Realized P&L
+$1.25K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.52K
Hit rate
81.7%
Resolved
992
Trades
3,217
lifetime
Volume
$373.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$116
Open exposure
$9.08K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-26 14:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 193 days
Categories
Other
51% 77% +$574
Politics
34% 86% +$2,060
Crypto
7% 86% -$1,502
Sports
5% 73% -$309
Tech
3% 97% +$412
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +1,465 $500 80¢ $1.2K +$672 05-18 06:50
will wti dip to 75 in october 2026 No +633 $500 99¢ $629 +$129 10-01 13:45
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +677 $635 92¢ $627 -$8 10-20 14:44
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +643 $618 97¢ $626 +$8 07-24 22:16
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +566 $435 88¢ $501 +$66 10-15 11:11
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +615 $471 70¢ $427 -$44 10-25 03:17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +659 $364 64¢ $425 +$62 07-30 21:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? No +422 $300 99¢ $417 +$117 10-08 20:54
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +364 $250 96¢ $347 +$97 08-04 12:08
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +333 $300 92¢ $307 +$7 09-06 23:05
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +326 $300 94¢ $305 +$5 10-01 04:52
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +322 $290 94¢ $304 +$15 08-09 14:55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -317 -$286 94¢ $-297 -$11 06-17 20:06
will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287 No +345 $100 86¢ $297 +$197 06-05 17:05
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +294 $250 92¢ $271 +$21 08-04 12:11
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +390 $119 60¢ $232 +$113 05-26 15:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +241 $220 92¢ $221 +$1 10-20 14:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +260 $223 83¢ $215 -$7 08-04 15:57
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +211 $200 96¢ $202 +$2 10-05 04:10
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 No +230 $200 82¢ $190 -$10 08-04 16:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October? No +161 $140 99¢ $160 +$20 10-24 17:37
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +162 $130 86¢ $139 +$9 06-14 21:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +117 $105 98¢ $114 +$9 07-19 23:00
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +118 $100 96¢ $112 +$12 08-15 11:42
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +135 $100 82¢ $110 +$10 08-04 12:06
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? No +110 $100 99¢ $108 +$8 10-15 11:13
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No +116 $100 90¢ $104 +$4 07-22 07:36
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +122 $100 81¢ $99 -$1 09-07 18:34
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +70 $45 84¢ $58 +$14 05-24 14:37
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October? No +59 $55 98¢ $58 +$3 10-15 11:33