |
| 06-30 07:15:14 | (anonymous) 0x85f4…acf4 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x286f53… |
| 06-30 07:15:14 | Creepy-Phase 0x3403…cf73 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x286f53… |
| 06-30 07:15:13 | Boring-Standoff 0x6802…2199 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x5deefb… |
| 06-30 07:15:13 | (anonymous) 0x85f4…acf4 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x5deefb… |
| 06-30 07:15:11 | Unfinished-Carload 0x7811…0068 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb64451… |
| 06-30 07:15:11 | Young-Xylophone 0x4c2b…39ed | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xbeede6… |
| 06-30 07:15:11 | (anonymous) 0x85f4…acf4 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb64451… |
| 06-30 07:15:11 | Well-Documented-Sill 0xfc9b…0626 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9b40b7… |