Crazy-Clan — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$670

Unrealized P&L

-$26

Hit rate

44.4%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

627 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$3.63K

$100.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$161

Open exposure

$860

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-05 00:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Politics

54% 22% +$1,753

Other

45% 24% -$1,545

Crypto

1% 13% -$141

Sports

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		-888	-$835	97¢	$-860	-$25	08-20 10:25
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	Yes		+4	$1	12¢	$0	-$1	11-01 15:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	14	$8.1K	15,182	10,182	+5,000	Yes	-$230	03-24 20:45
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	3	$5.7K	3,447	3,447	+0	Yes	+$1,139	05-12 12:56
iran closes its airspace by june 8	4	$3.6K	5,651	5,651	+0	Yes	+$3,181	06-07 19:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$3.4K	13,062	13,062	+0	No	-$1,422	05-24 05:37
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	2	$3.1K	2,083	2,083	+0	Yes	+$1,081	06-30 18:39
will israel strike gaza on march 7 2026	8	$2.7K	1,799	1,799	+0	Yes	+$914	03-07 18:58
will israel take military action in gaza on march 30 2026	5	$2.6K	1,547	1,547	+0	Yes	+$482	03-30 10:46
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	7	$2.3K	1,794	1,794	+0	Yes	+$792	03-17 21:59
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	2	$2.3K	1,856	1,856	+0	Yes	+$1,286	04-16 15:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$2.2K	2,982	2,982	+0	open	—	10-28 08:52
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	2	$2.0K	1,921	1,921	+0	Yes	+$1,806	02-28 12:35
lal ray lev 2026 03 16 draw	2	$2.0K	1,100	1,100	+0	Yes	+$186	03-16 22:01
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	2	$2.0K	1,743	1,743	+0	Yes	+$1,331	05-06 20:58
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	7	$1.8K	7,227	7,227	+0	No	-$1,087	06-15 20:58
will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	4	$1.6K	5,197	5,197	+0	No	-$303	06-10 23:05
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	4	$1.4K	3,501	3,501	+0	No	+$399	04-05 11:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	4	$1.3K	6,302	6,302	+0	No	+$65	05-20 12:52
will israel take military action in gaza on march 22 2026	2	$1.3K	799	799	+0	Yes	+$291	03-22 17:11
will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	4	$1.3K	1,044	1,044	+0	Yes	+$277	03-08 18:07
israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 7	2	$1.2K	4,048	4,048	+0	No	-$509	06-03 21:46
Valencia vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv	2	$1.1K	833	833	+0	Maccabi Tel Aviv	+$533	10-15 22:13
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?	8	$1.1K	927	927	+0	Yes	+$523	04-03 14:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	4	$1.0K	25,296	15,001	+10,296	No	-$267	05-18 19:44
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	2	$1.0K	795	795	+0	No	+$408	03-30 19:17
will israel strike lebanon on february 15 2026	4	$921	626	626	+0	Yes	+$321	02-15 19:27
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	2	$909	784	784	+0	Yes	+$509	07-15 20:54
israel closes its airspace by july 24	4	$865	6,596	6,596	+0	No	-$153	07-23 18:28
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	2	$855	690	690	+0	Yes	+$455	04-29 20:57
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	2	$835	536	536	+0	Yes	+$235	06-30 03:41
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$835	0	888	-888	open	—	08-20 10:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 00:36:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	BUY	4,019	3¢	$122	0x7a66d3…
11-03 21:01:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	1,024	6¢	$65	0x6f0711…
11-03 21:00:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	BUY	2,797	2¢	$51	0xaebf29…
11-01 15:06:31	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x20692a…
11-01 15:06:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf631ff…
11-01 15:06:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x1498a6…
11-01 15:05:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd15227…
11-01 15:05:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x57ca87…
11-01 15:05:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x1a6f5d…
11-01 15:05:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x8b0260…
10-28 08:52:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,982	47¢	$1,402	0xe5a475…
10-20 19:07:39	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	833	21¢	$175	0x3cb5a6…
10-20 19:06:35	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	SELL	5,868	2¢	$105	0x68ef02…
10-18 07:10:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	5,868	4¢	$246	0xb64ff6…
10-17 16:50:44	Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC vs. Ironi Tiberias end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	311	37¢	$115	0x1e2e4f…
10-17 16:48:53	Will Maccabi Netanya FC vs. Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0xcc37a4…
10-17 16:48:11	Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC vs. Maccabi Haifa FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	415	26¢	$108	0x6d0fa5…
10-15 22:13:08	Valencia vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv	Maccabi Tel Aviv	SELL	833	100¢	$832	0xa22970…
10-15 19:27:02	Valencia vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv	Maccabi Tel Aviv	BUY	833	36¢	$300	0xb5d76c…
10-10 20:50:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	5,060	7¢	$330	0xb64573…
10-06 13:52:28	Will Argentina vs. Benin end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5,259	2¢	$91	0xbca864…
10-04 19:57:35	Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	653	19¢	$124	0xe80e24…
09-25 05:42:12	Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4,004	3¢	$123	0x1adfc1…
09-24 09:00:50	Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4,004	4¢	$141	0xd6939f…
09-09 13:44:07	Will Viking FK win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	314	9¢	$28	0x89de2c…
09-09 13:42:45	Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	1,060	2¢	$16	0xf0d130…
09-09 13:41:46	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	1,054	3¢	$30	0xc7dbff…
08-25 18:32:16	Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-25?	Yes	BUY	971	14¢	$136	0xd1bf86…
08-20 10:29:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,982	28¢	$835	0xafcc2a…
08-20 10:25:54	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	888	94¢	$835	0x28d966…
