Well-Documented-Sill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.3%

Resolved

Trades

331

lifetime

Volume

$331

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 08-03 01:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

53% 0% $-0

Politics

23% 50% +$0

Crypto

13% 0% $-0

Tech

7% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	14	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	03-01 01:01
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-21 02:11
Human moon landing in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-06 00:58
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	03-31 01:46
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-10 00:25
will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-23 01:30
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-16 01:42
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-01 00:27
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	04-21 00:46
us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-10 01:21
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-25 01:48
Will the Chicago Mercantile Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-03 00:41
will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-24 00:47
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-25 00:55
nflx up or down on february 11 2026	3	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	02-11 01:07
wix quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 1pt47	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-10 01:02
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	07-21 09:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-14 01:25
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-27 01:15
highest temperature in chicago on march 16 2026 30 31f	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 01:33
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-31 01:18
will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 00:41
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 09:43
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-23 04:33
bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-09 01:18
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-11 07:30
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-11 00:37
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 01:09
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-17 09:19
hood up or down on february 19 2026	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	02-19 05:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 01:07:57	will a new country join the abraham accords by august 31 1785517679415	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x68aa86…
08-03 00:58:59	will a new country join the abraham accords by august 31 1785517679415	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb38fd2…
07-31 01:19:00	will carlos alcaraz qualify for the nitto atp finals 2026 20260728191143796	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x82dd23…
07-31 01:18:42	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3731e4…
07-31 01:08:26	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x990a66…
07-31 01:05:02	will carlos alcaraz qualify for the nitto atp finals 2026 20260728191143796	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa64950…
07-30 01:37:17	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd80cd3…
07-30 01:36:56	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5a9dd8…
07-30 01:28:36	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4ac1de…
07-30 01:18:41	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x05d53a…
07-28 02:11:06	will hyperliquid reach 88 in july	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0ae871…
07-28 01:53:30	will hyperliquid reach 88 in july	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x70df3e…
07-27 01:08:39	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe57e58…
07-27 00:54:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8be65b…
07-25 01:10:30	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xeaf1e8…
07-25 01:04:34	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6bdf61…
07-24 09:25:27	over 25m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129609 887	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdd75dc…
07-24 09:14:22	over 25m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129609 887	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x790c8d…
07-23 01:31:34	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb7554d…
07-23 01:23:52	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x945346…
07-22 01:33:42	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3887d4…
07-22 01:19:10	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd0b9c7…
07-21 09:30:01	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9961c4…
07-20 01:28:40	will the next claude opus model be released by december 31 2026 20260701204710235 479 775 943	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x432db5…
07-20 01:05:16	will the next claude opus model be released by december 31 2026 20260701204710235 479 775 943	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xef3fe9…
07-18 01:39:10	will afghanistan recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd11542…
07-18 01:20:55	will afghanistan recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbb609b…
07-17 09:19:55	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8a791b…
07-17 09:04:28	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdba081…
07-16 00:59:19	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd972b1…
07-16 00:41:01	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb95c12…
07-15 01:18:35	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe8e125…
07-15 01:08:26	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb42172…
07-13 00:58:34	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x83b462…
07-13 00:42:07	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1d6ebb…
07-11 07:30:17	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbc6203…
07-11 07:16:47	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xae60bd…
07-10 00:41:56	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x504e38…
07-10 00:29:46	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2ed83f…
07-09 09:03:53	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x97d0ab…
07-09 08:52:25	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x39c245…
07-08 00:48:08	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3a4f20…
07-08 00:37:08	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xea2c34…
07-07 09:40:58	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x47acc7…
07-07 09:24:17	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x204193…
07-06 00:58:20	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x49cc73…
07-06 00:47:19	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x970d91…
07-04 00:42:35	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc47e68…
07-04 00:32:19	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1b4c90…
07-03 01:47:41	Will HSBC fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc11af7…
07-03 01:32:41	Will HSBC fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa0afdd…
07-02 01:26:58	will polymarket mindshare hit 70 by december 31 20260630144203054	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x88dc1c…
07-02 01:24:35	laso finance fdv above 1m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7a45fe…
07-02 01:10:52	will polymarket mindshare hit 70 by december 31 20260630144203054	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd1508b…
07-02 01:01:29	laso finance fdv above 1m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xae0c83…
07-01 00:52:04	Will UBS fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0582d2…
07-01 00:45:52	Will UBS fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x38f54b…
06-30 07:15:41	Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x973803…
06-30 07:15:11	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9b40b7…
06-30 07:00:29	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x342667…
06-30 06:54:53	Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd97748…
06-29 01:01:52	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x96b404…
06-29 01:01:29	Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xff7091…
06-29 00:45:01	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x16943f…
06-29 00:42:31	Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc24f11…
06-27 01:15:17	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6320d1…
06-27 01:04:17	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd32d05…
06-26 09:32:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2301d2…
06-26 09:32:34	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x00f1be…
06-26 09:23:13	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x72c2b3…
06-26 09:19:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaed039…
06-25 01:48:28	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x997140…
06-25 00:58:11	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd5c15d…
06-24 03:09:44	will trump say border 7 times during pennsylvania events 20260619211746752	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x51cb25…
06-24 03:09:25	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe41768…
06-24 02:59:20	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfab2d0…
06-24 02:51:07	will trump say border 7 times during pennsylvania events 20260619211746752	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfc5a7d…
06-23 01:30:55	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x892508…
06-23 01:13:20	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc135f7…
06-22 07:56:13	will usd reach 2pt0m iranian rials by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbdff17…
06-22 07:44:10	will usd reach 2pt0m iranian rials by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2450b2…
06-21 01:36:41	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc13228…
06-21 01:19:11	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4e893b…
06-18 01:29:17	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4f4ed5…
06-18 01:28:01	o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0b8c85…
06-18 01:15:07	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x332192…
06-18 01:03:14	o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x134c42…
06-16 01:42:40	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe81373…
06-16 01:23:46	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb4c4ca…
06-15 01:14:13	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8707e4…
06-13 01:16:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x696a51…
06-12 01:16:39	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9eabab…
06-12 01:16:15	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3663ed…
06-12 01:05:46	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x05c29c…
06-12 00:54:54	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x51864e…
06-11 01:24:54	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1a887f…
06-11 01:10:52	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x194f99…
06-10 01:21:37	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x298eab…
06-10 01:21:09	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe0b093…
06-10 01:05:40	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe94ef7…