Realized P&L
-$450
Unrealized P&L
+$566
Hit rate
65.7%
Resolved
315
Trades
1,771
lifetime
Volume
$68.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$3.44K
18 positions
First seen
2026-05-31
last 10-18 16:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Politics
64% 65% +$2,976
Other
27% 64% -$1,802
Sports
4% 55% -$380
Crypto
3% 40% -$845
Tech
1% 43% -$399
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +824 $767 98¢ $809 +$41 09-24 11:34
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +605 $482 88¢ $532 +$50 10-12 15:37
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +500 $411 99¢ $495 +$84 10-18 16:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +600 $493 82¢ $495 +$2 09-20 13:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +787 $236 55¢ $435 +$199 09-22 12:46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +300 $196 97¢ $291 +$95 09-20 10:08
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +200 $112 97¢ $194 +$82 09-30 09:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +60 $32 88¢ $53 +$21 08-10 16:24
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +50 $47 87¢ $44 -$4 08-24 08:09
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +40 $36 90¢ $36 +$1 08-10 17:32
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +50 $24 34¢ $17 -$7 08-24 07:50
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 +$0 08-04 09:24
will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640 No +10 $8 89¢ $9 +$0 07-05 19:49
will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639 No +10 $6 84¢ $8 +$2 07-02 08:49
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +10 $7 82¢ $8 +$1 07-04 08:49
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10 $6 57¢ $6 $0 07-03 02:25
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +10 $1 12¢ $1 $0 06-27 16:41
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +20 $2 4¢ $1 -$2 08-05 10:55