True-Parallelogram — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18.0K

Unrealized P&L

-$268

Hit rate

94.3%

Resolved

258

Trades

1,799

lifetime

Volume

$348.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$193

Open exposure

$19.8K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 03:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Politics

62% 84% +$14,404

Other

38% 82% +$3,789

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$115

Tech

0% 40% -$201

Sports

0% 0% -$114

Crypto

0% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+12,616	$10,721	80¢	$10.2K	-$565	10-03 10:10
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+5,917	$5,444	92¢	$5.4K	-$30	10-02 20:46
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+3,341	$2,965	97¢	$3.2K	+$276	10-16 06:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	No	+519	$500	99¢	$516	+$16	10-01 09:16
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	No	+326	$256	90¢	$292	+$36	10-28 03:28
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+209	$192	92¢	$191	-$1	10-01 10:01
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	No	+0	$0	90¢	$0	+$0	07-02 09:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	7	$15.8K	10,092	10,092	+0	Yes	+$1,929	04-11 17:31
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	124	$13.2K	12,794	1,564	+11,230	No	+$1,110	07-29 23:41
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	14	$11.7K	5,864	5,864	+0	No	+$38	09-07 23:26
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	26	$11.2K	5,813	5,813	+0	No	+$357	05-30 22:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	27	$11.0K	5,744	5,744	+0	No	+$403	08-31 14:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	6	$10.7K	12,616	0	+12,616	open	—	10-03 10:10
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	11	$9.2K	5,751	5,751	+0	Yes	+$375	02-28 06:59
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	7	$8.1K	7,381	1,465	+5,917	open	—	10-02 20:46
Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?	17	$6.5K	6,839	5	+6,834	No	+$339	09-30 21:45
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	27	$6.4K	6,915	0	+6,915	No	+$488	05-25 05:04
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	11	$6.3K	3,528	3,528	+0	No	-$359	07-07 19:50
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	7	$6.3K	7,251	0	+7,251	No	+$979	04-22 15:17
Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026?	14	$6.2K	6,584	46	+6,538	No	+$427	10-01 09:45
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	25	$6.2K	4,620	1,924	+2,696	No	+$270	06-28 01:19
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?	61	$6.2K	6,339	804	+5,535	No	+$950	09-30 21:03
Israel Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?	10	$6.1K	6,262	40	+6,222	Yes	+$128	09-08 15:32
foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	39	$6.0K	6,411	0	+6,411	No	+$399	08-05 10:43
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	4	$5.9K	2,986	2,986	+0	No	+$26	07-18 18:48
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	2	$5.7K	2,859	2,859	+0	No	+$46	07-07 05:44
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	11	$5.1K	5,211	0	+5,211	No	+$114	09-09 20:45
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	7	$5.1K	5,294	0	+5,294	No	+$217	05-13 11:47
Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?	31	$5.0K	5,571	0	+5,571	No	+$544	10-01 09:31
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	68	$5.0K	2,657	2,657	+0	No	+$171	06-26 23:56
will trump sue trevor noah by march 31	17	$4.9K	2,560	2,560	+0	No	+$17	04-01 07:44
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?	5	$4.0K	3,972	0	+3,972	No	+$11	09-02 12:09
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	10	$3.6K	3,661	0	+3,661	No	+$41	08-20 01:19
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	3	$3.6K	4,015	0	+4,015	No	+$402	04-13 16:13
Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026?	19	$3.3K	3,837	0	+3,837	No	+$516	09-15 19:32
will qatar strike iran by march 31	9	$3.2K	4,732	0	+4,732	No	+$1,521	03-26 15:01
will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by march 31	18	$3.2K	1,956	1,956	+0	No	+$125	03-27 15:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:28:52	Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x2938c8…
10-25 01:19:51	Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x211edd…
10-22 09:35:35	Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x812451…
10-19 03:53:51	Israel military action against Yemen by October 31?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x12d69a…
10-16 06:23:42	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,085	92¢	$998	0x989806…
10-13 04:22:30	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	344	81¢	$279	0x82e983…
10-13 04:19:33	Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x2b3848…
10-13 04:18:23	Israel military action against Yemen by October 31?	No	BUY	715	92¢	$657	0x3565c7…
10-11 07:59:55	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	997	92¢	$917	0x491ba7…
10-11 07:59:21	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	970	95¢	$922	0xfcbf29…
10-11 07:58:37	Will Houthis target Syria by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	161	96¢	$155	0xa91873…
10-07 01:21:59	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x936462…
10-05 14:30:56	Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x0f7c50…
10-03 10:10:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,231	84¢	$1,034	0x977a6f…
10-03 10:07:09	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x8964eb…
10-03 10:07:06	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	85	86¢	$73	0x61f807…
10-03 10:03:29	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	120	84¢	$101	0xa13bf7…
10-03 10:03:09	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	150	80¢	$120	0x1502b6…
10-03 10:02:44	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x05b455…
10-03 10:01:18	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	379	97¢	$368	0xfa072c…
10-03 10:01:09	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	496	97¢	$482	0xa9fa4c…
10-03 09:52:14	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x35bfe5…
10-03 09:51:59	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xc563b6…
10-03 09:51:27	Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	115	75¢	$86	0xde3217…
10-02 21:41:18	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x9ae553…
10-02 20:46:18	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	802	93¢	$746	0xde51f0…
10-02 20:45:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	4,500	85¢	$3,825	0x4e1038…
10-02 20:42:35	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	No	SELL	300	81¢	$243	0xaddd92…