08-14 12:18:49	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	1,231	1¢	$12	0xf32d10…
08-14 12:18:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	2,038	1¢	$18	0x3bff94…
07-28 23:06:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	BUY	3,006	6¢	$190	0x217556…
07-27 05:54:43	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	Yes	BUY	5,003	4¢	$195	0xf58626…
07-26 12:59:34	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	15,015	5¢	$710	0xd14358…
07-24 10:46:57	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	7,523	3¢	$204	0x179c56…
07-23 18:28:55	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	6,596	5¢	$356	0xfdb4cc…
07-23 18:28:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	708	13¢	$93	0xc3b189…
07-23 18:27:27	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	3,075	12¢	$378	0x72323a…
07-23 09:10:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	708	14¢	$100	0x9bfcf7…
07-23 08:52:55	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	1,000	11¢	$114	0xf7b79c…
07-23 08:52:22	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	1,039	10¢	$100	0x7e58b2…
07-20 16:01:33	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	2,037	14¢	$280	0x56bb1a…
07-20 15:58:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	7,523	2¢	$164	0x833214…
07-20 15:48:39	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	3,025	7¢	$215	0xfcd790…
07-20 15:46:21	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	2,571	7¢	$180	0xba166f…
07-19 21:57:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	1,278	8¢	$100	0x25a97e…
07-19 18:39:12	Argentina to score first vs. Spain?	Yes	BUY	413	38¢	$157	0x7f83c6…
07-19 18:38:48	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	1,295	26¢	$340	0xa31266…
07-19 18:37:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	2,179	5¢	$100	0xbdfccd…
07-16 03:43:16	cricmlc san los 2026 07 15	Los Angeles Knight Riders	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xc6fba2…
07-15 22:34:13	cs2 alkaa chama 2026 07 15	ALKA	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xf8a055…
07-15 22:32:16	cricmlc san los 2026 07 15	Los Angeles Knight Riders	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x4a7172…
07-15 22:31:32	atp wolf johnso 2026 07 15	Spencer Johnson	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x352abc…
07-15 22:31:22	nbasl det phx 2026 07 15	Detroit Pistons	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0xfbb810…
07-15 21:00:22	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	1,982	7¢	$134	0xea3048…
07-15 20:54:38	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	SELL	784	90¢	$709	0x437e8e…
07-15 20:01:04	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	784	25¢	$200	0xf03bc5…
07-15 20:00:01	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	1,982	5¢	$100	0x6d612c…
07-14 20:22:40	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1,071	8¢	$88	0xbf3a17…
07-14 19:42:35	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,071	28¢	$300	0x00451a…
07-09 21:46:17	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	SELL	1,667	0¢	$4	0xecd3f6…
07-09 21:30:47	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 5pt5	France	BUY	13,663	0¢	$15	0x5a9dec…
07-09 21:24:28	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	1,667	4¢	$62	0xac6936…
07-09 21:24:07	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	SELL	720	3¢	$23	0xe0f063…
07-09 21:24:01	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	715	14¢	$102	0x6b34c8…
07-09 20:38:25	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	720	11¢	$81	0xde1e2f…
07-09 20:26:34	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	715	14¢	$100	0xc2a38a…
07-07 17:59:47	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0x6c34d1…
07-07 17:31:11	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	588	19¢	$112	0x40e2d7…
07-07 17:24:19	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	588	34¢	$200	0x12eb29…
07-02 22:21:22	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	1,125	2¢	$18	0xdba8b0…
07-02 22:20:29	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	1,150	2¢	$20	0xf43b2d…
07-02 22:19:44	Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	320	5¢	$16	0x61ff1c…
07-02 22:18:28	Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 3 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	1,176	2¢	$20	0x24c17b…
07-02 22:16:01	Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	512	22¢	$111	0x9fa836…
07-02 22:15:16	Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	511	26¢	$135	0x5e78e4…
07-01 17:47:10	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	1,062	35¢	$372	0xc03cc2…
07-01 17:27:55	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x90ab43…
07-01 17:22:31	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	645	31¢	$200	0x82dcb0…
06-30 18:39:07	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	SELL	2,083	100¢	$2,081	0x07f113…
06-30 17:21:28	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	2,083	48¢	$1,000	0x11c27b…
06-30 03:41:50	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	SELL	536	100¢	$535	0x1e6413…
06-29 23:54:37	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	1,033	15¢	$155	0x1fc2ea…
06-29 23:54:02	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	536	56¢	$300	0x048e00…
06-29 23:53:04	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	1,100	10¢	$110	0xefe4b6…
06-25 21:51:29	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x5974e4…
06-25 21:51:22	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	1,667	1¢	$10	0x37e34b…
06-25 21:48:55	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	3,846	1¢	$50	0x6542b8…
06-25 20:27:22	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	742	43¢	$316	0xf8b00d…
06-17 18:17:31	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	307	9¢	$27	0xec2a86…
06-16 20:52:35	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x15c5fc…
06-16 18:36:41	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0xbd3840…
06-16 18:36:28	Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	205	21¢	$43	0x4608b5…
06-16 18:35:52	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	214	22¢	$47	0x0b6b44…
06-16 18:35:31	Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0x3f273b…
06-15 20:58:48	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,227	4¢	$236	0x663218…
06-15 20:43:13	Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	207	28¢	$58	0xeece8d…
06-15 20:42:33	Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x4452e3…
06-15 20:42:16	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	155	33¢	$51	0x90ad5b…