Realized P&L
+$1.03K
Unrealized P&L
-$105
Hit rate
77.9%
Resolved
9
Trades
3,448
lifetime
Volume
$131.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$330
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 07-01 06:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
69%
Other
23% 29% +$1,027
Crypto
7%
Sports
1% 0% $-2
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +640 $176 25¢ $160 $-16 06-26 21:54
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +393 $65 11¢ $45 $-21 06-11 08:45
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +207 $41 21¢ $43 +$2 06-30 07:57
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +150 $46 28¢ $43 $-4 07-01 06:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +200 $28 14¢ $27 $-1 06-30 21:09
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? Yes +1,173 $77 $6 $-71 06-15 15:37
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +541 $26 $2 $-23 06-15 08:46
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes -78 $-43 $-2 +$41 06-28 11:26
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +754 $68 $1 $-67 06-20 15:09
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes +103 $10 $1 $-10 06-14 20:51
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +188 $-64 $0 +$64 06-20 02:37