Realized P&L
+$9
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
725
lifetime
Volume
$13.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$372
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 06-10 03:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
84% 100% +$9
Other
15%
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -64 $-55 88¢ $-57 $-2 06-05 03:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +72 $50 70¢ $51 +$1 06-07 19:07
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +80 $49 60¢ $48 $-0 06-08 02:55
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +70 $41 63¢ $44 +$3 06-08 02:40
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No -66 $-46 66¢ $-44 +$3 05-29 23:46
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +38 $27 75¢ $28 +$1 06-08 23:27
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -22 $-40 100¢ $-22 +$19 06-07 20:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -20 $-14 90¢ $-18 $-5 06-07 19:07
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +71 $40 24¢ $17 $-23 06-08 02:54
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? Yes +300 $30 $16 $-14 06-01 09:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -17 $-10 84¢ $-14 $-5 06-07 19:05
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -12 $-15 62¢ $-8 +$7 06-07 21:50
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes -20 $-8 25¢ $-5 +$3 06-08 03:07
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026? Yes +0 $0 53¢ $0 +$0 06-10 03:10