Composed-Embellishment 0xa4bc3b…78026c
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$930
Unrealized P&L
+$1.55K
Hit rate
96.3%
Resolved
5
Trades
2,034
lifetime
Volume
$679.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$334
Open exposure
$1.47K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 07-01 06:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
86% 33% $-258
Other
13% 100% +$1,188
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No +567 $474 99¢ $564 +$90 05-31 19:33
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +215 $210 100¢ $215 +$5 06-26 21:26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,215 $-112 15¢ $-176 $-64 07-01 07:14
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +104 $100 99¢ $103 +$3 06-27 13:57
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No +100 $96 96¢ $96 $-0 06-27 09:05
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? Up +100 $85 82¢ $82 $-3 06-24 13:55
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +209 $56 32¢ $68 +$12 06-29 19:03
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +400 $68 16¢ $66 $-2 06-30 10:57
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes +200 $58 22¢ $45 $-13 06-05 12:59
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +34 $30 87¢ $30 $-0 06-27 13:58
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? Yes +78 $10 16¢ $12 +$2 06-26 21:25
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? Yes -197 $-22 6¢ $-11 +$10 06-06 00:14
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +500 $50 0¢ $0 $-50 06-01 02:40
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +17 $2 2¢ $0 $-1 06-26 18:18
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? Yes +250 $5 0¢ $0 $-5 05-31 17:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +0 $-1,568 99¢ $0 +$1,568 06-08 08:43