Realized P&L
-$208
Unrealized P&L
+$67
Hit rate
90.1%
Resolved
38
Trades
2,421
lifetime
Volume
$276.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$114
Open exposure
$2.46K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-28 23:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
46% 63% $-268
Politics
43% 69% $-2
Crypto
8% 100% +$2
Tech
2%
Sports
0% 100% +$60
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +549 $500 99¢ $542 +$42 06-17 20:27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -317 $-286 90¢ $-287 $-2 06-17 20:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -255 $-254 100¢ $-254 $-1 06-17 19:08
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? No -222 $-220 100¢ $-222 $-2 06-18 14:18
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +217 $200 100¢ $217 +$17 06-12 07:46
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -195 $-195 100¢ $-195 $-0 06-17 18:14
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No +144 $138 99¢ $143 +$5 06-14 09:35
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -134 $-132 100¢ $-134 $-2 06-18 16:58
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? No +153 $100 72¢ $111 +$11 06-17 19:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +124 $110 86¢ $107 $-3 06-14 21:38
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -65 $-64 100¢ $-64 $-0 06-17 19:59
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -65 $-55 100¢ $-64 $-9 06-14 09:27
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June? No -39 $-89 100¢ $-39 +$50 06-18 10:31
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -32 $-48 100¢ $-31 +$17 06-18 16:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +22 $88 100¢ $22 $-65 06-19 18:19
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June? No -22 $-31 100¢ $-22 +$10 06-18 10:49