Crazy-Clan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$715

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.1%

Resolved

Trades

483

lifetime

Volume

$77.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$161

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-30 18:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

61% — —

Other

38% 33% +$715

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	14	$8.1K	15,182	10,182	+5,000	open	—	03-24 20:45
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	3	$5.7K	3,447	3,447	+0	Yes	+$1,139	05-12 12:56
iran closes its airspace by june 8	4	$3.6K	5,651	5,651	+0	open	—	06-07 19:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$3.4K	13,062	13,062	+0	open	—	05-24 05:37
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	2	$3.1K	2,083	2,083	+0	open	—	06-30 18:39
will israel strike gaza on march 7 2026	8	$2.7K	1,799	1,799	+0	open	—	03-07 18:58
will israel take military action in gaza on march 30 2026	5	$2.6K	1,547	1,547	+0	open	—	03-30 10:46
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	7	$2.3K	1,794	1,794	+0	open	—	03-17 21:59
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	2	$2.3K	1,856	1,856	+0	open	—	04-16 15:48
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	2	$2.0K	1,921	1,921	+0	open	—	02-28 12:35
lal ray lev 2026 03 16 draw	2	$2.0K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	03-16 22:01
will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	4	$1.6K	5,197	5,197	+0	open	—	06-10 23:05
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	5	$1.5K	6,227	6,227	+0	open	—	06-15 20:58
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	4	$1.4K	3,501	3,501	+0	open	—	04-05 11:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	4	$1.3K	6,302	6,302	+0	open	—	05-20 12:52
will israel take military action in gaza on march 22 2026	2	$1.3K	799	799	+0	open	—	03-22 17:11
will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	4	$1.3K	1,044	1,044	+0	open	—	03-08 18:07
israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 7	2	$1.2K	4,048	4,048	+0	open	—	06-03 21:46
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?	8	$1.1K	927	927	+0	open	—	04-03 14:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	4	$1.0K	25,296	15,001	+10,296	open	—	05-18 19:44
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	2	$1.0K	795	795	+0	open	—	03-30 19:17
will israel strike lebanon on february 15 2026	4	$921	626	626	+0	open	—	02-15 19:27
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	2	$835	536	536	+0	open	—	06-30 03:41
israel closes its airspace by june 14	4	$576	2,806	2,806	+0	open	—	06-14 19:22
will israel take military action in gaza on march 29 2026	2	$558	415	415	+0	open	—	03-29 05:25
will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	3	$548	1,147	1,143	+4	open	—	06-14 20:22
will israel strike gaza on march 3 2026	2	$524	860	860	+0	open	—	03-03 19:05
epl wes mac 2026 03 14 mac	1	$500	926	0	+926	open	—	03-14 20:49
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	4	$495	3,025	0	+3,025	open	—	01-10 21:43
fl1 psg lyo 2026 04 19 lyo	2	$489	464	451	+12	open	—	04-19 20:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 18:39:07	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	SELL	2,083	100¢	$2,081	0x07f113…
06-30 17:21:28	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	2,083	48¢	$1,000	0x11c27b…
06-30 03:41:50	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	SELL	536	100¢	$535	0x1e6413…
06-29 23:54:37	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	1,033	15¢	$155	0x1fc2ea…
06-29 23:54:02	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	536	56¢	$300	0x048e00…
06-29 23:53:04	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	1,100	10¢	$110	0xefe4b6…
06-15 20:58:48	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,227	4¢	$236	0x663218…
06-14 20:22:15	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0616e5…
06-14 19:22:36	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	SELL	764	11¢	$81	0xc3aaac…
