Realized P&L
+$11.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$664
Hit rate
68.8%
Resolved
1,183
Trades
5,391
lifetime
Volume
$205.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$1.57K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 10-28 01:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 245 days
Categories
Politics
70% 42% +$9,373
Other
24% 37% +$1,458
Crypto
4% 51% -$119
Sports
1% 13% +$286
Tech
0% 0% -$4
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +1,503 $217 14¢ $213 -$4 08-16 15:11
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +1,000 $142 15¢ $145 +$3 09-25 15:10
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +260 $19 49¢ $127 +$108 10-27 19:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +600 $152 18¢ $111 -$41 09-26 20:19
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +1,266 $101 8¢ $99 -$3 09-25 11:24
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +651 $178 12¢ $75 -$103 09-02 17:04
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +850 $146 8¢ $71 -$74 10-21 06:02
iran coup attempt by december 31 Yes +794 $50 8¢ $64 +$13 09-04 15:04
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes +600 $42 10¢ $57 +$15 09-05 11:30
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +455 $71 12¢ $57 -$14 09-28 21:59
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +700 $111 8¢ $52 -$58 08-08 07:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +1,400 $200 4¢ $49 -$151 10-23 00:36
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +733 $37 6¢ $44 +$7 09-11 10:09
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +400 $48 11¢ $42 -$6 07-30 18:04
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +600 $54 6¢ $39 -$15 09-09 20:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +1,104 $99 3¢ $36 -$63 07-31 21:16
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? No +50 $14 64¢ $32 +$18 08-08 06:26
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +546 $38 6¢ $30 -$8 09-17 18:27
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +400 $52 8¢ $30 -$22 10-25 09:57
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +113 $18 24¢ $28 +$10 10-18 02:26
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +500 $38 6¢ $28 -$10 08-02 06:32
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? Yes +841 $89 3¢ $25 -$63 10-16 06:54
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? Yes +302 $22 6¢ $19 -$3 10-27 12:42
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes +590 $39 3¢ $18 -$21 09-23 19:40
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +305 $22 6¢ $18 -$5 10-10 20:42
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +400 $20 4¢ $16 -$4 10-17 20:07
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Yes +1,000 $120 2¢ $16 -$104 10-05 19:31
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +577 $21 2¢ $14 -$7 09-25 16:03
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Yes +585 $36 2¢ $9 -$27 10-21 08:46
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +250 $40 4¢ $9 -$31 08-20 10:52