Lost-Crest 0x22d6f7…aef8b3
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Realized P&L
+$9
Unrealized P&L
-$83
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
770
lifetime
Volume
$14.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$466
13 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 06-26 22:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
83% 100% +$9
Other
16% — —
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -76 $-59 100¢ $-75 $-16 06-16 16:24
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +80 $66 86¢ $68 +$3 06-18 19:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -64 $-55 100¢ $-64 $-9 06-05 03:26
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +80 $58 68¢ $54 $-4 06-24 17:09
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No -66 $-46 72¢ $-48 $-1 05-29 23:46
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +145 $45 30¢ $43 $-1 06-26 20:43
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026? Yes +100 $50 42¢ $42 $-8 06-11 03:43
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +70 $41 50¢ $35 $-7 06-08 02:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -150 $-38 14¢ $-20 +$17 06-11 12:24
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +16 $10 83¢ $13 +$3 06-15 17:38
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? Yes +300 $30 1¢ $2 $-28 06-01 09:19
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +71 $40 0¢ $0 $-39 06-08 02:54
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes -20 $-8 1¢ $-0 +$8 06-08 03:07