Shady-Dog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.03K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.9%

Resolved

Trades

4,023

lifetime

Volume

$158.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 08-12 11:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

70% — —

Other

23% 29% +$1,027

Crypto

6% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-2

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	31	$3.7K	3,305	3,305	+0	open	—	08-11 12:10
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	24	$3.4K	5,016	5,016	+0	open	—	07-13 14:29
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	51	$3.2K	3,713	3,713	+0	open	—	04-21 13:26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	48	$3.0K	4,744	4,744	+0	open	—	04-25 20:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	45	$2.3K	3,734	3,734	+0	open	—	04-21 21:02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	17	$2.1K	1,581	1,581	+0	open	—	05-30 16:45
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	19	$2.1K	6,363	5,325	+1,038	open	—	07-17 19:01
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	34	$2.1K	4,398	2,898	+1,500	open	—	06-20 14:47
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	28	$1.9K	2,607	2,607	+0	open	—	07-13 12:17
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	29	$1.6K	1,047	1,179	-132	open	—	05-29 16:35
will israel strike gaza on february 9 2026	9	$1.5K	1,159	1,159	+0	open	—	02-10 07:20
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	19	$1.5K	1,759	1,672	+86	open	—	06-14 14:47
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	20	$1.4K	1,445	1,445	+0	open	—	03-08 21:31
will israel or the us target an iranian oil or gas facility 716	16	$1.4K	1,145	1,145	+0	open	—	03-07 19:16
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	29	$1.4K	2,736	2,361	+375	open	—	04-21 07:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	13	$1.4K	1,770	1,770	+0	open	—	04-27 17:24
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	15	$1.4K	1,797	1,797	+0	open	—	04-23 11:51
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	21	$1.3K	2,474	0	+2,474	Yes	+$1,139	05-10 20:15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	26	$1.3K	2,903	1,466	+1,437	open	—	06-20 13:31
will israel take military action in gaza on march 20 2026	14	$1.3K	934	934	+0	open	—	03-22 02:23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	6	$1.3K	1,967	1,165	+802	open	—	06-14 21:16
will israel or the us target tehran 812	2	$1.2K	661	661	+0	open	—	02-28 06:58
will uae strike iran by march 31	15	$1.2K	961	961	+0	open	—	03-11 22:00
will israel strike lebanon on february 9 2026	2	$1.1K	706	706	+0	open	—	02-09 06:51
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	8	$1.1K	972	972	-0	open	—	06-30 16:32
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	4	$1.1K	810	810	+0	open	—	06-07 19:59
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	29	$1.1K	1,322	1,322	+0	open	—	07-10 15:57
us strikes iraq by march 7	26	$1.1K	797	797	+0	open	—	03-04 07:36
iran closes its airspace by june 15	16	$1.0K	1,032	1,032	+0	open	—	06-07 19:20
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	23	$1.0K	5,257	5,257	+0	open	—	07-15 13:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 11:13:21	will iran target a arab country on august 12 2026 20260801004719129	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x4673b2…
08-12 10:51:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x7dbc93…
08-12 10:50:45	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	BUY	1,200	7¢	$84	0x9eb1fe…
08-12 10:46:28	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x27dfa2…
08-12 10:03:03	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30	No	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xf8d9f5…
08-12 09:45:24	will iran target a arab country on august 12 2026 20260801004719129	Yes	BUY	56	7¢	$4	0x0b13d8…
08-12 05:21:42	will iran target a arab country on august 12 2026 20260801004719129	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x676c42…
08-12 05:03:37	will iran target a arab country on august 11 2026 20260801004719128	Yes	BUY	325	4¢	$11	0xe1eb0e…
08-12 03:32:57	will iran target a arab country on august 12 2026 20260801004719129	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x6cc081…
08-12 03:24:21	will iran target a arab country on august 12 2026 20260801004719129	Yes	BUY	98	7¢	$7	0xea79bb…
08-12 03:24:21	will iran target a arab country on august 12 2026 20260801004719129	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x1825c1…
08-11 21:59:12	will iran target a arab country on august 12 2026 20260801004719129	Yes	BUY	140	12¢	$16	0x8d7c9b…
08-11 21:05:10	iran successfully targets shipping on august 11 2026 20260729163314531	Yes	BUY	120	10¢	$12	0xc58374…
08-11 20:29:48	iran successfully targets shipping on august 11 2026 20260729163314531	Yes	BUY	140	12¢	$17	0x822883…
08-11 19:02:28	will iran target a arab country on august 11 2026 20260801004719128	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x195f5b…
08-11 17:24:46	iran successfully targets shipping on august 11 2026 20260729163314531	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x269345…
08-11 12:10:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	SELL	489	27¢	$131	0x5dd76a…
08-11 12:10:30	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	908	72¢	$651	0x78c89c…
08-11 12:02:22	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 11 2026 20260722225036935	Yes	SELL	60	89¢	$53	0x757d12…
08-11 11:46:16	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	882	72¢	$635	0xe6d583…
08-11 11:29:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	678	5¢	$34	0xa7be0d…
08-11 11:28:40	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	SELL	393	10¢	$41	0x0ee1cb…
08-11 11:28:12	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	SELL	763	6¢	$46	0xc7131b…
08-11 11:27:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	800	16¢	$128	0x635df8…
08-11 11:27:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	SELL	400	48¢	$192	0xcfbc04…
08-11 11:26:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	SELL	688	41¢	$280	0xd13ade…
08-11 11:26:13	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	SELL	403	75¢	$300	0x9c6171…
08-11 11:23:57	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xa79579…
08-11 11:21:58	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x3791e2…
08-11 06:26:18	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 11 2026 20260722225036935	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0xb2f869…
