Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
936
lifetime
Volume
$27.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$33
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-20 14:50
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
55%
Other
33%
Crypto
8%
Sports
3%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? No +95 $28 12¢ $12 $-16 07-01 05:46
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +10 $7 78¢ $8 +$1 07-04 08:49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +10 $9 76¢ $8 $-2 07-02 18:11
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +25 $6 22¢ $5 $-1 07-07 19:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -40 $-35 $-0 +$34 06-22 17:09