Faraway-Strategy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$437

Unrealized P&L

+$71

Hit rate

75.4%

Resolved

307

Trades

2,327

lifetime

Volume

$39.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$1.24K

15 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 16:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Politics

67% 67% +$849

Other

30% 55% -$549

Sports

2% 62% +$136

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	No	+600	$569	97¢	$580	+$11	10-29 13:53
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	-154	-$152	99¢	$-152	+$1	10-29 14:05
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	+150	$132	96¢	$144	+$12	08-23 13:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-110	-$106	97¢	$-107	$0	10-30 13:04
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+200	$75	34¢	$69	-$6	11-01 13:18
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	-50	-$47	98¢	$-49	-$2	05-29 16:56
EU dissolves before 2027?	No	-45	-$44	98¢	$-44	-$1	06-14 22:04
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?	No	-30	-$29	100¢	$-30	-$1	05-29 16:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	+27	$20	74¢	$20	+$1	10-31 15:09
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	+20	$13	94¢	$19	+$5	08-04 11:56
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+20	$11	56¢	$11	+$0	11-01 16:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+11	-$33	82¢	$9	+$42	07-20 07:40
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+40	$0	7¢	$3	+$3	10-31 09:54
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+2	-$2	84¢	$2	+$4	11-01 01:04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+49	-$2	1¢	$0	+$3	10-31 21:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	51	$3.1K	2,069	1,960	+109	No	+$114	06-21 13:54
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	12	$2.1K	1,369	769	+600	open	—	10-29 13:53
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	23	$1.4K	1,481	1,045	+436	Yes	+$8	05-23 20:34
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	15	$1.2K	1,220	1,110	+110	No	+$30	01-20 11:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	16	$1.2K	860	600	+260	Yes	-$182	06-15 12:34
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	19	$1.0K	1,967	1,770	+197	Yes	+$48	07-25 20:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	11	$946	650	639	+11	open	—	07-20 07:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	7	$919	664	400	+264	No	+$49	05-25 21:36
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	38	$792	674	600	+74	No	+$47	05-01 07:13
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	11	$732	815	815	+0	No	+$14	04-14 16:00
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?	14	$705	586	200	+386	open	—	10-04 10:49
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?	4	$587	300	300	+0	open	—	10-25 23:08
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$584	400	200	+200	No	+$10	05-29 06:55
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	5	$579	405	400	+5	Yes	+$9	06-04 14:31
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	10	$575	462	426	+36	No	+$27	06-19 19:24
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	27	$540	869	395	+474	Yes	-$171	08-10 18:10
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	17	$539	601	550	+51	No	+$12	01-31 09:06
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	29	$533	1,124	861	+263	No	+$67	05-30 07:02
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	11	$521	325	325	+0	Yes	+$48	08-02 03:05
us forces enter iran by january 31	9	$512	320	249	+71	No	+$17	01-15 15:37
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	19	$497	302	300	+2	open	—	11-01 01:04
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	6	$481	402	400	+2	No	+$11	06-02 05:26
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	26	$478	3,130	1,450	+1,680	No	-$16	01-16 19:34
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	21	$440	319	310	+9	Yes	+$41	08-02 03:36
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	6	$428	145	299	-154	open	—	10-29 14:05
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	12	$428	900	884	+16	No	+$17	01-13 23:12
Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	18	$396	382	265	+117	Yes	-$144	10-19 17:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	4	$364	225	200	+25	Yes	-$16	06-05 05:30
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	20	$359	610	300	+310	Yes	-$183	10-26 20:47
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	9	$351	608	575	+33	Yes	+$10	07-28 22:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 16:51:04	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x4bd126…
11-01 16:03:24	Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xd4be25…
11-01 15:48:55	Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0xfb64e4…
11-01 14:48:09	Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0xe5f584…
11-01 14:41:07	Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0xfe2415…
11-01 14:29:37	Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x05fd7f…
11-01 14:07:03	Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x3dc387…
11-01 13:18:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xac5228…
11-01 12:27:34	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	200	39¢	$78	0x5c02d1…
11-01 06:35:43	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x34105b…
11-01 05:25:31	Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x04ef7e…
11-01 01:04:09	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0x388af6…
11-01 00:57:49	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xc5c9cc…
11-01 00:57:48	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xd25076…
11-01 00:57:46	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xf33e76…
11-01 00:57:46	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x33d595…
11-01 00:56:54	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x1c74f5…
11-01 00:56:36	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x628283…
11-01 00:56:01	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x276803…
11-01 00:54:22	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x0f4b5a…
11-01 00:54:22	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x094267…
11-01 00:53:51	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xe6d7c5…