06-14 19:22:03	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	764	13¢	$100	0x6544fa…
06-14 19:01:30	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	SELL	2,041	10¢	$210	0xdd3752…
06-14 18:11:00	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	SELL	1,143	30¢	$347	0x03a40a…
06-14 17:58:46	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	1,143	17¢	$200	0x05e31b…
06-14 17:23:51	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	2,041	9¢	$185	0x2f072d…
06-11 21:26:21	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	BUY	6,897	3¢	$200	0x6a8321…
06-10 23:05:01	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	SELL	5,197	12¢	$629	0x048e49…
06-10 17:41:10	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	BUY	722	28¢	$200	0x1ead62…
06-10 17:41:00	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	BUY	812	25¢	$200	0xdcfb97…
06-10 12:55:57	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,111	27¢	$300	0x68bf4a…
06-10 12:46:09	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	BUY	3,663	15¢	$532	0x18dbd4…
06-07 19:42:40	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	5,651	60¢	$3,401	0xba3b85…
06-07 14:30:06	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	2,137	5¢	$100	0x3db54f…
06-07 14:29:54	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	2,513	4¢	$100	0x03a33c…
06-07 11:29:03	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,001	2¢	$20	0x6bbb62…
06-03 21:46:45	israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 7	Yes	SELL	4,048	8¢	$335	0x9dd136…
06-03 18:55:46	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	BUY	4,048	21¢	$844	0x90aa2e…
06-01 11:11:05	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	Yes	BUY	130	13¢	$17	0x683e9f…
05-31 20:35:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	1¢	$15	0x1f6127…
05-31 20:34:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,250	2¢	$25	0xc9e3d4…
05-28 10:58:14	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,212	25¢	$300	0xeae39e…
05-28 10:58:02	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,349	22¢	$300	0xd26816…
05-28 10:43:27	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,645	18¢	$300	0xc44233…
05-28 10:31:38	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,021	16¢	$315	0x07c9e6…
05-24 05:37:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	13,062	7¢	$978	0x09822a…
05-21 14:00:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	6,562	16¢	$1,050	0x92d8d4…
05-21 13:55:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	5,000	21¢	$1,050	0x2f0723…
05-20 12:52:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	SELL	3,293	12¢	$395	0x7934c5…
05-20 11:57:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	3,293	9¢	$300	0xd4415b…
05-19 09:50:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	SELL	3,009	10¢	$301	0x2635b5…
05-18 19:44:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	5,045	1¢	$67	0x6e96f5…
05-18 15:14:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	5,251	1¢	$66	0xce129e…
05-18 03:54:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	15,001	3¢	$380	0xb4b1bc…
05-17 07:51:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	15,001	3¢	$514	0xb68be3…
05-17 07:10:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	3,009	11¢	$331	0xc02322…
05-17 06:42:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,500	20¢	$300	0xc538ca…
05-12 12:56:03	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3,447	100¢	$3,431	0xd2211b…
05-12 06:17:35	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,052	75¢	$793	0x4e8da9…
05-10 06:07:11	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,396	63¢	$1,500	0x2e6a26…
05-05 18:54:54	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x674091…
05-05 12:58:34	Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madrid	Real Madrid	BUY	431	52¢	$224	0x23d37a…
05-02 21:02:32	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	371	73¢	$271	0x85196f…
