Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$101

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

16.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$215

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-01 08:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 33% -$9

Sports

27% 0% -$59

Other

13% 0% -$28

Politics

9% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		+71	$15	8¢	$5	-$10	08-02 23:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 18:45 UTC	1	$40	78	+78	Down	-$40	08-06 18:11
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$23	390	+390	No	-$23	07-19 22:00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$20	435	+435	No	-$20	06-12 19:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$15	71	+71	open	—	08-02 23:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:30 UTC	1	$15	31	+31	Down	+$16	08-03 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$10	56	+56	Down	-$10	09-23 11:17
bitcoin up or down on august 29 2026	1	$10	385	+385	Down	-$10	08-29 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 22:45 UTC	1	$10	45	+45	Up	+$35	07-26 22:47
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$7	60	+60	No	-$7	06-12 19:15
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	1	$5	11	+11	No	-$5	06-12 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 23:15 UTC	1	$5	500	+500	Up	-$5	08-02 23:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$5	23	+23	No	-$5	06-12 19:06
us strike on somalia by february 14	1	$5	15	+15	Yes	-$5	02-12 16:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 13:15 UTC	1	$5	36	+36	Up	-$5	07-26 13:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 23:20 UTC	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$1	08-02 23:20
will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	1	$5	59	+59	No	-$5	06-15 12:48
cs2 qua1 mis 2026 09 23	1	$5	50	+50	Misa Esports	-$5	09-23 11:14
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	1	$4	73	+73	No	-$4	06-17 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$4	39	+39	Down	-$4	09-23 11:11
will italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$3	1,000	+1,000	No	-$3	02-17 21:26
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	1	$3	68	+68	No	-$3	08-29 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$2	17	+17	Down	+$14	09-23 11:08
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 340 359	1	$2	222	+222	No	-$2	02-12 16:31
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 360 379	1	$2	22	+22	No	-$2	02-12 16:34
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	-$1	01-18 12:11
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 7, 2026?	1	$1	1,000	+1,000	Yes	-$1	04-07 18:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:45 UTC	1	$1	4	+4	Down	-$1	10-01 08:48
will switzerland win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$1	1,000	+1,000	No	-$1	02-12 16:24
bitcoin above 64k on june 16 2026	1	$1	155	+155	Yes	-$1	06-16 14:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 08:48:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x616138…
09-23 11:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x7e89bf…
09-23 11:14:14	cs2 qua1 mis 2026 09 23	QUAZAR	BUY	50	9¢	$5	0xbd1a89…
09-23 11:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	9¢	$4	0x900750…
09-23 11:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	15¢	$2	0x236892…
08-29 13:54:10	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	4¢	$3	0x8709e3…
08-29 13:53:01	bitcoin up or down on august 29 2026	Up	BUY	385	3¢	$10	0xc8090c…
08-06 18:11:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x44475a…
08-03 12:30:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xd43293…
08-02 23:22:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0x3b7e58…
08-02 23:20:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x33ee41…
08-02 23:19:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x51b2b0…
07-26 22:47:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xee7564…
07-26 13:16:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x8e84ab…
07-19 22:00:01	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	390	6¢	$23	0xae7352…
06-17 14:51:16	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	Yes	BUY	73	5¢	$4	0x0454c6…
06-16 14:40:47	bitcoin above 64k on june 16 2026	No	BUY	155	0¢	$1	0x03d0c4…
06-15 12:48:00	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	Yes	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0x8d1410…
06-12 19:15:58	Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0xb0b28a…
06-12 19:14:24	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xc977c9…
06-12 19:12:36	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	435	5¢	$20	0x8a1c3a…
06-12 19:06:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xe83629…
04-07 18:42:23	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa7961f…
02-17 21:26:59	will italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xfe91dd…
02-12 16:34:35	us strike on somalia by february 14	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xa9aac5…
02-12 16:34:05	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 360 379	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x561f5e…
02-12 16:31:23	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 340 359	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0x551c1e…
02-12 16:24:21	will switzerland win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8a8a8b…
01-18 12:11:58	us strike on somalia by january 31 338	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcdc1bd…