Realized P&L
+$11.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$552
Hit rate
68.8%
Resolved
1,185
Trades
5,413
lifetime
Volume
$205.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$1.63K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 10-31 09:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 247 days
Categories
Politics
70% 42% +$9,343
Other
24% 37% +$1,553
Crypto
4% 51% -$119
Sports
1% 13% +$286
Tech
0% 0% -$4
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +1,503 $217 14¢ $216 -$1 08-16 15:11
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +1,000 $142 15¢ $145 +$3 09-25 15:10
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +260 $19 42¢ $110 +$91 10-27 19:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +600 $152 18¢ $105 -$47 09-26 20:19
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +850 $146 12¢ $100 -$46 10-21 06:02
iran coup attempt by december 31 Yes +794 $50 12¢ $95 +$45 09-04 15:04
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +450 $90 19¢ $86 -$4 10-31 09:20
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +1,266 $101 7¢ $84 -$18 09-25 11:24
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +651 $178 12¢ $78 -$99 09-02 17:04
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +733 $37 8¢ $61 +$24 09-11 10:09
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +700 $111 8¢ $52 -$58 08-08 07:52
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +400 $48 11¢ $44 -$4 07-30 18:04
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes +600 $42 6¢ $39 -$3 09-05 11:30
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +600 $54 6¢ $39 -$15 09-09 20:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +1,104 $99 3¢ $37 -$62 07-31 21:16
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? No +50 $14 73¢ $37 +$23 08-08 06:26
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +455 $71 7¢ $34 -$37 09-28 21:59
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +113 $18 29¢ $32 +$14 10-18 02:26
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? Yes +505 $32 6¢ $30 -$2 10-29 09:07
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +400 $52 8¢ $30 -$22 10-25 09:57
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes +590 $39 5¢ $29 -$10 09-23 19:40
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +500 $38 6¢ $28 -$10 08-02 06:32
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +546 $38 4¢ $25 -$14 09-17 18:27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +1,900 $215 1¢ $19 -$196 10-29 22:08
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +400 $20 4¢ $18 -$2 10-17 20:07
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +305 $22 4¢ $13 -$9 10-10 20:42
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +250 $40 4¢ $11 -$29 08-20 10:52
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +577 $21 2¢ $10 -$10 09-25 16:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +627 $47 2¢ $9 -$38 10-30 05:18
us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236 Yes +250 $22 4¢ $9 -$14 08-03 18:15