Realized P&L (90d)
+$1.47K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.23K
Hit rate
96.2%
Resolved (90d)
73
Trades (90d)
133
3,231 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$19.5K
$374.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$116
Open exposure
$7.65K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-02 10:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 199 days
Categories
Other
51% 77% +$1,083
Politics
34% 86% +$2,115
Crypto
7% 86% -$1,488
Sports
5% 73% -$309
Tech
3% 97% +$412
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +1,465 $500 80¢ $1.2K +$679 05-18 06:50
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +643 $618 98¢ $628 +$10 07-24 22:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November? No — +518 $440 92¢ $479 +$39 11-02 09:35
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +615 $471 78¢ $477 +$6 10-25 03:17
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +364 $250 96¢ $348 +$98 08-04 12:08
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +333 $300 96¢ $320 +$20 09-06 23:05
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +322 $290 98¢ $315 +$25 08-09 14:55
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +326 $300 94¢ $308 +$8 10-01 04:52
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -317 -$286 97¢ $-308 -$22 06-17 20:06
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +294 $250 94¢ $278 +$28 08-04 12:11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +659 $364 42¢ $274 -$90 07-30 21:31
will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287 No +345 $100 76¢ $262 +$162 06-05 17:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November? No +275 $250 94¢ $260 +$10 11-02 09:36
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +390 $119 60¢ $232 +$113 05-26 15:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +260 $223 88¢ $230 +$7 08-04 15:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +207 $200 100¢ $206 +$6 11-01 12:25
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 No +230 $200 88¢ $201 +$1 08-04 16:14
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +238 $150 71¢ $169 +$19 11-01 12:27
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +162 $130 91¢ $147 +$17 06-14 21:40
Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026? No +148 $120 87¢ $129 +$9 10-24 17:38
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +135 $100 86¢ $117 +$17 08-04 12:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +117 $105 98¢ $114 +$9 07-19 23:00
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +118 $100 96¢ $112 +$12 08-15 11:42
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No +116 $100 93¢ $108 +$8 07-22 07:36
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +122 $100 88¢ $107 +$7 09-07 18:34
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +111 $100 90¢ $101 +$1 11-01 12:27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +101 $100 100¢ $101 +$1 11-02 10:17
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +70 $45 86¢ $61 +$16 05-24 14:37
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +58 $50 100¢ $58 +$8 10-26 14:14
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +43 $15 43¢ $18 +$3 07-19 22:51