Smoggy-Sunglasses 0xb4f259…80e5fa
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.40K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.02K
Hit rate
96.4%
Resolved
9
Trades
2,445
lifetime
Volume
$805.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$329
Open exposure
$27.2K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 15:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
50% 67% +$992
Politics
46% 67% +$1,407
Tech
4% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +7,416 $6,290 99¢ $7.4K +$1,086 06-02 02:03
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No +5,858 $4,913 99¢ $5.8K +$913 05-29 09:24
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -3,000 $-2,982 100¢ $-2988 $-6 06-28 21:33
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No -1,782 $-1,704 99¢ $-1768 $-64 06-27 07:59
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +1,525 $1,200 100¢ $1.5K +$323 06-22 05:52
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30? No +1,481 $1,299 99¢ $1.5K +$167 05-29 10:25
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +2,029 $1,136 56¢ $1.1K +$10 06-29 04:21
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30? No +1,111 $1,088 99¢ $1.1K +$14 06-29 15:32
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +1,000 $370 100¢ $998 +$628 06-07 19:12
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? No -787 $-748 100¢ $-785 $-36 06-07 20:32
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? No -779 $-765 99¢ $-771 $-6 06-29 15:53
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026? No -672 $-663 99¢ $-666 $-4 06-07 17:50
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No -203 $-201 99¢ $-202 $-0 06-27 07:14
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -199 $-178 88¢ $-175 +$3 06-26 08:59
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -130 $-128 100¢ $-130 $-2 06-08 23:29
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? No -90 $-80 99¢ $-89 $-9 06-03 13:26
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? No -36 $-35 100¢ $-36 $-1 06-07 20:29
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No -32 $-32 99¢ $-32 +$0 06-26 08:58
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No -31 $-31 99¢ $-31 $-0 06-26 08:04
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No +40 $26 70¢ $28 +$2 06-03 18:34
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +16 $10 98¢ $16 +$6 05-31 07:31