Realized P&L
-$63
Unrealized P&L
-$72
Hit rate
81.1%
Resolved
22
Trades
5,900
lifetime
Volume
$145.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$17
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-28 23:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
73% 0% $-210
Other
23% 100% +$174
Crypto
3% 29% $-27
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 412 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? Yes -14 $-4 26¢ $-4 +$0 06-16 22:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +23 $3 15¢ $3 +$0 06-15 01:33
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes +768 $14 $3 $-11 06-15 22:48
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? Yes +480 $18 $2 $-16 06-14 20:20
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? Yes +542 $20 $1 $-19 06-14 20:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +1,133 $7 $1 $-6 06-16 15:58
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30? Yes +155 $2 $1 $-1 06-15 23:16
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30? Yes +400 $5 $1 $-4 06-16 00:06
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? Yes +151 $1 $0 $-1 06-12 21:41
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? Yes +367 $3 $0 $-3 06-17 11:23
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -94 $10 $-0 $-10 06-20 00:08
Trump out as President by June 30? Yes -143 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-15 14:28
Tucker Carlson federally charged? Yes +10 $2 $0 $-2 06-14 17:57