Realized P&L
+$738
Unrealized P&L
+$1.87K
Hit rate
81.7%
Resolved
1,012
Trades
3,255
lifetime
Volume
$377.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$116
Open exposure
$9.60K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-11 15:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 202 days
Categories
Other
51% 77% -$23
Politics
34% 86% +$2,130
Crypto
7% 86% -$1,488
Sports
5% 73% -$309
Tech
3% 97% +$412
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +1,465 $500 87¢ $1.3K +$775 05-18 06:50
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? No +917 $683 90¢ $820 +$137 07-30 21:40
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +643 $618 99¢ $634 +$16 07-24 22:16
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +615 $471 90¢ $557 +$86 10-25 03:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November? No +518 $440 98¢ $505 +$65 11-02 09:35
Jensen Huang divorce in 2026? No +437 $400 86¢ $378 -$22 11-11 15:20
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +390 $119 94¢ $365 +$246 05-26 15:59
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +364 $250 96¢ $349 +$99 08-04 12:08
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +333 $300 96¢ $321 +$21 09-06 23:05
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +322 $290 98¢ $317 +$27 08-09 14:55
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +326 $300 96¢ $311 +$11 10-01 04:52
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -317 -$286 97¢ $-309 -$24 06-17 20:06
will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287 No +345 $100 84¢ $290 +$190 06-05 17:05
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +294 $250 94¢ $276 +$26 08-04 12:11
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November? No +275 $250 99¢ $272 +$22 11-02 08:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November? No +275 $250 98¢ $268 +$18 11-02 09:36
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in November? No +271 $250 97¢ $264 +$14 11-09 17:43
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? No +272 $250 90¢ $243 -$7 11-11 09:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +260 $223 92¢ $240 +$17 08-04 15:57
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 No +230 $200 94¢ $215 +$15 08-04 16:14
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +238 $150 86¢ $204 +$54 11-01 12:27
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $144 in November? No +245 $200 68¢ $165 -$35 11-11 15:17
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +162 $130 94¢ $152 +$22 06-14 21:40
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +188 $150 80¢ $151 +$1 11-11 09:42
Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026? No +148 $120 96¢ $143 +$23 10-24 17:38
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +135 $100 92¢ $124 +$24 08-04 12:06
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +118 $100 97¢ $114 +$14 08-15 11:42
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No +116 $100 98¢ $114 +$14 07-22 07:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +117 $105 97¢ $113 +$8 07-19 23:00
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +122 $100 92¢ $112 +$12 09-07 18:34