Realized P&L
+$9
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
824
lifetime
Volume
$15.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$281
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 07-21 01:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
80% 100% +$9
Other
19%
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +58 $50 85¢ $50 $-0 07-18 02:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +102 $45 46¢ $47 +$2 07-18 02:39
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No -66 $-46 68¢ $-45 +$1 05-29 23:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -150 $-38 28¢ $-41 $-4 06-11 12:24
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +70 $41 56¢ $39 $-3 06-08 02:40
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +145 $45 19¢ $28 $-17 06-26 20:43
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026? Yes +39 $19 44¢ $17 $-2 07-16 01:03
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +16 $10 87¢ $14 +$4 06-15 17:38