08-10 13:43:16	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	Yes	BUY	98	11¢	$11	0x043f4b…
08-10 09:51:15	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	801	70¢	$560	0x8014dd…
08-10 09:50:09	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	400	92¢	$368	0xf83bc9…
08-10 05:47:21	btc updown 5m 1786340700	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x01c2a6…
08-10 02:12:21	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	Yes	BUY	42	11¢	$5	0x7f7955…
08-09 23:48:58	iran successfully targets shipping on august 10 2026 20260729163314530	No	SELL	140	37¢	$52	0xe8e594…
08-09 22:33:07	iran successfully targets shipping on august 10 2026 20260729163314530	No	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xb2ca3a…
08-09 22:14:34	iran successfully targets shipping on august 10 2026 20260729163314530	No	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x451a68…
08-09 21:30:48	iran successfully targets shipping on august 10 2026 20260729163314530	No	BUY	160	38¢	$61	0x655c94…
08-09 21:15:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	278	13¢	$36	0xf09a94…
08-09 20:49:33	btc updown 5m 1786308300	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xf13e3a…
08-09 20:48:46	btc updown 5m 1786308300	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xa5a20b…
08-09 20:19:01	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742049	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xe0c364…
08-09 17:13:30	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x3c6222…
08-09 16:41:39	will jared kushner attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044257	No	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x884836…
08-08 07:52:07	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	65	16¢	$10	0xdac5a8…
08-08 07:48:22	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	38	16¢	$6	0xebae9f…
08-08 04:59:24	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xacf290…
08-08 04:09:25	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742050	Yes	BUY	299	3¢	$10	0x9ada2e…
08-07 15:54:58	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742050	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x34dfed…
08-06 18:37:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xad76e5…
08-06 18:37:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x0272f7…
08-06 18:37:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x2ee898…
08-06 16:39:38	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x229ed9…
08-06 10:24:11	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0x4999bf…
08-05 21:23:56	iran successfully targets shipping on august 5 2026 20260729163314525	Yes	BUY	157	2¢	$3	0xc3fc60…
08-05 20:06:39	iran successfully targets shipping on august 5 2026 20260729163314525	Yes	BUY	61	6¢	$4	0x917763…
08-05 18:35:05	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	37	16¢	$6	0xa49126…
08-05 18:10:59	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	145	20¢	$29	0xf3bd21…
08-05 17:12:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	52	24¢	$12	0x290468…
08-05 16:07:45	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	28	24¢	$7	0x42af7b…
08-05 16:01:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x02c534…
08-05 15:59:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	309	24¢	$74	0xa61768…
08-05 14:20:57	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	455	25¢	$114	0x41b1d6…
08-05 14:20:47	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xe93718…
08-05 14:11:59	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	149	29¢	$43	0x65e132…
08-05 14:05:29	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x47523f…
08-05 14:05:20	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	19	29¢	$5	0x46957b…
08-05 14:05:18	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x7702a5…
08-05 14:04:59	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xb10c0c…
08-05 14:04:56	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xfb022b…
08-05 14:04:56	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xb89122…
08-05 13:52:05	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	52	17¢	$9	0x382fa2…
08-05 13:51:24	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x46ce92…
08-05 09:36:57	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	340	7¢	$24	0x1f9a0b…
08-05 08:00:06	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x1c97e7…
08-05 05:17:38	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	164	7¢	$11	0x935d16…
08-05 04:31:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	36	7¢	$3	0x4e4862…
08-05 02:34:42	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xf315a2…
08-04 16:58:12	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$22	0x5b50fa…
08-04 15:36:35	iran successfully targets shipping on august 4 2026 20260729163314524	Yes	BUY	35	37¢	$13	0xe87896…
08-04 15:17:12	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0xb2d698…
08-04 14:51:17	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x33dd27…
08-04 14:40:42	iran successfully targets shipping on august 4 2026 20260729163314524	Yes	BUY	63	37¢	$23	0xbbf393…
08-04 13:54:02	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	6¢	$4	0x686053…
08-04 13:37:57	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0xac1fcf…
08-04 11:50:08	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xfe7e1a…
08-04 11:47:08	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	80	38¢	$30	0x047d58…
08-04 11:47:02	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xe7c09d…
08-04 11:47:02	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x973670…
08-04 11:46:50	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0xb338f2…
08-04 11:46:50	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x4f9bce…
08-04 11:46:50	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	20	38¢	$7	0x3e84f1…
08-04 11:46:50	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	46	38¢	$17	0x3c569f…
08-04 11:45:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	No	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x3c0de9…
08-04 11:38:27	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x583b42…
08-04 11:30:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0xf9bcd1…
08-04 01:10:53	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0xb1f45b…
08-03 23:00:09	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	300	15¢	$45	0x1f1554…
08-03 18:15:02	us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	Yes	BUY	250	9¢	$22	0x4d910e…