04-29 20:22:36	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	371	54¢	$200	0xf19305…
04-28 06:57:54	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	666	38¢	$253	0x8a4f7d…
04-27 13:16:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x3d9676…
04-27 13:08:22	Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	14¢	$141	0x6ae962…
04-27 08:32:26	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,547	6¢	$100	0x5c35eb…
04-27 07:53:00	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	6¢	$50	0xc69769…
04-27 07:20:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,001	6¢	$120	0x5111a5…
04-27 06:29:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15,002	0¢	$55	0xd9ccfc…
04-26 10:38:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	6¢	$120	0x1bfee3…
04-26 10:38:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,555	2¢	$106	0x5e6627…
04-26 10:37:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,005	0¢	$29	0x136f68…
04-23 13:38:20	ere psv zwo 2026 04 23 draw	Yes	BUY	205	14¢	$29	0x77d884…
04-23 13:37:38	ere goa az 2026 04 23 az	Yes	BUY	92	43¢	$39	0x2f8655…
04-23 13:36:06	dfb stu scf 2026 04 23 scf	Yes	BUY	307	19¢	$58	0x136e11…
04-23 13:35:20	lal lev sev 2026 04 23 sev	Yes	BUY	205	31¢	$63	0x7e2700…
04-23 13:32:12	lal ovi vil 2026 04 23 vil	Yes	BUY	76	46¢	$35	0x68fb29…
04-23 13:29:10	lal ray esp 2026 04 23 draw	Yes	BUY	204	30¢	$61	0x7df748…
04-23 09:48:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0x317bec…
04-23 09:48:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$96	0x63fafb…
04-23 09:28:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	3,000	1¢	$21	0x6516b5…
04-22 18:16:36	lal elc mad 2026 04 22 mad	Yes	BUY	250	16¢	$40	0x9d9282…
04-22 17:07:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x8ea12c…
04-22 16:12:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xa3379d…
04-21 20:53:52	itc int com 2026 04 21 int	Yes	SELL	222	90¢	$200	0x872635…
04-21 20:48:00	epl bri che 2026 04 21 che	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xec8c34…
04-21 20:47:32	epl bri che 2026 04 21 che	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x8fa34b…
04-21 20:46:56	itc int com 2026 04 21 int	Yes	BUY	227	18¢	$40	0xf49d54…
04-21 20:44:40	lal rea ala 2026 04 21 draw	Yes	BUY	400	10¢	$40	0x627568…
04-21 20:43:00	epl bri che 2026 04 21 draw	Yes	BUY	663	2¢	$10	0x27b0ed…
04-21 20:42:40	epl bri che 2026 04 21 draw	Yes	BUY	625	2¢	$10	0xebe601…
04-21 20:17:46	epl bri che 2026 04 21 draw	Yes	BUY	1,196	7¢	$80	0x64ddbc…
04-20 19:29:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	SELL	1,501	2¢	$30	0xb66045…
04-20 14:17:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	1,501	7¢	$105	0x9c67c5…
04-20 14:07:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	SELL	1,501	7¢	$108	0x5ac3f1…
04-20 13:40:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	1,501	10¢	$143	0x323c53…
04-20 13:17:30	es2 dep mir 2026 04 20 draw	Yes	BUY	205	23¢	$47	0xb65161…
04-20 13:15:44	tur gfk kay 2026 04 20 kay	Yes	BUY	205	31¢	$63	0xc54070…
04-20 13:13:54	sea lec fio 2026 04 20 fio	Yes	BUY	152	46¢	$70	0x594bed…
04-20 13:12:12	epl cry wes 2026 04 20 wes	Yes	BUY	204	34¢	$69	0x35c5c1…
04-19 20:43:48	fl1 psg lyo 2026 04 19 lyo	Yes	SELL	451	97¢	$438	0x5825fe…
04-19 14:08:54	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 ars	Yes	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0xdeddc3…
04-19 06:58:50	fl1 psg lyo 2026 04 19 lyo	Yes	BUY	464	11¢	$51	0xc32d9e…
04-19 06:57:34	fl1 asm aja 2026 04 19 aja	Yes	BUY	308	16¢	$49	0x82fba4…
04-19 06:54:44	sea ver mil 2026 04 19 draw	Yes	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x2fdbb1…
04-19 06:52:28	sea juv bol 2026 04 19 draw	Yes	BUY	205	21¢	$43	0xfc6bb8…
04-19 06:44:48	bun fre hei 2026 04 19 draw	Yes	BUY	205	23¢	$47	0x1bd806…
04-19 06:42:00	bun bay stu 2026 04 19 draw	Yes	BUY	513	17¢	$87	0x211102…
04-18 20:57:28	epl che mun 2026 04 18 mun	Yes	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x14c0f7…
04-18 20:57:10	cdr atm rso 2026 04 18 draw	Yes	SELL	200	89¢	$178	0x4fad50…