10-02 20:39:44	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0x767797…
10-02 20:38:33	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x39f4ef…
10-02 20:36:33	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0x00228e…
10-02 20:36:29	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	938	97¢	$910	0x724b79…
10-02 20:34:27	Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0xa34c9e…
10-02 20:32:06	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xe945a4…
10-02 20:31:26	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xc31377…
10-02 20:29:47	Israel military action against Yemen by October 31?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0xba4ea7…
10-02 20:29:08	Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	80	78¢	$62	0xc29e81…
10-02 20:28:30	Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	90¢	$63	0xd77064…
10-01 20:09:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	786	86¢	$676	0x4edde4…
10-01 20:01:48	FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$7	0x557dd8…
10-01 19:52:18	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xc86731…
10-01 19:52:05	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,003	90¢	$903	0xfb04b9…
10-01 19:48:27	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x91d787…
10-01 19:48:26	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	210	89¢	$187	0xbd3333…
10-01 19:45:17	Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	88	96¢	$84	0x90104e…
10-01 19:28:35	Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	94¢	$67	0xd05b52…
10-01 19:27:35	FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?	No	BUY	82	93¢	$76	0xa97ad5…
10-01 19:23:26	eritrea invades ethiopia by october 31	No	BUY	134	94¢	$126	0x3d009b…
10-01 19:19:03	israel accuses iranproxies of plane stabbing incident by oct 31	No	BUY	86	78¢	$67	0x6a4406…
10-01 19:13:20	Israel military action against Yemen by October 31?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x9f80a6…
10-01 19:11:45	FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?	No	BUY	273	91¢	$248	0x074dfc…
10-01 19:06:21	FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?	No	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0xf682c2…
10-01 19:03:33	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	No	BUY	114	78¢	$89	0x742efe…
10-01 18:56:12	FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xd54bb3…
10-01 18:55:36	FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?	No	BUY	70	91¢	$64	0x7ce7a7…
10-01 18:41:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3,000	85¢	$2,550	0x8c35c7…
10-01 18:39:29	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5,014	93¢	$4,663	0x0d79bb…
10-01 18:23:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3,000	85¢	$2,550	0xa2ad50…
10-01 18:19:11	FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc41738…
10-01 17:45:35	eritrea invades ethiopia by october 31	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x1a35ab…
10-01 17:20:02	France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x7bd372…
10-01 15:21:12	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?	No	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x14817b…
10-01 10:58:32	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x2f8e1f…
10-01 10:45:35	Israeli forces enter Tyre by September 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x656584…
10-01 10:38:24	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8bc877…
10-01 10:01:27	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	209	92¢	$192	0xacd59f…
10-01 09:56:11	Israeli forces enter Tyre by September 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdcc49b…
10-01 09:45:24	Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xd0ae32…
10-01 09:44:26	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x757520…
10-01 09:43:35	Israel military action against Yemen by October 31?	No	BUY	1,486	93¢	$1,382	0xe995e6…
10-01 09:40:38	Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x305312…
10-01 09:37:12	Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	176	87¢	$154	0x7bd5f1…
10-01 09:34:24	Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	75	94¢	$71	0x658f62…
10-01 09:31:33	Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	998	99¢	$987	0x3a2ddc…
10-01 09:30:27	Clavicular in jail by October 31?	No	BUY	131	95¢	$125	0xd8cbff…
10-01 09:26:06	Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xa093d4…
10-01 09:25:24	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	No	BUY	153	84¢	$128	0x029740…
10-01 09:24:42	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4c5f16…
10-01 09:24:11	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?	No	BUY	32	89¢	$28	0x4edd7a…
10-01 09:22:53	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xa7f88d…
10-01 09:21:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xbdf656…
10-01 09:16:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	519	96¢	$500	0xc38708…
10-01 09:12:53	Israeli forces enter Tyre by September 30?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x97c858…
10-01 09:12:24	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x108166…
10-01 09:10:17	Israel military action against Yemen by October 31?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x219b3b…
10-01 09:09:44	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xeb921a…
10-01 09:02:33	Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	265	100¢	$264	0x6ad8f9…
10-01 08:59:51	Will Iran target Syria by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	94¢	$43	0xf4b5fd…
10-01 08:58:45	Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x8f053f…
10-01 08:58:08	Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	78	83¢	$64	0x12153d…
10-01 08:57:48	Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	93	77¢	$72	0x5ec84a…
10-01 08:57:02	Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0x446a4e…
10-01 08:56:30	Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	54	82¢	$44	0xe77752…
10-01 08:37:32	France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	108	96¢	$103	0xe7fb04…
10-01 08:32:59	trump invokes war powers in yemen by october 31	No	BUY	41	94¢	$38	0x551bc5…
10-01 08:32:36	trump invokes war powers in yemen by october 31	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x40d017…
10-01 08:24:47	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by October 31?	No	BUY	555	94¢	$521	0x1938af…
10-01 08:23:17	eritrea invades ethiopia by december 31	No	BUY	274	69¢	$189	0x01df81…
10-01 08:20:29	eritrea invades ethiopia by october 31	No	BUY	97	90¢	$87	0xff9858…
10-01 08:18:30	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	32	89¢	$28	0x803d5e…