Modest-Angora — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$68

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$305

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 07-22 05:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

38% 0% $-68

Politics

33% — —

Other

22% — —

Crypto

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$65	42	42	+0	open	—	04-06 13:16
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$45	145	0	+145	No	$-45	04-15 20:59
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$41	75	75	+0	open	—	04-07 21:17
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$25	80	50	+30	open	—	03-29 20:30
Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Champions League winner?	3	$20	51	0	+51	No	$-20	04-15 21:00
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	3	$12	14	10	+4	open	—	04-19 16:55
eth updown 5m 1780944000	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	06-08 18:43
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	2	$10	30	29	+1	open	—	04-07 20:46
Will a team from Spain be the 2026 Champions League winner?	5	$10	20	20	+0	No	$-3	04-07 21:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$10	0	10	-10	open	—	06-29 19:21
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 mnc1	1	$6	20	0	+20	open	—	03-17 20:51
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-08 23:01
ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 ars	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-06 21:30
fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	06-15 12:56
btc updown 5m 1784698800	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	07-22 05:41
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 liv1	2	$4	10	10	+0	open	—	04-07 21:19
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	1	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	06-14 07:56
btc updown 5m 1776362700	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	04-16 18:07
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	1	$3	20	0	+20	open	—	05-23 21:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	04-18 20:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$2	9	9	+0	open	—	07-01 21:06
will netanyahu publicly insult trump by june 30	1	$2	34	0	+34	open	—	06-09 19:10
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 draw	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	04-06 13:22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$1	14	14	+0	open	—	07-01 18:49
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	2	$1	20	20	+0	open	—	07-01 21:06
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	2	$1	18	18	+0	open	—	07-01 21:05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$1	0	8	-8	open	—	07-01 21:05
fif egy esp 2026 03 30 egy	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	03-29 20:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 05:41:15	btc updown 5m 1784698800	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x72441a…
07-01 21:06:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x358659…
07-01 21:06:02	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x487d08…
07-01 21:05:56	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0x07c7b4…
07-01 21:05:38	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x811e06…
07-01 18:49:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	4¢	$0	0xc6ca2d…
06-29 19:21:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xaa07bf…
06-25 21:20:02	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3a166e…
06-15 12:56:22	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	Belgium	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xc73f49…
06-14 07:56:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xf01b57…
06-14 07:06:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xac4bc8…
06-14 07:02:24	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xc7e2e9…
06-09 19:34:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x170b67…
06-09 19:10:07	will netanyahu publicly insult trump by june 30	Yes	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0x333dd1…
06-08 18:43:00	eth updown 5m 1780944000	Up	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x9f2bec…
06-08 18:42:34	eth updown 5m 1780944000	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xfe3c11…
05-23 21:07:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x7ba370…
04-19 16:55:06	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	Yes	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x04bf15…
04-19 16:50:56	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xed0a81…
04-18 20:12:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf616ef…
04-17 19:13:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xacdaa0…
04-16 18:07:52	btc updown 5m 1776362700	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x5d1b9e…
04-15 21:00:24	Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Champions League winner?	Yes	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0x251e97…
04-15 20:59:42	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0xd20f19…
04-08 23:15:15	Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Champions League winner?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xd111c3…
04-08 23:11:09	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xd2ec25…
04-08 23:01:01	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x830493…
04-07 21:20:09	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xa92d9d…
04-07 21:19:39	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 liv1	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x516532…
04-07 21:17:25	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xc40281…
04-07 21:17:09	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0x78141d…
04-07 21:16:31	Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Champions League winner?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa33077…
04-07 21:16:03	Will a team from Spain be the 2026 Champions League winner?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x44189f…
04-07 20:46:21	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	Yes	SELL	29	2¢	$0	0x70ac5f…
04-06 21:33:53	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4d0afb…
04-06 21:30:35	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 ars	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x9eeae5…
04-06 13:22:17	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 draw	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xe9b3fe…
04-06 13:21:57	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 liv1	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xdd0866…
04-06 13:17:15	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xa5f873…
04-06 13:16:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xc0a2d1…
03-29 20:30:14	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xbc12eb…
03-29 20:24:22	Will a team from Spain be the 2026 Champions League winner?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xdb44e7…
03-29 20:24:22	Will a team from Spain be the 2026 Champions League winner?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xa41add…
03-29 20:24:22	Will a team from Spain be the 2026 Champions League winner?	Yes	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x98a3b1…
03-29 20:24:22	Will a team from Spain be the 2026 Champions League winner?	Yes	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x28ff83…
03-29 20:12:06	fif egy esp 2026 03 30 egy	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x05eaf3…
03-25 21:32:43	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x6eedde…
03-24 21:25:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xf99b71…
03-24 21:24:13	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	45	27¢	$12	0xe08914…
03-24 14:57:01	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x961571…
03-23 12:34:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x953fa3…
03-21 21:01:07	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	45	28¢	$13	0x2b3301…
03-17 20:51:55	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 mnc1	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x63d9aa…
03-17 20:45:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xd336f4…