Gaseous-Valley 0x2b163d…2fcbe4 Create alert
bot 24W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$68
Unrealized P&L
-$38
Hit rate
91.4%
Resolved
479
Trades
604
lifetime
Volume
$5.10K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$269
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-30
last 11-12 02:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 161 days
Categories
Other
55% 88% +$2
Politics
33% 91% +$71
Sports
7% 88% -$8
Crypto
2% 95% -$1
Tech
2% 100% +$4
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,549 $30 2¢ $23 -$7 10-26 13:30
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 30, 2026? Yes +17 $15 96¢ $16 +$1 11-06 13:58
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -17 -$14 96¢ $-16 -$1 10-05 17:53
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? No +30 $15 50¢ $15 +$0 09-08 16:44
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -12 -$11 98¢ $-12 $0 10-05 17:53
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +23 $15 51¢ $12 -$3 07-20 16:46
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? No +12 $10 92¢ $11 +$1 11-09 21:13
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +11 $10 99¢ $11 +$1 05-12 22:37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +11 $10 99¢ $11 +$1 11-04 14:19
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -11 -$10 97¢ $-11 -$1 10-05 17:57
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? Yes +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 11-04 14:21
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 11-04 14:20
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30? No +28 $10 34¢ $9 -$1 11-09 21:10
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +91 $10 10¢ $9 -$1 09-03 00:54
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes +13 $10 68¢ $9 -$1 11-04 14:29
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +66 $10 12¢ $8 -$2 11-03 15:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +95 $20 8¢ $7 -$13 09-03 00:51
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +133 $10 5¢ $6 -$4 05-03 23:23
Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2027? No +7 $5 88¢ $6 +$1 10-19 02:42
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +6 $6 98¢ $6 $0 10-19 03:17
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? No +6 $5 98¢ $6 +$1 11-03 16:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 11-06 14:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027? No +13 $5 40¢ $5 +$0 11-06 14:02
US recession by end of 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-26 14:55
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? No +6 $5 91¢ $5 +$0 10-07 14:51
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 11-03 15:19
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $0 11-09 21:21
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) Ciryl Gane +7 $5 66¢ $5 $0 11-09 21:34
Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? No +5 $5 90¢ $5 $0 08-29 03:01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +34 $15 12¢ $4 -$11 11-06 13:56