Realized P&L (90d)
+$1.45K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.39K
Hit rate
96.0%
Resolved (90d)
71
Trades (90d)
133
3,231 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$19.5K
$374.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$116
Open exposure
$8.22K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-02 10:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 200 days
Categories
Other
51% 77% +$1,083
Politics
34% 86% +$2,115
Crypto
7% 86% -$1,488
Sports
5% 73% -$309
Tech
3% 97% +$412
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +1,465 $500 80¢ $1.2K +$679 05-18 06:50
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +643 $618 99¢ $635 +$17 07-24 22:16
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +615 $471 88¢ $541 +$70 10-25 03:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November? No +518 $440 92¢ $474 +$34 11-02 09:35
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +364 $250 96¢ $349 +$99 08-04 12:08
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +333 $300 97¢ $322 +$22 09-06 23:05
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +322 $290 99¢ $318 +$28 08-09 14:55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -317 -$286 97¢ $-308 -$23 06-17 20:06
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +326 $300 94¢ $307 +$7 10-01 04:52
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +390 $119 76¢ $299 +$179 05-26 15:59
will krakens valuation hit high 22pt5b by december 31 No +287 $250 99¢ $285 +$35 07-18 19:31
will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287 No +345 $100 79¢ $272 +$172 06-05 17:05
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +294 $250 92¢ $271 +$21 08-04 12:11
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November? No +275 $250 94¢ $260 +$10 11-02 08:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November? No +275 $250 94¢ $260 +$10 11-02 09:36
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +659 $364 37¢ $244 -$120 07-30 21:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +260 $223 88¢ $230 +$7 08-04 15:57
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 No +230 $200 92¢ $213 +$13 08-04 16:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +207 $200 100¢ $206 +$6 11-01 12:25
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +238 $150 72¢ $173 +$23 11-01 12:27
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +162 $130 91¢ $148 +$18 06-14 21:40
Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026? No +148 $120 90¢ $134 +$14 10-24 17:38
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +135 $100 88¢ $119 +$19 08-04 12:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +117 $105 98¢ $115 +$10 07-19 23:00
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +118 $100 96¢ $112 +$12 08-15 11:42
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No +116 $100 94¢ $109 +$9 07-22 07:36
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +122 $100 88¢ $107 +$7 09-07 18:34
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +111 $100 92¢ $103 +$3 11-01 12:27
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +94 $80 70¢ $65 -$15 09-14 10:08
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +70 $45 92¢ $65 +$20 05-24 14:37