11-01 00:53:24	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xb1b2dd…
11-01 00:52:52	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xb25ecf…
10-31 21:56:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	25	21¢	$5	0x2d1bac…
10-31 21:40:36	Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xfe22f7…
10-31 21:40:36	Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0xe0b641…
10-31 21:08:45	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x19065e…
10-31 15:42:58	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0x9b8dcf…
10-31 15:11:25	Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x204253…
10-31 15:10:34	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xbd030d…
10-31 15:10:13	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x21635d…
10-31 15:09:49	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x175a9c…
10-31 09:54:46	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x3de926…
10-31 06:42:34	Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xa73979…
10-31 03:48:03	Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x7fba33…
10-31 02:50:54	Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x67f77d…
10-31 01:14:18	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x7b5f0a…
10-31 01:03:55	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc7a299…
10-31 00:52:28	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	101	81¢	$82	0xf32ec1…
10-31 00:32:57	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	21	67¢	$14	0x6657e8…
10-30 21:17:37	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0xb9d7d1…
10-30 21:12:22	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x192c50…
10-30 21:09:15	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x9aae37…
10-30 20:47:43	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0x20b861…
10-30 20:30:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x92807d…
10-30 18:57:49	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x5942e9…
10-30 17:22:43	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xb39d06…
10-30 17:03:34	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x7e002d…
10-30 17:02:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe7b018…
10-30 17:02:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xd69197…
10-30 16:58:51	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x659c52…
10-30 16:54:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x46219c…
10-30 16:14:37	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x21178b…
10-30 15:17:52	Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x0a76c9…
10-30 14:57:10	Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x6d8e60…
10-30 14:15:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x4b7808…
10-30 14:03:58	Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0xb40c6b…
10-30 14:03:52	Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0xa87975…
10-30 13:52:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x631e95…
10-30 13:16:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x660ebc…
10-30 13:04:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	110	97¢	$106	0x593dde…
10-30 13:02:22	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x83d733…
10-30 12:49:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x6d0732…
10-30 12:34:04	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x729d18…
10-30 12:24:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x0ae0b9…
10-30 12:18:00	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x4a2b5d…
10-30 08:14:10	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x0c6d8f…
10-30 02:26:42	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	23	76¢	$17	0x6dc198…
10-29 22:14:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$6	0xc8aafa…
10-29 14:05:52	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x335877…
10-29 13:53:29	France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0x9d2e2a…
10-28 18:47:10	France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	169	97¢	$164	0xb493be…
10-28 09:25:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xace884…
10-28 09:18:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xf18b0c…
10-28 09:06:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xa8c26b…
10-28 07:01:50	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xb62d4d…
10-28 06:27:49	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xee48ac…
10-28 06:25:58	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5d3cff…
10-27 20:34:29	Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x7608fd…
10-27 20:16:14	Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x399cec…
10-27 19:57:02	Will voter turnout be 76% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x5a198e…
10-27 18:58:41	Will voter turnout be 76% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xc7e3b7…
10-27 16:24:38	Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	No	SELL	12	54¢	$6	0xd9e96c…
10-27 15:42:39	Will voter turnout be 75% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xbf8684…
10-27 15:37:41	Will voter turnout be 75% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xa3ee93…
10-27 15:25:23	Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x00c801…
10-27 14:54:35	Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x442f35…
10-27 14:13:02	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x378cfa…
10-27 14:00:30	Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x83b42e…
10-27 13:43:24	Will Erling Haaland win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x3e3a20…
10-27 13:40:38	Will Erling Haaland win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x79e2cd…
10-27 12:01:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0x541462…
10-27 10:52:53	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xcf26eb…
10-27 10:49:51	Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x2bb0d4…
10-27 10:17:17	Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x183e9f…
10-27 10:16:35	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x6bc067…
10-27 09:55:48	Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	No	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0xc771f8…
10-27 08:01:09	Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x930208…
10-27 06:35:30	Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xdc16af…