Realized P&L (7d)
+$431
Unrealized P&L
+$1.25K
Hit rate
92.6%
Resolved (7d)
11
Trades (7d)
9
3,223 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$943
$373.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$116
Open exposure
$7.73K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-01 12:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 196 days
Categories
Other
51% 77% +$1,031
Politics
34% 86% +$2,060
Crypto
7% 86% -$1,488
Sports
5% 73% -$309
Tech
3% 97% +$412
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +1,465 $500 82¢ $1.2K +$701 05-18 06:50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +677 $635 94¢ $640 +$6 10-20 14:44
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +643 $618 98¢ $628 +$10 07-24 22:16
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169 No +615 $471 74¢ $452 -$19 10-25 03:17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +659 $364 56¢ $366 +$2 07-30 21:31
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +364 $250 95¢ $346 +$96 08-04 12:08
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +333 $300 94¢ $315 +$15 09-06 23:05
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +322 $290 97¢ $312 +$22 08-09 14:55
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +326 $300 94¢ $308 +$8 10-01 04:52
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -317 -$286 96¢ $-303 -$17 06-17 20:06
will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287 No +345 $100 86¢ $297 +$197 06-05 17:05
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +390 $119 72¢ $279 +$160 05-26 15:59
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +294 $250 88¢ $257 +$7 08-04 12:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +260 $223 82¢ $214 -$9 08-04 15:57
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +211 $200 97¢ $204 +$4 10-05 04:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +207 $200 96¢ $199 -$1 11-01 12:25
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 No +230 $200 80¢ $183 -$17 08-04 16:14
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +238 $150 70¢ $167 +$17 11-01 12:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? No +153 $150 96¢ $148 -$2 11-01 12:27
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +162 $130 86¢ $140 +$10 06-14 21:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +117 $105 98¢ $114 +$9 07-19 23:00
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +118 $100 95¢ $112 +$12 08-15 11:42
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +135 $100 80¢ $109 +$9 08-04 12:06
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No +116 $100 93¢ $108 +$8 07-22 07:36
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +122 $100 82¢ $99 -$1 09-07 18:34
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +111 $100 86¢ $96 -$4 11-01 12:27
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +70 $45 90¢ $63 +$18 05-24 14:37
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +58 $50 99¢ $58 +$8 10-26 14:14
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +43 $15 40¢ $17 +$2 07-19 22:51