Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$62
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
816
lifetime
Volume
$25.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$553
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-01 17:28
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
57%
Other
32%
Crypto
8%
Sports
2%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +264 $234 100¢ $264 +$30 06-27 21:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +210 $186 100¢ $209 +$24 06-30 13:03
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? No +95 $28 28¢ $27 $-1 07-01 05:46
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +240 $25 $12 $-13 06-28 01:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -40 $-35 30¢ $-12 +$23 06-22 17:09
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 $-0 07-01 22:22
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 $-0 07-01 07:29
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 $-0 07-01 14:36